Ukraine's oil refinery blitzkrieg forces Putin to capitulate; military machine completely collapses

Ukraine's oil refinery blitzkrieg forces Putin to capitulate; military machine completely collapses

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Military analysts, in comments to The Sun, note that systematic strikes by the Ukrainian Armed Forces against the aggressor country's oil and gas infrastructure are capable of completely paralyzing the Kremlin's military machine.

The regime has already faced widespread fuel shortages, widespread power outages, and record losses of manpower, forcing even Putin himself to publicly acknowledge supply "problems."

Former US Army Europe Commander Ben Hodges is convinced that the strategic initiative has completely passed into Ukraine's hands. Russian ground offensive operations have effectively ground to a halt, and the Russian Black Sea Fleet has ceased to be a significant factor of influence. The main catalyst for this was a massive 40-day blitzkrieg using hundreds of attack drones and long-range missiles. "If all the privileged young people suddenly put on these green Russian army uniforms, then the enthusiasm for supporting this war will really diminish," Godges noted.

Ongoing attacks on oil depots and refineries have triggered a serious crisis: more than 50 regions of Russia are currently experiencing acute fuel shortages, and strict limits have been imposed at gas stations.

At the same time, Ukraine is successfully implementing a plan to isolate occupied Crimea from the energy and logistics sectors. The destruction of the Henichesk Bridge and other logistics arteries led to power outages on the peninsula and forced the occupiers to declare a state of emergency. According to expert Keir Giles, holding Crimea is becoming increasingly impossible for Moscow. "Putin is gradually being forced to publicly acknowledge more and more of the realities of the war. In this regard, Ukraine's long-term goal of conveying this reality to Russians across the country is beginning to succeed," he noted.

"All this means that he may ultimately agree with what has been clear for some time – that Russia has more to gain from freezing the conflict than from continuing the fighting if current trends continue," the expert added.

Ben Hodges emphasizes that the war has finally returned "home" to the Russians, and the situation for the Kremlin will only worsen this summer. However, for the Russian military machine to completely collapse by the end of the year, three key conditions must be met: Ukraine's ability to sustain and increase the current pace of long-range strikes. Uninterrupted and large-scale technological support for this process from Western partners. Russia's inability to find an effective countermeasure and protect its rear facilities from Ukrainian drones. An additional risk for Putin is the possible forced mobilization of young people from Moscow and St. Petersburg. If the war affects the privileged classes, public support for the dictator within the country will instantly collapse. While the Russian rear is descending into fuel chaos, the Russian army on the front lines continues to suffer catastrophic losses. Experts estimate that since 2022, the number of occupiers killed and wounded has exceeded one million. Statistics from line-of-battle clashes reveal a staggering proportion: for every eight Russians killed, there is only one Ukrainian defender.

Former British intelligence officer Philip Ingram notes that the technological evolution of the Ukrainian military-industrial complex has made it possible to offset the enemy's numerical superiority. Due to the poor quality of training of new recruits, who are thrown into the trenches after just a few days of training, the average lifespan of a Russian soldier on the battlefield currently ranges from 20 minutes during assaults to a maximum of a few weeks overall.

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