اختلاف در رأس قدرت؛ حملات به کشتیها و نقش ترامپ | گفتوگو با آریا کنگرلو

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آقای آریا کنرگرلو، استاد دانشگاه و تحلیلگر مسائل سیاسی به این موضوع میپردازد که آیا در میان سران جمهوری اسلامی درباره حملات به کشتیها اختلافنظر وجود دارد؟ همچنین در این گفتوگو، رفتار دونالد ترامپ در قبال ترکیه و روابط ترکیه و جمهوری اسلامی را بررسی کردهایم.
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AI Generated·May contain errors
Welcome back to another conversation, from the perspective of Three W, from Persian Apocalypse.
I am satisfied with the month of Safar, and today's guest is Mr. Doctor Arya Kangarlu.
A university professor and political analyst. Mr. Kangarlou, welcome.
Thank you very much, Ms. Qanei, for both of you, and I'm delighted to be with you and your audience.
Mr. Kangaroo, the attacks carried out by the Islamic Republic against the ships,
Do you think there are signs of a rift between Qalibaf and the leaders of the Sepah within the country?
What are the factions within the Islamic Republic?
No, you don't think Qalibaf is happy about this issue right now and hasn't been surprised by these attacks.
If we consider the options that lie ahead of the Islamic Republic
We see that the Islamic Republic no longer has any other option.
that three options they have had 47 years of their rule
Destroying those options was the root of this entire problem.
He took it from them, the U.S. and Israel took it from them.
Not only did they take from them, but they also showed them what remained.
They will take from them and will deprive them of that which they have.
For those who have invested their entire lives into this thing
Because of the investment made in this tool
They severed their ties with the Iranian people.
Opposing the Iranian nation, undermining the light of the Iranian nation
Turning Iran into a poor country, transforming one of the wealthiest lands in the world into a poor one.
Turning into a poor country, economically bankrupting
With the hope of using all Iranian resources to build that tool
that they thought it was necessary to build an empire in the region
They think they're showing off.
But after 47 years of struggling to build the tool, to construct this empire
Now they see that everything has been lost.
Therefore, relying on the narrowness of the Hormuz Strait
Lifting the hand and placing the chin on the narrowness of the pyramid
It is the final proof for the Islamic Republic.
For his own survival and for continuing along that previous path
Now, if the Islamic Republic tightens the Strait of Hormuz to the passage
He has lost everything.
It means America and Israel have reduced a country to a state of extreme weakness.
From within, by striking twenty thousand military targets
and demonstrated that they have the capability to do so within the next two weeks as well
Even what remains, knock it down too
They turned that country into
Things like a country, for example, Somalia
who only dwell within themselves, wallowing in their own misfortune and wretchedness
And have a wretched and impoverished life
However, the Islamic Republic is attempting to do so by seizing the Strait of Hormuz.
Facing the transformation into a country unrelated to issues
You'll take the middle one, that's exactly why this is happening.
It's rubbing off on him, rubbing off on America, slapping him with a whip.
They are pressuring Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and the UAE.
And if regarding this issue
I mean, regarding the survival of this regime, all members of this regime
In a certain context regarding survival, it was stated that if this regime
The misfortune that will befall Wahi will come upon him just as it did before.
Qalibaf and Eghbalchi are coming; in the future, a free Iran will emerge.
They don't exist anywhere. What I mean is, the deliberate destruction, murder, and torture.
These are not it, and what I mean is a position among the Iranian people in the future.
It will not be equal to this if there is any difference between the carpet weaver and
Havidi exists; if there is a difference between the two factions, one faction
We must negotiate with America, and the other faction is also eager to negotiate.
I must build tools that can harshly handle
He should properly establish his own Islamic caliphate empire.
These two factions might exist within the government.
But even the faction that negotiated with America, that is to say
Negotiated like Qalibaf, Iraqchian, and the physicians.
Hear what Americans want from Americans?
The Americans will not agree to anything that they consider acceptable.
They will not be allowed to have any nuclear activities in the country.
They will not allow them to possess contraband items.
They won't be allowed to keep it in Iran with a high percentage.
They will not be allowed to build long-range ballistic missiles.
They will not be allowed to act through their own representatives.
Always act on those principles forever.
America is one thing when it comes to Israel truly being a local occupier.
Hizbullah in Lebanon has severely weakened the Lebanese government, to the extent that America has become deeply involved.
Empowering it and is making it more empowered in the future as well.
that it may enforce its national authority throughout Lebanon
And Allah has truly made him a force of a terrorist military wing from the museum.
that acts in the interests of Lebanon, expel it outside.
The Islamic Republic has ruined all of its own aspirations.
Asad went, Nasrallah went, Haniyah went.
We have no news about them if they could do anything.
That's precisely why, because they've lost everything.
Connect to the Hormuz Strait
But in my opinion, if they're now flying flags on both wings, they're doing the same thing.
What wing do you have working?
This Strait of Hormuz will bring about their destruction.
So that America and the world cannot allow it
that the Islamic Republic will establish a new innovation
means controlling a global free river
the other countries that are neighbors of other river basins
Like the Strait of Malacca, the Strait of Bab-el-Mandeb, the Bosphorus Strait, the Strait of Gibraltar, and the Strait of Hormuz
They also began to think about it and said, "Yes."
Can you get 45 billion dollars per year from this water?
Therefore, America cannot allow it to them.
Their insistence on this matter causes America to
Thank you so much anyway
South Kangarlu
How would you report on Trump's visit to Turkey?
Trump seems to be trying lately to gain the attention of the leaders of certain countries.
that they had less tendency toward the West, particularly toward America, in reality
And a greater inclination towards China and Russia
Among them, if we wanted to talk about Turkey
Given that it is a neighbor of Iran
And defends up to the Islamic Republic.
How much could this trip potentially achieve for Trump?
to draw Turkey more closely towards itself
The gap between Erdoğan and the Islamic Republic
Turkey has no emotional attachment to the Islamic Republic.
Turkey views the Islamic Republic as a money laundering hub.
As a government known for its corruption
Due to the circumstances that have saved me in Iran
Social disintegration, political disintegration
Iranian refugees are fleeing to Turkey.
They buy houses there, they buy houses in Antalya.
I don't know, they were looking for his summer accommodations there.
They go there to swim.
There, they live a free life, a normal life that everyone else has, they do it there.
Turkey has been receiving billions in funds for a long time.
Sanctions limitations before
imposed upon the Islamic Republic
Hundreds of millions of dollars are coming in.
Before Turkey has already undermined Iran's position in the region
Billions of dollars are coming in.
Before it became a primary partner of NATO in the region
Instead of Iran, which as Muhammad Reza Shah's After-Lavi we relied upon
We really would have had a NATO base in our region.
We were the security providers for our region and also received the reward.
These sets mean the uses that
The Islamic Republic's governments are supposed to be
Let them benefit their own people
No, so that everyone benefits except their own people.
And when Turkey has such criticism from the Islamic Republic
who benefits everyone except himself
He wants the Islamic Republic to remain in power.
But America to the issue of the relationship between Iran and Turkey
He looks at it in a way that America is currently in a NATO gap.
During Trump's time, in this nearly two-year period of Trump's
It has been one and a half years since Trump was in power.
America has completely undermined its relationship with NATO.
A one-way relationship that existed in the past
It meant America was spending money.
The Europeans, who were 80 years old and not thinking about imposing their own security
The tall one who was an uncle, the one who used to take care of them
Europe's security expenditures for America have been extremely high.
Perhaps an amount of around 23 trillion dollars over the past eight decades
Europe has been a financial burden for America.
The U.S. administration under Trump is redefining this relationship.
I told the Europeans that they need to strengthen themselves.
so that you can protect yourselves
For example, during the war with Ukraine, they were told
You must support Ukraine and stand with them.
And since he arrived, he hasn't gone back to Ukraine anymore.
He no longer provides the weapons that he used to give during Biden's time.
If American weapons are sent to Ukraine
They pay their bills to Americans.
There is such a relationship between America and Europe.
And this relationship is happening every day, and every day, and every day.
It will be placed in the new circuit.
Europeans are accepting a certain kind of bashfulness that
This is the trouble that has come upon Stram's head.
It is beneficial to both America and Europe.
And it is for the benefit of the rest of the world.
And in this new era
with stimuli and with support
It's being built under Trump's pressure.
Turkey has a very unique geography.
Turkey has the second-largest army within NATO.
After America
Turkey's contribution to European security
It is extremely, extremely important.
The United States has a relationship with Turkey from this perspective.
Do something so that Turkey takes over America's previous role.
And indeed, this will also have economic benefits for Turkey.
It will have political prestige.
And their influence is not limited to the rest of Europe.
Rather, in the rest of the Middle East as well
It will have such an influence.
But
On the other side
In the middle of the news
Competition between the Islamic Republic and Turkey
For the implementation of their own leadership
To the rest of the middle ground
450 million mid-range processor
It also has many extensive uses.
Whoever can impose themselves as the middleman broker
It will have economic, even ideological, implications for him.
Here is the Islamic Republic and Turkey.
Rival
They really do bring each other down.
You saw that in
Syria
In fact, Turkey's support
From Ahmed Al-Sharaa, love
that led Ahmad al-Sharaa to victory
He took out the card.
He expelled the supporters of the Islamic Republic.
Turkish supporters
They arrived there on duty.
Now Turkey is also involved in the middle sister.
Try to take on such a role
Let the game begin, and let the Islamic Republic try to catch up.
Of course, Turkey is a very valuable tool.
It's very much the case, including the fact that
The middle sister
that the Islamic Republic wants the leadership
Impose it upon themself.
They are all Sunni, and the Islamic Republic is Shia.
Middle sister
Absolutely not, Ruhani
Shia Islam in the Islamic world
It doesn't accept.
Even they do not accept them as Muslims.
What if they wanted to take their leader's head?
On the other hand
Erdogan treated him in a very delicate manner.
You acted towards them, meaning you showed it to them.
Turkey's relationship with the Islamic Republic
It is very complicated.
Turkey
On the other hand, he is afraid.
if the Islamic Republic were to collapse
For example
Kurds in Iranian Kurdish regions
They will build a launch platform.
Find for
Liberation
Iraqi Kurdistan
And then Turkey's Kurdistan
The loss of Kurdistan Turkey
It's a catastrophe for Turkey.
In terms of area
Half of the land of Turkey
From a demographic perspective
A population registry in Turkey will disappear.
Why would it happen?
And Turkey that remains
Much smaller
Very strategically significant
The equals of these fears
These points
They are Turkish flags.
that positions Turkey
and Turkey's museum
It defines the Islamic Republic.
For example, if we wanted to say it
The Islamic Republic had said that this ceremony
One of the largest mourning ceremonies ever held
forty
Estimated at fifty million people
participating
Of course, it also includes Iraq.
But as the Middle Eastern media are reporting
It was such that half of Iran's population
I attended this ceremony.
Why do media really have to
Do it this way
As reported
From the Islamic Republic
Internal media of the Islamic Republic
Report it
They were born in free countries.
They grew up in free countries.
In free countries, they devoted themselves to this craft.
What they have in their own country
They practice in their own culture.
which means the words coming out of the government's mouth
It doesn't matter if it's not real.
The letter that came from the mouth
For example, Canada's minister comes out.
or, for example, the U.S. Secretary of State
About an incident
For example, if the U.S. Secretary of State
He said during the session
He had two hundred, and the same five hundred, that same sāgird
America
One million people in Washington
There's no reason to show up.
Canadian or English media
Let him doubt in French on this matter.
And truly test it right away.
Grab it, shake it.
I don't know French.
Workshops of those people
I would never do such a thing.
They can't even do it properly.
So that they wouldn't have to do it
That is why, when from the mouth
A foreign leader
or, for example, a blingo
A foreign government
Or numbers like these come out
These are really naive just the way they are
Report that meter.
In order to do this first
Because of the thing I told you
They don't see any reason for it.
For example, why should they say
For example, these meters have gone up and down.
The political motive behind the initiatives
I don't understand the Islamic Republic.
And twice the one who
The place where something like this exists
They are reporting it now
They don't think that if
Report upwards or report downwards
Their arrows come down low.
What matters to you is just that they report.
You for reporting me
You need another source, don't you?
The place where the independent source is located in the country
Not walking
The only source that remains
It is an official government source.
And those who are like foreign media
European and American media candidates
Australian
New Zealand South Island Japan
The Free World in general
on this methodology
For example
An American journalist
The place where it wants to say something about
U.S. foreign embassies
He understands it and goes with one of the officials.
America's foreign markets are being taken over.
It does not go with Russian foreign officials.
It's been withdrawn regarding America.
This culture among them
And this culture that
Culture of Flow
Free Information, which is the culture of the entire media actors of the free countries of the world
This is what forces them to numbers and orgamis, or reports, or even sometimes analyses that
The Islamic Republic truly simplistically and naively undermines itself.
Do you think this type of reporting could have any impact on public opinion among people in other countries?
Can the Islamic Republic now succeed in presenting this show in another way to the people around the world, especially to world leaders?
I don't think you realize that until two months ago, he was saying things like the prayers of the American president.
Yesterday he said that five and four thousand people were killed.
Therefore, the figures that the Islamic Republic claims mean nothing to those who are truly important.
For example, it has no effect on someone like Donald Trump in their mind.
It has its own official sources, and it's privately accessing news about Iran.
He knows that he has always said, every time he speaks, that the Islamic Republic is detested by its own people.
80 to 90 percent of its people hate him; they want to overthrow him.
He started the war precisely because he knew that after the 18th and 19th of Dey
With the data that Netanyahu gave him and the data that CIA gave him
The degree of unpopularity and hatred toward the Islamic Republic regime has been firmly established.
And hoping that, after the crushing blows inflicted by the oppressive forces,
People whose majority openly oppose the Islamic Republic and demand the overthrow of the regime.
who started this war
Therefore, no
Of course, in a woman, one aspect has an effect, part of our own opposition.
I see some Persian-speaking analysts on these media outlets.
about the grandeur of these ceremonies
I had a friend who had recently gone to Iran.
In Iran, there are people who directly mention my name and address me directly.
Come to Iran and see Iran's advancements.
Come on, Iran — those who aren't like Dr. Kangarlou don't know what progress Iran has made.
This learned friend and our university professor, as soon as the mullah's kebab of the Islamic Republic sank beneath his teeth
He started really letting the water flow from his mouth, as if to symbolize the advancements of the Islamic Republic.
Therefore, among the opposition figures, there are also university professors who are members of think tanks.
Very influential think tanks, as well as very well-known ones, are also present.
Just like Nike in Washington D.C., they've managed to give themselves even credibility in playing a very important role.
Actually, it's not fair to treat him like that, especially when he's already been through so much.
Yes, these are the people who genuinely believe the statements made by the Islamic Republic.
Or those who pretend to believe for the financial incentives they receive.
This is my friend Farhikhadeh, who recently went to Iran.
And he's mocking me, saying you don't know anything about Iran.
This is my friend; I think it's because of his economic playlists.
Now it is like this, so shamelessly, in front of everyone, to hide the truth
And showing that reality is actually exactly 180 degrees opposite to what is present in the field.
Because it has a very high score, yes.
The lowest of the media outlets is part of the Persian-language media.
Exactly, the Islamic Republic line, despite the fact that POS opponents take it.
They appear to be opposing, yet they are echoing the exact same rhetoric of the Islamic Republic.
which has sustained the regime's survival for the past 47 years
Let's move on to a different topic for the remaining time, and let's address the issue of Iran's nuclear file.
The Security Council has convened a meeting regarding the nuclear file.
These days, we are seeing increasingly more statements from European officials regarding the Iranian nuclear file.
They are talking, and apparently they seem to have the intention of applying even more pressure.
Do you think there is a surgery that exists in any case for the Islamic Republic?
Deliver the 60% enriched materials at the end?
It won't work out, in my opinion.
It will not deliver enriched materials, nor will it solve the problem of the narrow pyramid.
For a very simple reason
Because if it passes by these two
That's not what I'm saying.
This is something that the officials of the Islamic Republic have become convinced of.
that if they lose these two weapons
They will go there, the same place where Muammar Gaddafi was.
And Saddam Hussein too
Fugi's future is awaiting
And the reason for this is America
It keeps repeating that we won't deploy ground troops in Iran.
We don't come, we don't get off, we don't walk.
Because of these two weapons they have in their hands
This very issue caused
On the other hand, America has also contributed to it.
the United States
They think that if the secrets of Burzen
Without losing these two weapons
Our enriched Quran
Hermoz Strait
In the end, they can do this with it
Talk, talk, talk
As much as the body's elasticity goes
His presidency is coming to an end.
My president exactly knows it.
the Islamic Republic
What does he want to do?
And do not allow them to have the right to end the presidency.
Republic means within the next two and a half years
The Islamic Republic with these two weapons
Stay in your own hands, the winner remains yours
Therefore, now America
He is during NATO
He interacts more with the Europeans.
The Urapais or the Bashbash managed to do it.
He deals with them more frequently.
We heard just yesterday about the Ukrainians who were in NATO
They said they're ready to come in.
Project opened
Let's help America with the Strait of Hormuz.
They are the Europeans.
When they did not leave Bijan
Inability
From the legal point of view that the program
The file of the Islamic Republic is correct after
It's correct as it is.
Greetings ten days before the end
deadline
End of the Bridge
Appeal to the United Nations Security Council
United Nations Security Council
and from the Security Council
They took the verdict of the Islamic Republic's violation
Now regarding this violation ruling
They don't sit down to work.
This ruling permits violation.
Security Council against the Republic
Islamic acts
Military
Do it.
And these military actions that
Do it in Europe.
This ruling is currently in the hands of the Europeans.
and the United States could cite
With this decree, all actions
Let him impose the system upon himself.
Can he invite the Europeans?
To America, to the union, in continuation, correct
The same thing that happened during the Gulf War
On the head of Saddam Hussein, a Kurd.
And these are all the available facilities.
All done
Really possible possibilities
There is something that can happen
It depends on this in the future.
Europeans and Americans
Cheshmeli in NATO
Act like an American
How much do they need Europeans?
For cooperation in the Persian Gulf
How dependent have Europeans been on Americans?
For cooperation in Ukraine
These two can do it.
Truly an opening-up journey
and the Islamic file
Take it to the Security Council.
then the Security Council
Meaning, despite America, to the Security Council
Iran and America
A new mandate
A new ruling from
The Security Council receives it for the purpose of confrontation
An Islamic militant with a fierce expression at that moment
At that time, the Europeans must participate in it.
Thank you.
Thank you very much, Dr. Araya Kanglu.
From New York
You've got it, I'll take care of it.
