Texas vs. LSU Betting Preview: Tigers Favored at Home

Another team that really, really needs a win, Tim. I mean, the end of their schedule is rough. You look at LSU sitting there at 6-3. They'll be welcoming in Texas. Death Valley at night. LSU lay in four. Texas with a nice win last week, looking pretty darn good. And this line has moved. It has even grown. The points total, however, has shrank and shrank considerably, opening at 54-and-a-half. Right now, you can see it at 46 and a half. Is there a side that you like in this? I mean, this is a desperate LSU team at home. You know, they lose this. They may end up being seven and five, because I believe they have Tennessee coming up after this. Yeah. Yeah, this reminds me of two games so far this year. It reminds me a little bit of Notre Dame-Miami of last week, and it reminds me of Ole Miss at Texas. And what that game, as we talked about on this show, it was like, why is Texas a three-and-a-half-point favorite? Remember that week? It was Sarks got to go, and Arches going to transfer. It was all this pressure on Texas going into that game. And they delivered. Now, I know it got a little murky late in that one. They scored a late touchdown to win by seven and cover. And then you think back to Notre Dame-Miami last week. What did we say going into that game? This is a must-have for Notre Dame. There's no ifs, ands, or buts about it. They have to win this game. And that's what I see on Saturday night, right? They get punked, LSU being they, last week against Alabama. And now the folks down in Baton Rouge are not happy, right? They were thrilled to go get Lane Kiffin. Thrilled to get rid of Brian Kelly. And now they're 6-3. And they're like, well, we could have been 6-3 under Brian Kelly, right? This is a desperation spot for LSU. And I'm not saying that Texas is going to go in there saying, yay, we don't have to win this game. Of course they do. They want to keep improving their resume as well. But at night, desperation, backs against the wall. I think the line's telling you the story here. And I do think even though. They did not perform well last week on the scoreboard. Let's look inside that box score a little bit, LSU and Alabama. They outgained Alabama 457 to 285. They missed four fourth downs. They are minus two in the turnover margin. If LSU cleans it up, and I know that's a big if, if they clean it up, they take care of business here. So you guys know me. I've been doing this all year with you guys. Guys, I don't like the late. Points all that much. I'm in on LSU here. I think this is a must-have spot. As you mentioned, Bobby, they got to win this game. And then their eyes turn to going to Tennessee next week. So, you know, I've said it before. The point spread sometimes tells you a story. This line isn't going down towards three. It's going up. So I laid three and a half. There's some three and a halves out there. There's a four out there. I think LSU wins this game and gets a big one on Saturday night in Baton Rouge. Am I a coward for just going money line? I don't know what it is about that four and a half. This game screams like win by a field goal. I don't know what it is. I'm having trouble trying to pick it. You're not. I mean, look, you know, you'll get the gambling. If you put this out there on Twitter, you'll get the gambling people coming at you. You know, long term, you're not going to win laying big money lines. And I understand that. But I, you know, college basketball is underway. Let's just as an example, steal. If I have like a two and a half or three point favorite that I like, I never lay that. I'm always looking at the money line because weird things happen at the end of games. I think there was a game over the weekend, Nevada and St. Mary's. I think St. Mary's hit like a three at the buzzer, and the point spread was one and a half and lost by one. So, no, if you want to lay the money line, I certainly would not push back against that. But, you know, there's a reason those money lines are a little bit more expensive. So that's up to your bankroll and what you want to do with it. But you are definitely not a coward for thinking that laying the money line is a safer proposition. It's more of a painful loss if Texas does go in there and win.