USC vs. Indiana Betting Preview: Can Trojans Cover?

SportsGrid
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Nov 14, 2026
AI Generated·May contain errors
USC traveling to Indiana.
USC hasn't been great on the road.
Huge win a couple weeks ago down at the Coliseum against Ohio State.
Indiana, Tim, has looked very vulnerable.
Like offensively, they are not a juggernaut.
The receivers are good, but quarterback questions.
Running game, not quite as powerful
as it's been the last couple of years.
Defense still really good.
Good.
Indiana is a nine and a half point favorite.
We know USC has been bad on the road,
but Tim, it feels like this is a game that, I
don't know, maybe they got some momentum
with that Ohio State win that maybe this could
be a, that could have been a season shifter for them.
Well, I want to talk to you guys a little bit about us
in the gambling world and what we were talking about yesterday,
because yesterday this line was seven, seven and a half all week.
Still pretty big line. And then yesterday, Wednesday,
it just blows up and it goes to 10, 11 at some spots.
And we're like, what in the world is going on?
And on Visa and Wednesday night,
I had an odds maker on macro from DraftKings Sportsbook.
And I'm like, Matt, what's happening here? Why is this line moving?
The way that it is. And we were all anticipating that the Wednesday
night Big Ten injury report was going to have Jaden Maiava on it.
That was the only rationale like that.
That's the only thing that makes sense. And he wasn't there.
And it had nothing to do with Josh Hoover not being on Indiana's report
because as Matt told me.
That was already baked into the line.
That was already anticipated that Josh Hoover
was going to be playing in this game.
So I don't really know why this number went as crazy as it did.
It's come down a little bit.
It was up at 10, 10 and a half on Wednesday.
It's now back down to eight and a half, nine.
I'm having a hard time with this one, guys.
I have not bet this game because here's the two things.
Bobby, you mentioned it.
Lincoln Riley going on the road, facing a physical team,
has gone very, very poorly since he got to USC.
You and I were texting about that Wisconsin game.
They looked overmatched by Wisconsin, who we know is good, average.
I don't know how you would define.
They're fine.
They're a fine football team,
but they're not a playoff caliber football team.
More physical in that game.
And then you look at Indiana.
They're 8-1.
But they're 1-8 against the spread this year, guys.
It's pretty crazy.
They're one of the worst covering teams in college football.
Now, a lot of that has to do with the fact
that they were the champs last year
and their numbers are going to be a little inflated.
But, yeah, this one really is a tough one
for me from a betting standpoint
because I understand everyone who wants to make the case for USC.
This number seems very high.
Indiana has not, to your point, Bobby, looked really good
from an offensive standpoint.
Defensively.
Like you alluded to, they've been great.
So, man, I go back and forth on this one.
I think Indiana wins this game.
But if you were like, you got to pick it,
I think I would have to take the points with USC here.
I do like what I've seen from their offense so far this season.
But they got to prove it to me, man.
And I'm not going to give them much credit for winning at Penn State.
Like, look, we know what Penn State is now.
So they got to do it.
And this is going to be a hostile environment.
Both these teams coming off a bye.
So there's no rest advantage one way or the other.
For USC or Indiana.
