Another Strong X Class Solar Flare Pops Off November 14th 2025!

James Kaufman, World News Report Today. Ladies and gentlemen, it appears that we're finally finished with our five-day solar event that started out with three consecutive days of X-class solar flares and finished off with two days of a geomagnetic storm that went up to G4KP867 levels, a proton storm, a solar storm, which in fact is the same as a proton storm, And even a polar cap absorption event. Now all of a sudden, we've had another X-Flare as we slept. So just when we thought it was safe to go back in the water, bam! We got hit by another X-Class Solar Flare. Over here, our GOES X-Ray Flux. We can see that around 8.30 UTC time, about 1.30 in the morning central time, We got blasted by another X-class solar flare. This looks like it is about an X4, X4.05, again, around 8.30 UTC time, which translates to about 1.30 last night central time here in the U.S. Headed over to Space Weather Live, we see in fact it was an X4.05 solar flare. It did peak at 8.30 UTC time, which translates to about 1.30 last night central time. I was still up creating shorts at that time. I'm surprised that I did not catch it. This did come from Sunspot AR4274, although it's not marked. We'll soon prove it by actually seeing the flare pop off. Today, we've had, well, another M-class solar flare, an M1.8. Currently, we have a 30% chance of having an X-class solar flare. I would not be surprised to see AR-4274 light up once again with an X-class flare, although it is parting. It is on our parting limb currently. We did have an M-class solar flare. Today we had a 70% chance of having one and that ship sailed today. We've been running a sea baseline again now for about three or four weeks and we're currently at C 2.05 levels. Over to HMI Intensigram, you can see that 4274 has moved to the departing limb. I wish I could tell you that I was sure that this would not be geo-effective towards Earth, but NASA is counting on a glancing blow. Our geomagnetic connection is to the outgoing limb there. And believe it or not, we have a directly Earth-facing coronal hole today and should see solar winds impact the planet in about 40 hours to create yet another geomagnetic storm. Now, although our... Proton slash solar storm had subsided. This was just enough to bring the 10 million volt line up above the space weather threshold line again, putting us back into a solar storm and proton storm, if not for just a few hours. Remember, anything that moves the proton flux on GOES satellite, which is only 22,000 miles above Earth, It has a very good chance of being geo-effective here on Earth in the next 30 hours or so. And again, NASA has already modeled this, which again is something I'm not used to seeing. You can see our Archimedian spiral here. Earth is the yellow dot here. And you can see that there's some question as to if we'll catch a glancing blow from this coronal mass ejection. Or not. It's just a model. Might be able to see it better here and might be able to see it better here. It's going to be close. But again, we are connected geomagnetically, which is the black and white ropes to that outgoing limb, the far side here. And so even something on the far side has been geoeffective towards Earth this year. Over to SDO. This is going to be SDO Ultraviolet Imager. 195 angstroms. You can clearly see the X-class solar flare on the departing limb here. Sunspot AR4274. Very evident that it lifted a lot of plasma off the surface. And there was a coronal mass ejection that was lifted as well per NASA's model. We also have an earth-facing coronal hole currently, which could mean a significant uptick in solar winds in the next 30 to 40 hours. And it looks like we have some sunspots coming around to join us during our, well, planetary lineup during the 19th, 20th, and 21st that have been, well, warning y'all about consistently now for well over a month. All right, over to LASCO-C3, we can see it was a substantial coronal mass ejection. So it was moving very quickly. The good news is most of the ejecta went off into space. The bad news is, if our GOES satellite picked it up, i.e. our GOES X-ray flux instrument and our GOES proton flux instrument, We have a very good chance of this event being geoeffective towards Earth. Now, they don't believe so. At NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center, where we have hundreds of people working on this model, they believe that we should see some plasma hit Stereo A on the 16th from this and miss Earth. Stereo A is going to be located right here. You can see We lost Stereo B, and we lost Stereo C in 2017. We are flying blind currently. They also are seeing some stronger solar winds start to occur here. Looks like they have them coming in around the 16th, which is about what we would figure, about 40 hours away from now. And it looks like they have them going up to right about 700 kilometers per second. Which should create at least a G1, G2 geomagnetic storm. All right, here is our X-Flare right over the Indian Ocean, over Madagascar, parts of Africa. You can see that we're almost out of our polar cap absorption event, which is associated with our proton event, i.e. we have X-rays and protons point into the poles. where our Van Allen belts come together and actually we have holes in both poles. How's that sound? And well it reinforced the polar cap absorption event although it's nowhere near what it was 48 hours ago obviously. I'm sure they're having a lot of radio issues in the Arctic and Antarctic but nothing like it was again 48 hours ago. Before we go into our next couple slides, I want to jump back to HMI Intensigram and basically show you all that we have three sunspots outgoing on the far limb, and we have only four sunspots that are going to be earth-facing after today. There might be some new-named ones coming around for tomorrow, but this is going to be a very mild day unless we see more activity from 4274, everything else. Earth-facing, it's a simple sunspot. All right, over to SDO HMI magnetogram image here. It was taken at 1500 UTC time. Pretty weird time to take this picture. It is up to date on the 14th here. That's going to translate to 8 a.m. this morning. You can see that, well, 4274. It's looking awful dangerous as it leaves by Felicia and really nothing else except for that coronal hole should give us problems for some time. Remember, it takes about 12 days if the sunspot's near the equator for it to transit the earth-facing side of our solar disk. Now, we might have a couple of sunspots, but they won't be named until later tomorrow. There she blows. This is the coral hole that I've been telling you all about. Everything else is a simple sunspot. We do have this situation here, which should be named at some point tomorrow. This is SOHO at 284 angstroms, in case you missed that big title above it. Now, I believe we're just 10 years off from the end of our cycle here. Maybe our reset. NASA models these X-Flares so quickly. After they pop off, but they still haven't updated anything from the backside. This is all from September 11th. How embarrassing. This is SDO. I did update this, and some of the stuff has been updated on it, but most importantly to me is the backside activity, and they've done nothing with it. And the government has been open for at least 24 hours, as far as I know. Alright, shields are up. Look at that red line, how far above zero it is. Very, very strong shields currently. We'll call it our BZ. And the angle is up as well. You've got to love it. No plasma hitting the planet. These are in the ones and twos. And the solar winds, well, they went from about 655 to currently At around 561, again, that's much stronger than they have over at the Space Weather Prediction Center, but they are decreasing, and they will be increasing in the next 40 hours per the coronal hole that the Earth is facing currently. Now, when I pull this up at the beginning of my presentation, I can actually see when they pulled off their experiment. And nothing was going on when this solar flare occurred over at CERN. So I personally don't believe that CERN has any association to the solar flares that we're seeing. That's my personal opinion. Anybody that disagrees is welcome to comment. We'd like everyone's opinion on everything. All right, let's see what we have here. This is Euphoria, the ESA. That is the 14th. They have Plasma down where it is, nowhere. Let's see where their solar winds are. Their solar winds are a little strong, I believe. Yes, their solar winds, well, not really. But they just go down quite a bit. Now, they are dropping, and there is a chance that they could drop down into the 450 range. or 500 range they're at 578 now so this could be an okay guesstimate. uh i don't know about this guesstimate i didn't see any plasma from any of the events that nailed this is one two three events uh this strong i saw lighter plasma and no shields up This is the solar winds that they're putting in, i.e. for the 16th, or the glancing blow from, I guess they're putting in the glancing, let's see. I think they're putting in the solar winds down here. They have the solar winds hitting on, first off, plasma hitting on the 16th, solar winds hitting on the 16th and 17th from the coronal hole. This plasma is probably thought to be a glancing blow. Let's see if we can see anything that might be associated with that. There it is right there. This is the CME, and there was the glancing blow. So I think they have a pretty good forecast actually here at the ESA for the first time in a long time. And finally, over to the planets today. Remember, the planets aren't on a flat plane like this. They're moving at you at 500 plus thousand miles an hour. Earth is orbiting the sun at 67,000 miles an hour, Earth being right here, and, well, it's spinning 360 degrees once every 24 hours, which is what a day is made up of. A year is one time around the sun, and we have a geomagnetic connection to all the big bad boys. This is something you're going to never see. We have a geomagnetic connection currently to Jupiter, Uranus, Eris, Sirius, Neptune, Saturn, and Mercury. And we have Venus, basically, and Mars offsetting this lineup that we're about to be in. And remember, the moon plays a big part of this lineup. So you can see Jupiter really, really connects tomorrow, but it didn't connect today. And you can see the moon come into play. This is the 18th, this is all go time, 19th go time, 20th go time, 21st go time, and I would expect earthquake activity and volcanic activity perhaps after the three days of lineup or during, but I would expect solar activity during the lineup, and ladies and gentlemen, These are perfect conditions for very large flares and Sunspots that build very quickly. That said, God bless you guys. Please buy us a cup of coffee if you're able to. There's a link in the description. And please make sure to give us a thumbs up, guys. So important. And subscribe if you haven't. And remember that anything's possible in Bizarro World. God bless you all.