Oklahoma vs. Kentucky Betting Preview: Take the Points

The Oklahoma Sooners are sitting six and a half here against the Kentucky Wildcats. How does this happen? Well, think about what was believed of these teams coming into the year. OU was a top 10 team in the country. Kentucky, well, certainly not. Kentucky, in fact, Kentucky were unranked going into the LSU game. In fact, they were four and one. all the way up here now to 15. Do a bit of spread math if anybody is interested. Kentucky's most recent road game was South Carolina. They were a two-and-a-half-point dog to the Gamecocks. Is Oklahoma four points better than South Carolina? Seems reasonable. Seems reasonable. Kentucky, I mean, they were an eight-and-a-half, nine-and-a-half-point home dog to LSU. Some smart people thought that made sense. other smarter people said no it doesn't uh and rolled with the Wildcats here's the interesting thing guys and i'm super excited to get your breakdown on this one Dave Kentucky right now just continue to find ways right they continue continue continue to find ways it is difficult though to have to do it again and this is an Oklahoma team whose season has new life following their upset over the Texas Longhorns i am not laying this number with OU there's a different way for me to attack but how do we get to this number i at least see how we landed here with this one Kevin it jumped out to me right off the bat i think i sent you and our producer a text the minute i saw it the narratives i get it Oklahoma has new life Kentucky can they do this every single week but i'm going to take advantage of the number that's posted there and back-to-back wins upset wins over South Carolina LSU the Wildcats won with QB efficiency aggressive fourth down decisions and late game execution Kenny Minshew completed 67% of his passes didn't throw an interception has thrown just one interception in 178 attempts they're doing the small things right why does that matter the efficiency matters because Oklahoma has a darn good defense. Ranks first nationally in EPA per play, coming off a huge win in the Red River rivalry. Top 10 defense in yards allowed and scoring. I get it. That makes sense. But they also have no offense. They scored 27 over the Longhorns. That's the most they've scored all season, if you don't count the UTEP game where they won 51-0. They scored 37 combined points against New Mexico, Georgia, and Michigan. So, Kentucky is different. I get it Kentucky has not played great defense even in their wins they're winning you posted the schedule a minute ago 35 34 winning on two-point conversions in overtime allowing 21 points in almost every single game Oklahoma may very well end Kentucky's dream season today in Norman but I don't think they blow them out because Oklahoma doesn't blow anybody not named UTEP out think about it they beat UTEP lost to Michigan struggled against New Mexico needed a rally versus Texas Because Kentucky has proven it already that they can win these games. They've beaten A&M. They've beaten South Carolina. They've beaten LSU. Could they win? Absolutely, because they're efficient and they do smart things under Will Stein. I'm taking the seven. I took the seven the minute I saw it, the minute I texted you and our producer. I thought this was way too high. And it's more about Oklahoma not being able to score than it is anything else. Because, yes, it is a spot where, at some point, the wheels are going to fall off for Kentucky. and we're going to talk about that with Missouri in a few minutes. I just think Oklahoma doesn't have enough offense to lay seven. They couldn't do it against New Mexico. They couldn't do it against Michigan. Why do I think they're going to do it versus Kentucky? Yeah, so what I agree with, though, is just the offensive challenges coming into this game. And, man, one of the, I think, at least for me, I think one of the things I enjoy the most in betting this sport is when you can bounce around using the same team so last week Red River loved the over we get there i understand there was chaos involved i kind of thought there would be chaos involved in getting to that and now Kentucky is here and the total is five points higher Oklahoma had two defensive special teams touchdowns Oklahoma including the UTEP game averaged 23 points per game you take just the power conference games it's 17 again their offense did not score 14 of their 27 from last week against Texas and I don't I mean Kentucky's just not going to in my eyes at least put up a big number here today We'll be right back.