Well-below average Atlantic 2026 hurricane season outlook

Fox - 35 Orlando
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Jul 8, 2026
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Well, the hurricane forecast got an update today. The outlook is now well
below normal. Let's get over to Fox 35 Storm Team meteorologist Laurel
Blanchard for the details on this one. And Laurel, it's looking like El Nino
is the main reason for this change. Yeah, guys, we saw a significant drop
in those numbers earlier today when Colorado State University updated their
2026 hurricane outlook. So back in April, they put out the forecast of 13
named storms, six hurricanes, two major hurricanes, which was already below
average, and they took the numbers down even more now calling for nine named
storms, four hurricanes, one major hurricane. And this has been the trend
for the updates that they've made in their forecast. Not only did they take
it down in April, but they also took it down when they put out their forecast
update in June as well. But like Luann said, this is all because of El Nino.
So what is El Nino? El Nino is when we see warmer water in the equatorial
Pacific. Ultimately, what this means is that there's more air rising, which
means that there's more hostile winds as it makes its way over into the
Atlantic because of the trade winds. What does this mean for us during
hurricane season? Well, this really just means, especially in the Pacific,
there's a more active season, and because of the more hostile winds, it
rips the potential for any potential tropical systems apart in the Atlantic,
which goes ergo with the lower numbers that they're expecting with that
outlook. So right now, El Nino is at a moderate phase as of right now, still
looking at that moderate phase. But by September, when we're at the peak of
hurricane season, El Nino could be at a strong or very strong phase, which even
supports why those numbers are going to continue to drop. The next update for
the Colorado State University forecast comes up at the beginning of August.
We'll send you back to you guys at the desk.
