Post-Pandemic: China’s Birthrate Plunges to 90-Year Low #China Population #China's newborn population

According to data released by the Chinese National Bureau of Statistics, the nationwide birthrate was 9.56 million in 2022, with a birthrate of about 6.77 per thousand. According to "China Philanthropist" magazine, as of 2023, the registration of expectant mothers has been largely completed, estimating that the new births this year will be less than 8 million. This data directly takes China's birthrate back to nearly a century ago.
In 1935, China had a birthrate of about 7.8 million, 8.24 million in 1936, and 8.12 million in 1937. However, the total population of China was only around 500 million at that time. Even during the chaotic eight years of the Anti-Japanese War, China's annual birthrate showed a slow increase. In 1945, the number of newborns exceeded 10 million.

The Chinese government announced a total population of 1.4 billion in November 2020, but last year, Shanghai's public security big data was hacked and leaked, leading to outside analysis that China's population is only around 1 billion. It is widely believed that China's data on GDP, unemployment rate, and residents' income level, among other socioeconomic development indicators, are heavily manipulated. Population data has faced serious doubts as well.
If we analyze based on a population of 1 billion, China might have less than 300 million people after 70 years.
Especially the three-year pandemic lockdown has resulted in a sharp decline in the total population, directly causing a significant drop in the number of young people, and subsequently leading to a drastic decrease in the birthrate.
Stringent policies are harsher than tigers!
What impact will the sharp decline in population have on society? For a normal society, it will lead to a sharp decrease in the overall economy, with declines in consumption, investment, and exports, particularly in consumption in proportion to the population decline. Investment will also decrease significantly in the future, and if exports decline as well, the Chinese economy will experience a noticeable decline. The economy could potentially revert to the state it was in around the year 2000, before China opened its doors to the world, leading to a stagnation in various industries.

#China Population#China's newborn population