The next target for Ukrainian drones is one of Rosneft's most ambitious projects; 114 strikes

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The number of Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil refineries this year has already doubled compared to last year. In 2026, Ukrainian drones carried out 114 strikes on oil refineries in Russia, Bloomberg reports .
The agency notes that the attacks have led to a reduction in oil refining volumes in Russia to a multi-year low, exacerbated fuel shortages on the domestic market, and forced Russian authorities to restrict the export of gasoline, diesel, and aviation fuel. Among the companies whose operations were hit, Rosneft stands out in particular. It operates 12 oil refineries, accounting for approximately a third of Russia's total oil refining capacity. Thus, of the 15 confirmed attacks on Russian oil refineries in September, five were directed at major Rosneft facilities. These facilities supply fuel to European Russia, the country's largest consumer of petroleum products. Analysts also point to the prospect of further expansion of the attacks' geography. According to the agency, if diplomatic efforts fail to secure an energy ceasefire, the Vostok Oil Arctic terminal —one of Rosneft's most ambitious projects, located approximately 800 km from Omsk, where the local oil refinery has already been attacked twice by Ukrainian drones this year—could come within range of Ukrainian drones.

Media previously reported that Russia's unwillingness to comply with any energy ceasefire options forced Ukraine to resume attacks on Russian oil refineries. Volodymyr Zelenskyy ordered the resumption of strikes on Russian oil refineries following Vladimir Putin's demarche. The United States was prepared to offer Ukraine an extension of the Starlink network's range by 300 km into Russian territory, as well as consider providing new batches of Patriot missiles, in exchange for 14 weeks of no strikes on the enemy's oil industry. It was the Kremlin's actions that put paid to the prospects of an agreement. This is discussed in an article in The Wall Street Journal . " We were informed that Zelenskyy stated that he would agree to refrain from attacks on Russian energy facilities ," the report emphasized. The WSJ claims that Washington's plans were thwarted by new Russian military strikes on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, which demonstrated Vladimir Putin's unwillingness to comply with the energy ceasefire announced by Donald Trump.
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