LSU vs. Mississippi State Over 55.5 Betting Pick and Odds

Just quickly on this LSU-Mississippi State game here, guys. 18.5 points spread now as the book try and figure out, hey, what does Miss State look like without Kamario Taylor? I think it's tough to tell, but I think there's now value on this over 55.5. This total has been dropping, understandably. There's two sides of this. Firstly, I think Mississippi State has probably known that Kamario Taylor is not going to play this game for a while. Kamario Taylor is obviously, if he's not healthy enough to play, he's not been practicing, which means this team has been giving you know the the new quarterback the opportunity to come in here and perform i assume it's Parker Puckett the freshman who uh you know came in in relief of Kamario against Alabama and can miss state get me 10 points it might be enough because this is a lane running up spot i mean this is a lane score as many points as you humanly possibly could imagine Mississippi State's defense is bad Mario had nothing to do with that LSU is four and two they might need to run the table to get in some will say obviously I don't think that is obvious because of who they play if they beat Bama and Texas lose at Tennessee and are nine and three I think they're gonna have an argument right like they're not going to be outside of the top 15 at nine and three in my opinion so this is one where minus 16 team of the country style points style points style points here i think lsu could flirt with 50 but i don't think i need to leave miss state's offense out of this because i just think that that is uh it's almost it's bonus points to me a little bit here Dave if this team's well prepped off a buy a couple of trick plays or yeah and again maybe LSU just do this whole thing because Mississippi State can't move the football turn it over a bunch and again LSU wins this game 56 nothing that's fine i just think we get over the 55 and a half yeah it going from 14 to 18 and a half scared me off any thought I had about taking a side in this game you know if Mississippi State can score and they have shown they can score in bunches but if they can do it without Camario Taylor then your 55 and a half is more than live because that has come down drastically you know you talk about LSU and and needing to win this one to win it big there is a 16 in front of Mississippi State which only helps LSU when they're nine and three and fighting for a spot if you can say you've won by four touchdowns over a number 16 team in the country that said i'm not sure anyone's going to look at beating Mississippi State a month from now when Mississippi State's lost four or five games without Taylor as this being a big win but you know how Lane is and he's upset that he lost last week at LSU they have the two losses they can't afford another loss so it may very well be a hey pick your score and you know i've looked at the LSU team total a little high for my blood but if you like the over you could go that way as well