Behind Putin's back, a "war" began between Russian technocrats and the FSB
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The New York Times reports that a "quiet war" is underway within Putin's regime between technocratic agencies and the FSB over methods of digital control over society. A Russian official involved in the development of digital infrastructure told the publication this. According to a NYT source, technocratic agencies, including the Ministry of Digital Development, are in conflict with the FSB's "infamous political-police unit." This refers to the FSB's Second Service, which is tasked with protecting the constitutional order and conducting political investigations. The source claims that, despite having access to digital tools, the FSB was not involved in their creation and prefers older, analog methods of surveillance and control. According to him, security officials are prepared to destroy technologies that technocrats have spent billions on if they interfere with the traditional model of fear and manual control. The Washington Post reports that amid the war, a rift is growing within the highest echelons of Russian power , including between civilian officials in the presidential administration and the FSB. One of the Post's sources compared the intensifying internal struggle ahead of the State Duma elections to the conflicts within the Kremlin before Boris Yeltsin's reelection in 1996. One of the reasons for the conflict is the struggle for influence. A NYT source notes that artificial intelligence could undermine the very rationale for the existence of the FSB's sprawling apparatus, which relies on human work, agents, denunciations, surveillance, and force. Ultimately, both sides are competing for the attention and favor of one man: Vladimir Putin. Officials, technocrats, business leaders and figures at the top of the military-security establishment seized new opportunities for enrichment while largely avoiding comment on the war.
Five years on, the rising cost of the war is testing that arrangement. Putin’s determination to achieve victory – despite setbacks – has placed increasing burdens on Russia’s business and political leaders. The relationship between the Russian state and elites has changed in three distinct ways – with direct implications for Putin’s grip on power. Putin’s full-scale war against Ukraine immediately affected state-owned business and the private sector in Russia. While some benefited from the expansion of the defence sector and from acquiring assets left behind by foreign companies, the shock of international sanctions and the move towards a more isolated economy cost billions for the top business owners. Putin is not only asking the elites to fund his war but has begun to seize their assets. The process injects cash into a war-strained economy, while giving security officials incentives to pursue profitable assets to demonstrate loyalty and climb the ranks.
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