Election Night Prediction Markets Track Key Senate Races

Kansas, just to give you an update here, and this is with $12 million of value over on Kalshi. Roger Marshall, Republican, has moved up about 4% in terms of tickets here to 30%. Adam Hamilton, 70%, unfamiliar with either of these guys. Same thing in Michigan. Mike Rogers goes from 14% up to 17%. Abdul El-Sayed, 83%. That's with $39 million of value over on Kalshi. Tallarico and Paxton, as I said, 73-27, so not that significant. So, you know, don't want to get too crazy there. And the latest on the midterms here for control over the Senate, the Democrats holding steady here at 80% over on Kalshi to get a sweep. It's 79% for the Democrats, 15% a split between the House and Senate. And the Republican sweep is now up to 3.4%. It was 3%. So it's just basically four tenths of a percent, 3.4% up from 3%, not a full percent, tenths of a percent. Yep, and we got the next polls closing in about 12 minutes now on the East Coast at 7.30. So, again, next round of information that comes in, we have got you covered. I'll give you a couple of other interesting races to keep an eye on. Nebraska is one of them, where the independent Osborne is taking on the incumbent Ricketts. And right now, we're seeing Ricketts about 65%, 70%. The problem is the latest polls. Have it at about 50-50. So the market is saying 65-70. The polls are saying a different thing. Those are the kinds of markets like handicapping any sport and any team you're looking for discrepancies to focus in on. And that's exactly what we're doing with the prediction markets here on on election night. So that's just one of them. The same thing with Ohio. The same thing with Alaska. North Carolina as well also has discrepancies between what the market says. And what the leading indicating polls are telling us. So those are the kinds of things that we're going to keep an eye on you here right up through the top of the hour.