MN weather: When will the rain clear out?

Welcome to your Monday afternoon. I'm meteorologist Keith Marlowe. Thank you for clicking on Fox Local for this wet Monday. That's mild, though, coming off of a warm Sunday. We were in the 70s yesterday. We've only done that in the month of November, 25 other times, as long as we've been keeping records. Going back to the 1870s, there's only been 25 Novembers that have had a 70-plus degree reading. Now, there may have been two or three days in each November that have had a 70-degree reading, but there have only been 25 Novembers on record, now 26, that have had a 70-plus degree date. Now, let's reflect on our October, shall we? Our October... Warm. Third warmest on record, tying with 1900, with an average temperature of 57.8 for the month. The warmest, 1947, with a 59.2. That 1947, by the way, is where we have one of our latest first freezes. Our second latest first freeze occurred in 1947, by the way. The latest first freeze is from 2016, which, if you'll note, is not falling under our warmest October. So it kind of flip-flops around, doesn't it? Our latest first freeze on record. is from November 18th. That's set back in 2016. And so far, we haven't frozen yet in the Twin Cities. And we don't look to until quite some time. Not until at least, we might see some 30s again popping in the metro by the end of this week. But at the moment, it's not forecast to be frozen. And by the middle to end of this week, we're in the top five latest first freezes. So we'll see about that. The warm sector, certainly, that's where we live. Temperatures upper 50s, lower 60s for the day today overall. Maybe some low to mid 60s actually once the sun goes down tonight as this warm sector and gusty breezes keep us very mild with dew points up in the upper 50s to near 60 and plenty of moisture as area of low pressures at the surface. But there's a big trough in the jet stream behind it and echoing that is a low in the upper atmosphere. And this much larger low is kind of forming on up and trailing behind this low. And so all comes up and through the area. It kind of deforms the rain and forms a much broader System that we'll have to deal with actually for three or three and a half days. Now, the moisture is all surging up from both the Gulf and the Pacific. It's causing a lot of flooding down across New Mexico, down into Colorado and in through Arizona. Click along Fox Local. We've got plenty of coverage on that as well, as well as some of our Fox affiliates. There's some catastrophic flooding going on. Down in the southwestern United States. Now, for us, all of this rain is leading to some good soaking, certainly, for the day-to-day. But then we start to have it peter on, not out entirely, but some long lulls going on. Overnight tonight and in through Tuesday and Wednesday, with often on light rain, drizzle and mist here and there. And then periods of some rain burst through, and then we take a break. And then off and on, very light, as we kind of nickel and dime our way into some higher totals, as we go on into Tuesday and into Wednesday proper, before we get to the backside of this in some cooler weather. Weather by cooler, I mean. closer to average but still above toward the middle of the week. Average highs are in the 40s. We'll be back to the 50s at least end of the day on Wednesday. But an average November has about an inch, 1.6 inches of rain or liquid equivalent rain. That would be rain and snow or melted down snow. We're talking about a half inch to an inch and a half by the time this wraps up late Wednesday into early Thursday. And just before lunchtime today, we were about a quarter inch already here in the metro, but Some folks, Fergus Falls, Travis and Big Stone County is already at an inch in western Minnesota. So an inch and a half to three, four or more inches possible in western Minnesota. So it's realistic. Some parts of our viewing area have a month's worth or even two months worth of rain across parts of our viewing area as a whole. So for today, gray, wet, humid, mild and breezy with steady soaking rain, 62 degrees for a day side temperature. But we might not have a high until the. Sun goes down tonight. Once we start to dry a little bit with off and on light drips here and there through the night and into tomorrow, we'll keep temperatures steady in the low to mid 60s through the night with higher levels of humidity and then temperatures fall back off to the low 60s or even the upper 50s by the end of the day tomorrow. And then they'll kind of fall back down to the low 50s with off and on light rain drops into the day on Wednesday as we go on into the middle of the week with these scattered light rain showers overall. Now as we look ahead on that seven day forecast, you'll see we'll start to dry up into our Thursday afternoon. With highs in the low 50s and keeping it in the upper 40s, that's finally something closer to a November temperature. Average high today is 49. That's what we're aiming for for temperature by Friday, which is, again, close to average. A weak wave giving us a signal, maybe a couple of drips on Saturday. Patchy sunshine as highs go back to the lower 50s as we head on into this upcoming weekend. Have a great Friday afternoon. Stay dry.