LSU vs. Texas Betting Preview: Arch Manning Prop Pick

Okay, we head to Baton Rouge, LSU versus Texas, 21 versus 6. This is why LSU are still ranked 21. I know everybody's freaking out. LSU, what have they done? Stop being stupid on purpose. I'm begging you. There are people in the betting space who do this. Please stop being dumb, okay? Trust me, all right? I get it. I faded LSU last week for a best bet with Alabama. But to be like, oh, LSU's not one of the 25 best teams in the country. That's dumb. Stop doing that. I am begging you. They would lay 100 to Boise. Please. Okay? They'd lay 200 to some team out of the American. Please. You're embarrassing yourself. You are supposed to be better than that. They lay four and a half here to 10. This is an LSU spot. Clear as day. The thing is, in 2026, Dave knows, been in the business a very long time. This is in 2000. 2000, you might catch LSU, pick them at home, right? That doesn't happen anymore. I was hoping we'd get a three. They got rolled up by Bama, Texas with the great win. It was not even, not a rare. It was never, ever going to be three. You got to get creative betting a game like this, Dave. I'm hoping that that's the case when I play Arch Manning through his passing prop. We've talked about Arch a ton this season. It was awesome last year. Right around this time on the calendar, It's happening again. The only chance to move the ball on LSU is through the air and a potential trailing game script here. I put Arch over passing yards on my card. Yeah, these two teams are probably the hardest teams to handicap in America, and they're playing each other today. So it's apropos that we're trying to decide what to do with them. You just laid it out like you would want to get LSU at three. You would at home, at night, against Arch. At home game, they have to have it. It's not. It's four and a half. Four and a half, you're thinking, Maybe I take Texas. Texas needs it. Texas is getting four and a half. Arch turns into a different person after Halloween. Can I put my money on Texas at night, on the road, at Death Valley? Not sure I can. So it's a non-play for me. I do like your Arch play. If I did pick a side, it would be Texas, but I don't like it. That would only be the value play of me getting four and a half when I thought I was going to be getting three. These two teams, I wish they were playing each other, and I guess they still could, depending on tonight's result. I wish they played each other in the national semifinals. And you opened up the segment with telling people not to be stupid, and you're right. LSU, talent-wise, they're a top-ten team. LSU could win this national title if they get it. But they also got rolled by Alabama. Rolled by Alabama. Roll Tide. They have it. We both were on Alabama in that one. Welcome to the SEC. Texas has three of the best wins in the country on their resume. Ohio State, they've beaten Tennessee. They've beaten, it was Ohio State, Tennessee, and Ole Miss. They got three great wins. Let's lose to Florida at home. Why? It doesn't make any sense. Welcome to the SEC. These two teams absolutely could still win the national title, and both of them could fall out of the college football playoff. They're the hardest teams to handicap. Lean Texas, not a play I do like your Arch play.