Weather update: Flood watch & dust storms

before today Wednesday. It looks as though the high country northern Arizona really north and east of the valley is where we are looking at the better chances for some scattered flash flooding. So this does include burn scars that we've seen near the dragon bravo fire as well as those active wildfires that we've been saying as well. This is certainly going to be a cause for concern in those areas along the high country, not just for today Wednesday but also for thursday thursday. You can see so much more yellow that's impacting all the states. We're looking at some more scattered flash flood that's going to continue on through friday. So activity today Wednesday, thursday and friday are going to be the most activity for this week. Here's a look at our future cast model putting that into motion for you. We are tracking those showers that are going to continue to push through. This is going to be bringing us the potential for some activity here across the valley at around eight o'clock. So that's the clock time down. You can see further east of phoenix, those storms could be producing some active weather and south as well. So very scattered in nature. You can see the active weather that's going to be pushing through and you can see as we progress through tonight's really eastern Arizona as well seeing that active weather and especially towards southwestern Arizona is where we are going to be seeing an active night ahead. We'll continue the threat for some scattered showers heading into thursday. That is what thursday four o'clock is looking like along Prescott surrounding areas north of the valley and even northern Maricopa County. We are seeing some cells forming. So the activity remains right now. It looks as though the afternoon and evening hours is where we are anticipating the activity to begin yet again. And you can see that still filtering into the forecast throughout friday. I actually backtrack for you heading into the overnight hours. You can see south of phoenix into southern Arizona. Remember we have those flood alerts in place. So quite a bit of moisture is going to be associated with these storms that are going to be producing those flood concerns. But especially for thursday if you just saw and if you're just joining us, we have those for today and for tomorrow thursday. We'll continue to keep close tabs as we progress through the week. But right now here is an updated look on our rain chances. So for today Wednesday we're looking roughly at a 30% chance of rain. We bump up this percentage heading into Wednesday night sitting at a 40% 50% for thursday thursday night. We'll see some more action sitting at a 60% with a 40% chance for some moisture heading into friday throughout the nighttime hours. And then our chances for more activity starts to dwindle down as we head into the weekend. So the weekend is looking to be much calmer, especially heading into sunday. But as of right now, thursday and friday look to be more active. But even for today we got that monsoonal moisture pushing through. We got a system from the east that's going to be surging in as well. Low pressure and you can see our european model is indicating that we are seeing some more widespread activity as we head into the coming days. This beginning thursday and friday. So this is one of our models showing the potential for some rain totals. This is our G. F. S. Model right now. It's showing between today and friday across the valley into grande. We're looking at a little less than half of an inch of rain, but a lot of the moisture that we're seeing, at least the most amounts are going to be happening along northern Arizona up into the high country press kit. This model in particular is looking at close to three inches and further south areas like Tucson as well. Nogales looking at over an inch of precipitation. Of course, we could potentially see more or less. This is just a potential outlook of what the next couple of days could look like, especially as we are looking at some scattered storms that could be producing the heavy downpours of rain and especially as we are seeing some flood alerts all across the states. Now all across the nation. Here is the climate prediction center's recent outlook when it comes to precipitation. So for a lot of the nation, you can see highlighted in gray. We're looking at pretty average conditions, but it looks as though as we close out this month, we're still seeing green here across the states and along the four corners. So the monsoon that's still going to continue on and we're still looking at some moisture that's going to be impacting us. And this all indicates above average conditions as we head into really the remainder of this month. Right now we are looking at 105 degrees right now, with the norm sitting at 107 degrees. Temperatures are actually going to be pretty near average for today. We have been seeing some cloud cover throughout the day, so we'll see if that will bring us instability here in the valley. But what I can tell you widespread across state, it is still hot. We got 97 out Sedona, 75 out in Flagstaff, 77 in Prescott, 1 13 towards Bullhead City, like Havasu, 103 degrees towards the Gila Bend right now with tonight's temperatures. Humidity values, by the way, they're still going to be on the rise, so it's still going to feel quite tropical, especially within the next couple of days. 87 tonight will be our low here in Phoenix, the Gila Bend, 56 towards Flagstaff, 72 out in Sedona as well. As we take a look at tomorrow's temperatures, we're gonna start to drop down. So 102 below average for us here in Phoenix towards the Gila Bend as well. We're looking at double digits this time towards Casa Grande, 87 out in Globe, 82 in Prescott, 76 in Flagstaff, 86 for our folks out in Sedona. So here is a current look at that 10 day Fox cast. You saw that 12 for tomorrow, Thursday, 50% chance of rain just about. So we're flirting in between 40 to 50% 40% chance for Friday, 97 degrees. So we're down into the double digits this weekend, at least the start of it. We're also tracking those much cooler temperatures. And yes, it looks as though temperatures will continue to track a little bit on the quote unquote cooler. And remember that we are starting to see those rain chances dwindled down as we head into this weekend. But as we head into next week, it looks as though we could see some more chances for some moisture and moisture is still on the radar. We've been showing you updated outlooks on the forecast and what that's gonna be looking like as far as the next couple of days. This model right here will let it load up and show you what we're tracking. This is what it's looking like the next couple of days. So right now it looks as though all those areas highlighted in blue that you see on your screen. We're looking at close to an inch of precipitation for much of Maricopa County. You can see further southeast. We could see close to two inches, but really all those areas highlighted in purple and in red. We're nearing that two inch mark. So we're seeing that yet again across northern Arizona, the high country. We're certainly going to be on high alert as we are seeing those burn scars, not great conditions when you have flood alerts and you have excessive rain that is definitely going to be impactful and further south. We're also looking at some potential for some treacherous rainfall along the way. But again, we just have these flood watches that were just issued for much of the states. We're going to continue to hold on to this one for areas along Payson, Prescott, Yavapai County for today, for Thursday along the way here across southern Arizona and here in the valley.