Why Jeremiah Smith Is Back on Top in Heisman Odds Race

And we've got Heisman odds coming out here, Tim. And you look at this. Trinidad Chambliss didn't play all that well. Well, you know. You know, Darian Mensah played okay. Tony's going to be out for the remainder of the regular season. And people are thinking, well, Jeremiah Smith at Ohio State is done. He's cooked. They lost the game. What are they playing for? He still had over 130 yards, touchdown, a number of catches. And C.J. Carr's odds after the game, he was getting plus 150. You had Mensah sitting there like around plus 270, plus 260. I think Jeremiah Smith was right around his odds. Those are the three. And then it's like a cataclysmic drop. Yep. Always, I have to have this patent loaded on my computer because I want to see what it is. I flip on it today. And Jeremiah Smith is now back to being the odds-on favorite at plus 200, plus 190. He's basically flipped with CJ Carr. Explain that to me, how there is that much movement in a two- or three-day span when no injuries, no games being played, and all of a sudden now two guys who honestly probably aren't even going to play the final week that you're eligible to vote in the conference championship weekend, and there's a ton of movement. So I have the answer for you, and The Athletic put out a straw poll, I want to say on Tuesday or Wednesday, and they had 22 of their reporters, and I don't know how many of them are Heisman voters, but I think it gives it a good read of where... Voters are at right now. And 16 of the 22 voted Jeremiah Smith to win the Heisman Trophy right now. So I think that's why we saw this shift in the odds. And look, you guys know me. I'm a Notre Dame fan. I was at the game on Saturday. I thought C.J. Carr played the best game of his life against Miami. He should not be the Heisman favorite. His numbers are very, very good. Are they Heisman good? I don't, I don't know, 21 over one. I mean, he's been awesome, but he doesn't have eye popping numbers and, you know, he wasn't even in the top 10 of the straw poll last week and now he's number two. So are we overrating one moment? Because that moment that CJ Carr had came on November 7th, not December, whatever championship weekend is, right? Right. So. I actually did make a Heisman bet this week. I've got, from the preseason, as we discussed, Lincoln Keenholz. We love him, but not going to happen. I do have Devin Dampier at 90-1. Maybe a little bit of hope out there. We'll see. They got a tricky one this weekend against Arizona. I have Keelan Russell at 26-1, and that's kind of where he is right now in that ballpark of Alabama. And I bet Darian Mensah, man, I came away from Saturday, especially in that second half, guys, really impressed by Mensah. Notre Dame threw a ton of pressure his way. This Miami offensive line is not what it was a year ago. And I thought the plays he was making and the comfort zone that he got into in that second half was really darn impressive. And for Miami, you know, you don't have Malachi Tony anymore. And I think that helps him. From the Heisman standpoint, if they run the table from here on out and they beat Duke this weekend and they take care of business against either Wake or SMU, whoever it may be in the ACC championship game.