آيا جنگ بزرگ در راه است؟ | گفتوگو با شایان سمیعی

Epoch Times Persian
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13 Video Views·Jul 14, 2026
آقای شایان سمیعی، کارشناس امنیت ملی در برنامه نگاه سوم پیرامون سفر نخستوزیر عراق به آمریکا، احتمال تصرف جزیره خارگ توسط نیروهای آمریکایی و علل ایجاد اختلال مقامات جمهوری اسلامی در تفاهم پاکستان صحبت میکند.
او همچنین درباره احتمال وقوع جنگ بزرگ توضیح میدهد.
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Video Summary
AI GeneratedShayan Sami, a national security expert, discusses the escalating tensions between the US, Israel, and the Islamic Republic of Iran. He analyzes the strategic implications of the Iraqi Prime Minister's visit to the US, the potential seizure of Kharg Island, and the broader \"Great War\" scenario designed to paralyze the Iranian regime through multi-front pressure.
Mr. Shayan Siami, National Security Advisor from Washington, D.C., welcomes you to Parsi Paktan.
I am honored by your presence, madam, and grateful for your invitation. The presence of the people is the essence of Iran.
What message does Iraq's Foreign Minister, Mr. Al-Said, have for the U.S. during his visit? Do you think something significant is happening behind the scenes?
How many Fridays can this issue be viewed from?
One, Iraq is seeking only to continue cooperation with the United States in order to overcome that level of vulnerability.
Tighten up a bit the situation existing in the Iraqi government.
We know that the Iraqi Foreign Minister, Mr. Fuad Hussein, had a meeting with President Trump's envoy, Mr. Qafashari, on this matter.
He might reach this position, and in the end, he won't even show his true colors to Persi.
But another issue is this as well.
The minimum in current conversations in the United States revolves around this.
The Iraqi Foreign Minister's visit carries a message that
Iraq wants to ask the United States, and even more so, Israel.
If hostilities with the Islamic Republic were to resume
How will the situation in Iraq unfold?
Are rights and entitlements due to Iraq?
Now, what about the loss of power supply that the Islamic Republic receives?
Or the loss of its own airpower?
Or the loss of aircraft capability for travel?
And these tasks that need to be done there
How can it be repaired?
They are scheduled to speak.
Behind the scenes, in my opinion
These features are being reviewed.
In case of renewed hostility
With the Islamic Republic
How could Iraq possibly?
Support himself.
Two U.S. states
And even alongside the United States
What territories can Israel give to Iraq?
So that this conflict does not draw in Iraq
that the Islamic Republic does not want
Include Iraq in this confrontation as well.
Recently, Donald Trump had his skin repainted.
In Tro Social
That goes back to the year I made the movie.
1988
That period which it mostly goes back to
After the war
In the Iran-Iraq War
The question is about that skin
Regarding Trump's statement on the matter
He mentioned in one of his talks about the seizure of Kharkiv.
And Trump is showing this by reposting it.
Now let's go back to this scenario
that Trump recently said
Maritime operations begin.
From my seventh day to today
And within it, this is
Naval forces are much less vulnerable to attacks.
But these two are extremely incompatible with each other.
When we put these together
Can we say that we might soon witness this?
that it be seized
It is highly likely.
Just like this
As you rightly point out
Mr. Trump in reality
Reposting with that
That problem which
Something from 1988
It's that time again.
In fact, he is teaching himself.
that this is still
One of the job options
For the United States
This is one-sided.
On the other hand, two days ago
Former Commander of Saint Cam
that he also has very skilled hands
Above the ground
Military supplies
And
Importance of Khark
Even during the command period
He was doing it himself too.
announced that the best way is
For the United States
Ahead of
Act accordingly
Oya
Stole this
War of the Kharkivs
So in reality, it's leading us to this point where
Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces
In the United States
It is reminding me that
"Acting recklessly" is one of the options.
Former commander
Area of jurisdiction
Harq Island
They
It reminds me that
It could become a bottleneck there.
Alright, the government
Islamic Republic of Iran
More than any other attack
Ground-based system
Just a moment, please.
When we look at this collection as a whole
We can see that
U.S. capability in deployment
Power
On the island of Hark
At the end of the control point, the terminal
And the oil terminal there
There is one that exists in reality
Economic artery of the Islamic Republic
Naval battle
that could have economic capability
Islamic Republic of Iran
Take it away even more
And even the possibility
Delivering rights
To the forces of repression
The Islamic Republic as well from the Islamic Republic
Take it.
And focus
Israel targets locations in Gaza
in other regions of the country
Scheduled
Re-enter the operation again.
In fact, he has a curse on him.
It sets a record for the Islamic Republic.
that no kind of
Planning
They can't have it.
This way of thinking
Goal setting
Military
That is why it is like this
The Islamic Republic truly cannot
Let him think that
Which faction should go to Khvād?
Fight and confront
Which front should he forget?
Because if
Enter from the south.
And if
What enmity is there from the West
What from the east
How can it enter the country from the north?
In reality, the Islamic Republic
It loses the path of response.
That number is
What we see are the Sepah's martyrs.
and individuals
Very cold indeed
They are currently doing it.
They are trying to approach it from the perspective of
Military confrontation and direct clash
Not from the aspect of said
As you say
This aspect has become extremely confrontational.
In the Strait of Hormuz and on both sides
They're showing that no step has been taken
They don't care anymore.
And both of them are making it even more intense.
Now the question arises: whether it's really true
Do you think that the long-term program
That's Trump.
Keep going, Westen, how far can you go?
Continue or not, Trump is doing it.
Show his own power to the Islamic Republic.
That either comes down to this agreement
Or this
It will be extremely, extremely rocky.
Negotiation
Engage
Peripheral countries
Persian Gulf
He wants to make an anonymous letter for himself.
Facing the danger of annihilation
A piece of paper
However, the United States has also reached this conclusion.
that this trend
It's not productive.
Even we saw Trump saying from one side
Talks can continue
It will be found, but the fire will soon end.
Found it, in fact
He is a contradiction himself.
that the Islamic Republic cannot think
that if the negotiations
It continues.
Then let's just burn it all down.
Why has it come to an end?
If the ceasefire has ended
So it means we didn't come up with a solution for him.
We will arrive soon, so no worries then
What is the negotiation for?
The thing that exists right here is that
The United States as we know it
In the context of the elections
and the members of the Republican Party
Candidates of the Republican Party
Less than Mr. Trump
They are making this request.
A solution
Or have done an action
Have had a setback
through which
And referring to that
A request from the people
Re-apply for re-selection
Mr. Trump himself knows that
Even if he can't
Confrontation with the Islamic Republic
Towards a conclusion
What matters is that it's actually the same one
The collapse of the Islamic Republic government
Person
Even the slightest straightness
Weakening this government
It must have moved forward.
that can enable the chance to compete
And the cold from
Take the Democrats
Right now, Mr. Trump is doing
It is actively working in that direction.
And even today, just like this
Arrived and announced
that we are from the trend
We weren't the ones who negotiated secretly.
And even
The issue of the memorandum of understanding
In the form of one
It was a test for the Islamic Republic.
that they were in that exam
It has the power to break down, in truth
He tells us that we're planning the same thing.
We wanted a little bit more
Let's spend it now, let's spend our time
We have reached the stage
The next one as well, at that time and place
And the position that we ourselves
We're going to take care of it.
And in these attacks
Foreign countries entirely
They support Islam.
We hear it all the time in the news.
who are talking about the great war
Could you please draw something for us?
How will this great war unfold?
Look, the great war
The first thing we must understand is that
What aspiration does he have?
What does it need?
The Great War in truth
That means "anghe"
Under pressure from the Islamic Republic
Set it up.
The Islamic Republic, just as I mentioned
Ability to concentrate
He didn't have a front on one side.
Islamic Republic to this
Let me check, let me check if it'll get me into trouble
If I take the southern front
What should I do about the north, east, and west?
If I go to the north and west
I will proceed southward.
How can I offer support?
And with
Taking into account the fact that
Hashem's Gulf of Persia
They are looking
and they see the Islamic Republic
That ability
To remain stable
He doesn't have a word of his own.
They are also acting in the interest of security.
They think their own nation is superior.
An amel in the middle
It exists, and it's a drop.
Qatar has never at any time
Opportunity
The feasibility of building for oneself
I won't let go
Qatar is currently more than anything else having
He/She is trying to
A place for himself
Create greatness in the region.
From
Acting stubborn and sickly
There isn't any clothing.
Because he assumes it beforehand
that a government
Islamic Republic
Weakened
For the sake of values
Its own national security
TA
A free government in Iran
A free government
From right and rights
Common people of Iran in the squares
Gas and oil
It will not pass as a commonality.
But the Islamic Republic due to
Support requirements
Maybe he can claim his rights and entitlements
Not only in the amount
Five five even in the level
Seventy-five to twenty-five as well
Excuse me, for that very reason
To the economic benefits of Qatar
It helps more.
But it is here that the eyes of the blind come to me.
Bahrain UAE
Arabic
Saudi Arabia and Kuwait
More pressure on America
They will enter.
Don't forget from another perspective either.
When Mr. Tarab comes, he says that
Passage and transit
Ships in the Strait of Hormuz
We are going to punish him severely.
But 20 percent
Abrahah's right
From countries such as
To the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates
and Bahrain and Kuwait
We receive it
They come to the conclusion that maybe not.
The best thing would be for us to come from
Let us set aside our own solidarity with the Islamic Republic.
The Islamic Republic's humiliation
Let's erase it once and for all
that we won't want any ship anymore
Reply with 20 percent more too
Let's go to America.
What really matters
We must not do it.
Just by that memory we see
the countries of the Persian Gulf region
They are mostly engaged in self-contradiction.
In interview or in
They are facing the Islamic Republic.
I'm trading currency again right now
An anonymous donor from Qatar
Because Qatar wants it for itself
Feasibility of the Bard region
Thank you very much and thank you so much
You seem to be the last one who knows the news
It turns out that Trump
Out of these 20%, a certain amount
Settled down and transformed it
About wanting to make a series of transactions
The other one with these countries
Do it, maybe there's a trick.
It was mostly a trick directed at Trump.
It could take better dialects.
With these countries
Mr. Saeed
Do you think that the people of Iran should
What are they waiting for?
In the coming days, if it wants to launch attacks
Could it get worse?
due to power outages
It was little before, now it's even less.
Raw materials for forensic materials might be possible.
With this explanation, they may be convinced.
Unfortunately, this possibility does not exist.
And of course, I'll exchange all these currencies.
Islamic Republic Government
Great effort
will do that
Access level
The people to
Azo compounds and required materials
The beginning of life
Hardly is it the case that in reality
Social pressure
Against
Now the military forces
Military confrontations
Or escalate the military conflict
In fact, the Islamic Republic wants
that this
Sin on the shoulders of the states
The United States and its allies, and even
Gulf Cooperation Council countries
Tell the people: Look, see
These were the ones who came and attacked us.
And materials in the initial stage
Reduced judicially
But during that very war
Don't forget my 38 days
That was the Islamic Republic.
that went to the supermarkets
And he used to say, "You must"
Raw materials
Supply the forces with the required resources.
He would say to the poets: You must
Judge these and put them opposite
None of them either
It does not pay the debt.
If
Another military intervention begins
Back
Islamic Republic Government
It will do this task.
But in that situation, he is
With the resilience of the Iranian people
With the support of the people of Iran
The Islamic Republic again
To that goal he has
I know the warning.
He should have told Trump
The only thing the Islamic Republic is good at is its per capita.
They are the ones who are arrogant.
It's just these negotiations.
But then he said even this is not good enough.
Because they don't get what they want
Or the thing they want
I won't leave it in their hands.
Now the question is, really
Now that such a war has begun
Among the officials of the Islamic Republic
Anyway, that legitimacy
And this war with all neighboring countries
And the war with neighboring countries
America is getting its picture taken.
What a nice guy he is, sitting there in the back
They are the ones continuing this war.
So much as you quarrel
As much time as there is opportunity
The opportunity for a treaty agreement
They had it with America
Now, what would the people of Iran have read if they had had this opportunity?
What's behind that thought?
Is it ideological from your perspective?
Or did they want the materials?
They keep 60% of what they earn themselves.
And do not entrust them with any security.
What is behind it?
that policy
The Islamic Republic is leading it in this direction.
That's all of us going to war
You're pointing out a very interesting detail.
You literally put your hand on it
Where the government
Islamic Republic
Only and only thinking about
He is on his own.
Islamic Republic Government
You said that
What good is there that would want
Take this solution into account.
The Islamic Republic doesn't care about well-being at all.
Islamic Republic
Suffering from a tumor
that he thinks
However much
More pressure
Put it on the world
The world, after all, is somewhere
He is forced to sit idle.
Of course, I'll do that too.
Drawing conclusions in the past
Because of this much
There were different sites.
the major countries of the world
Now for every occasion
They had to.
a little bit from the interactive way
Forward brand, assuming
Just the Islamic Republic
Again and again
From different states of the United States
or even European countries
Managed to do it
Make financial investments
In opposition to gangsterism
The major countries of the world
For the sake of liberation
Citizenship
They were forced to do that thing.
But the Islamic Republic viewed it
With this gang affiliation, I can
Get a better result
Get some money.
Why don't I do this?
Then, no, the Islamic Republic
It's right here.
What needs to be done in Kermanshah
Do it.
which is a month of remaining
The government to two months
Convert it from three months to six months.
But
In the field of improvement
Life of the people of Iran
Is there a solution?
Very much so, if improvement
People's lives in Iran, thought
They could have said it was possible.
enriched uranium
We do not use any created ones.
The ones who are governments
The great world government of America
The one you're talking about is this much
This issue is important to you.
Bring your equipment.
Let's extract these here
Under the scrutiny of international organizations
Let's dilute these.
For the medical track
Not only in Iran
Moreover, let us also use it in neighboring countries.
Iran also through this way
It can have a dramatic moment.
This is just a sample
No to the Islamic Republic
But many times we have seen
He's thinking about his own survival.
And now the major countries of the world
Reading the Islamic Republic's hand
Puselg this interaction
They don't have anything else with them.
And a person
Unpredictable
Just like Trump too
In the capacity of the Presidency of the United States
There is a moment when
The one who feels
They're heading toward the hash, as they say.
They issue licenses.
That difficult moment
He takes it seriously.
Which we have seen many times before
In this very 38-day war
What about the 12-day war?
By sending
Fighters without wings
or even in terrorism
From the board of Qasim al-Sulayman
