NOAA Says We Just Got Hit By The X5 Solar Flare's CME! Did We?

World News Report Today
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World News Report Today
November 12th 2025!
NOAA Says We Just Got Hit By The X5 Solar Flare's CME! Did We?
The CME only took 26 hours to arrive but registered a KP6 and G-2 Geomagnetic Storm!
#spaceweather #spaceweatherupdate #solaractivity #solarflares #xflare #cme #coronalmassejection #solarstorm #geomagneticstorm #solarwinds #plasma #protonstorm
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James Kaufman, World News Report Today.
Ladies and gentlemen, today is November 12th, 2025.
Last night we were hit by either one
or perhaps a combination of two X-class solar flares.
NOAA is telling everyone that it was the first
and second X-class solar flares
that combined into a cannibal CME to bring the actual,
well, levels.
Very high. We had a G4 geomagnetic storm for six hours,
and that was a KP8.67.
You can see the chart ends here at nine, and a KP8.33.
So we had six hours of a G4 geomagnetic storm,
followed by six hours of a G3 geomagnetic storm.
We've been in geomagnetic storm conditions.
Six hours of a G2 geomagnetic storm
and three hours of a G1 geomagnetic storm ever since then.
Now everyone is saying that we just got hit by the third CME
and that would mean that it took 26 hours since it popped off
for it to get here.
Now I concur that that's completely possible, but...
To travel that fast, we're talking about seeing
some really fast solar winds strike Earth,
especially when the atmosphere has already
been wiped out by the first two X flares.
So they're saying that the X-5.61 has arrived at,
well, 1900 UTC time,
or about 2 p.m. today,
taking 26 hours from the explosion.
to impact the planet with the plasma well let's do some math
and see what that means
so again the first two x-flares combined even
though neither one of them were that strong
into this well six hour event kp 8.67
kp 8.33 g4 geomagnetic storm followed
by a g3 geomagnetic
Next one for six hours.
And that'd be a KP7, obviously, followed by,
I guess, six more hours of a G1 geomagnetic storm.
And they're telling us this is the impact
from the third, third X5.61.
Now, again, that is possible.
That means it got here in 26 hours.
The Carrington event, as an example, got here in 18 hours.
But I just think that we should be seen a lot stronger.
Solar winds, based on all of this, clearing the atmosphere first,
and the succession of how things occurred.
Let me show you some math.
So again, NASA and NOAA say that these two combined,
and that's very plausible.
So we'd give this one about 36 hours to arrive,
and this one about 48 hours to arrive.
And they both combined, and they hit us at exactly 2400 UTC time, zero.
100 UTC time, either very late on November 11th
or very early on November 12th.
Now, this is what they're saying is hitting now,
the X5.61, and it's very plausible.
It could definitely get here in 26 hours,
and that's the number that we'd be looking for.
I did hopefully tell you all the quarantine event took about 18 hours,
I guesstimate, to get here.
Just for some quick math so everyone understands,
93 million miles in 26 hours equals, well,
about 3.576 million miles an hour.
When you take this number and extrapolate kilometers per second,
I've got the 3.576
million miles an hour converted to kilometers per second,
so about 1,600 kilometers per
second.
I would expect to see some serious solar winds accompanied
with plasma from the X5.61.
Now, I could be wrong, but this is the right math.
I know that.
Now, before we look at Discover and Ace, what else do we have going on?
Definitely a pop here.
And this is that 1900.
Look where my cursor is.
So that's how I came up with my 26 hours.
And I'm using this here.
To come up with my 36 hours
and 48 hours makes perfect mathematical sense here.
And you can see the protons, although it's hitting GOES,
but GOES is only 22,000 miles
above Earth, so we're not talking about a lot of time whatsoever.
So we have two more measurements there.
We are in a huge proton storm still
and polar absorption event still.
They're saying 1-2, as you can see them turned into a cannonball.
That's the first one. That's the second one.
They're saying that this one's the third one.
And it very well might be.
Me?
Uh.
I just thought that this would be the first one.
And maybe, because we're not seeing the solar winds I'm looking for,
maybe this is the second one.
But it's very plausible that it is the third impact.
Now, this is a proton storm, better known as a solar storm,
which all are used to seeing
as geomagnetic storms.
Now, if it has arrived, my question also is,
is why do we see all the protons still all
the way through,
let's see what time this ends, to 1600.
Now, if it were to end.
By 1800, we just don't have that data, and I'd be like,
okay, well, that must have been the impact.
Right now, we don't have enough information,
except for all day long we got hit by protons, i.e., the white specks,
which caused a proton and solar storm and a polar cap absorption event.
And look how strong
and dense that polar cap absorption event is.
The radio alternation, there's no radio use in,
well, any part of the Arctic or Antarctic,
any part of Alaska or Canada.
It did go further south yesterday and further north from the Antarctic.
There it comes.
That must have been the impact.
Was that?
No, that's not 1900.
Maybe it started over.
Let's get to 1900.
Let's see.
Let's get to 1900.
Right here and see if there's an impact.
I see it just the opposite. I don't see an impact at all.
I don't see an extra impact. There was a small impact, maybe.
Maybe. What you're seeing right
here is we're starting over from the initial impact,
i.e. clock started over. So we go to,
as you can see, 1900 here.
We don't see the pillow cap absorption event.
Moving back up or moving back down, i.e. another impact.
That's the start over of the clock, okay?
This here, watch the clock, 17, 18, no movement whatsoever.
No movement whatsoever in the polar cap absorption event.
We did see that proton impact at 1900 UTC time,
just as Noah and NASA said.
So, it's probable that they are correct.
I was just expecting the X5.16 to be the one
that caught one of the other two flares,
not the other two flares catching each other
and creating a cannibal CME,
which is exactly what it looks like we might have had last night.
Now here's the real data and where my problem arose.
A rose.
What we have here, look, it's just starting to go up here.
But what we had here at 1900, it's right here,
and you can see something happened.
What happened?
Well, plasma went way down, way,
way down at the impact point here, and so did solar
winds, went way, way down,
almost like we got impacted from something from behind.
And then you can see plasma, its height is 23 centimeters.
Well, we went up to...
Just at 100 centimeters, look at here, 104 was the maximum
on the first event or two events, if that's what occurred.
Shields were down. Shields are basically up here,
and that might be the difference, but we're only dealing
with plasma of 24.39 and solar winds of 850.
When really, they were twice that fast
for that thing to get here in 26 hours.
See if solar winds move way up.
All right, now we're starting to see some solar winds.
But look at plasma,
0.96 when the temperature shot way up.
So maybe the next bar to drop will reflect
the solar winds here.
But I'm wondering if we're not about to see much heavier plasma.
that might be pushing these solar winds up
because a coronal mass ejection is made of plasma
by definition. Solar winds are only caused by coronal holes
and they can be pushed ahead by
plasma but plasma is generated by solar flares and filament eruptions.
Regularly when you see
something like this all of a sudden you'll see
the plasma come into play. Now if we see plasma shoot
250 to 70 centimeters cubed.
I'm going to think that this is definitely our second event,
but I'm not going to think that it started at 1900 back here
because we have plasma at 0.42,
and I've got solar winds at 277, right?
And the height of plasma is 24.39,
which does look like an impact here,
but I can point to this right here.
And say, wait, 184.34?
What's that, right?
So I'm having some problem with the data here.
I just don't think that that's enough plasma for an X5.61
or 1.6 directly Earth-facing.
And definitely didn't think that the solar winds were strong enough.
Although when I returned, it looks like they were being pushed up.
That plasma all of a sudden shoots up to here.
That's definitely going to be the third impact.
If not, maybe we had our second impact.
It's hard to tell.
Really, anything's possible, as we all know.
I was just showing you all some numbers.
The coronal winds and plasma lifted off the sun,
and they must have moved at 1,600 kilometers per second, right?
1,600.
Now, this is almost as fast as we've ever seen solar winds, 958.
And this might be what they slowed down
to when they hit our Discover satellite,
which is, again, a million miles from Earth at Lagrange Point 1.
We do have some serious, serious, well, heat.
Temperatures have risen here.
So this might just be the start of a major impact.
I'm not quite sure if this is it.
Well, gosh, it's hard to explain that being the start of a CME.
And why would plasma go down to zero here,
0.59, 1.96, while solar winds get pushed up,
unless all of a sudden we see a surge in plasma,
which I will cover later tonight.
And then that means that that's going to be...
Your actual third hit,
this might have been the second hit through here.
I'm just asking some questions based on the data.
Now, when I started my inquiry,
plasma wasn't yet down to 0.6,
and solar winds weren't up yet to 958.
The plasma should be much, much higher.
The solar winds.
Should be being pushed up.
They should have been pushed up here, here.
I guess at some level they were.
So NASA is saying that this is the impact
from the third CME.
Again, very plausible, very plausible.
I just don't love the plasma.
Well, only going to 23.47.
And only going
to 25.69.
And the 24.57 is with our shields down, by the way.
It looks like our shields did pop up there.
This is a hard call.
Hard call.
So that's what's going on, folks.
They're saying all three have impacted the planet.
We're still in a solar storm and proton storm.
Well, I'm looking for a stronger or bigger bar to drop.
Let's look at that real quick.
I keep going back to our estimated planetary KP index
because it's our most up-to-date.
We just paid millions to redo this, and it measures it by the third.
And this is, well, I believe a G2.
Let's get a number on that.
Yes, so initial impact from the...
From the X5.61 or X5.16
solar flare and associated
coronal mass ejection
is a KP6G2 geomagnetic storm.
So the two much, much smaller ones combined
to really tear us up brings us to some of the highest levels.
of kp index or geomagnetic storm that i've ever seen
and the stronger x flare only brought us to a
g2 geomagnetic storm or a kp6 unless the next bar
to drop comes in at seven or eight and then i'm
going to say okay maybe they were right
at this point i'm having a hard time swallowing that this
This is the initial impact.
For the 5.16 X-Flare associated coronal mass ejection,
especially based on the math
and the speeds that we know it must have been moving,
if it got here in 26 hours.
We will know by about 7.15 tonight.
So in a couple hours when that next shoe drops, we'll know.
If it has a really staunch KP index,
then I am going to think that the first one caught the second one.
The second one caught the first one, excuse me,
and then we're seeing the impact from
the much stronger X5 flare now.
All right, folks, that's what I have to say.
I will be back tonight to update it, you know.
Again, it's plausible that they're 100% correct.
I say that for several reasons,
but I question the G2 KP6 impact from the X5.
Whereas this does look like a double impact,
one, two, and then this very well could be
a third impact, but if so,
it's dwindling quick for an X5 event.
God bless, folks.
We'll hopefully see y'all tonight.
Y'all have any pictures of Aurora Borealis?
Please send them in at 10 o'clock central.
We're going to be showing pictures of Aurora Borealis.
Hopefully y'all come and enjoy.
And we're going to be looking at Stevies
and all the different formations and radiation
that hit the ground last night
and is going to be hitting the ground tonight again.
God bless.
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Bizarro world.
