Ukrainian defense and drone strikes thwarted Moscow's plan; Putin's army is failing on battlefield
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In ten months of offensive operations, the Russian army has captured only about 119 square kilometers in Ukraine—compared to approximately 4,850 square kilometers by 2025. Moreover, over the past two months, Russian forces have been losing more territory than they have captured. Ukrainian defenses and drone strikes have thwarted Moscow's plan to encircle key cities in the Donetsk region, reports The Wall Street Journal.
One of the main reasons for the Kremlin's failures has been Ukraine's campaign of medium-range drone strikes against the Russian rear. The drones are destroying warehouses, transport, and supply routes, preventing reinforcements from being transported to the front lines.
"I attribute this to Ukraine's medium-range drone strike campaign—it's a critical capability that Ukraine didn't have in 2025," said George Barros, an analyst at the Institute for the Study of War.
According to him, “Russian logistics have been disrupted and have not yet been restored.”
Ukraine's Operation Vivaldi in the Liman region dealt a particularly serious blow to Moscow's plans . Having prepared the battlefield with strikes on supplies and Russian drone operators, Ukrainian units went on the offensive. By mid-October, they had recaptured 277 square kilometers of territory and 16 settlements. This thwarted the attempt to encircle Sloviansk, Kramatorsk, and Kostiantynivka from the north and south.
Now the Russian command has focused its efforts on the Dobropillia sector. Ukrainian military estimates place the numerical superiority of Russian troops there at six to one. Moscow has also deployed elite Rubicon drone units.
However, even the possible capture of individual parts of the city will not change the main thing: the initial Russian offensive plan has failed. The Kremlin faces another slow and costly advance through Ukrainian defenses. The Donetsk region has seen most of the fiercest battles of the war.
Ukraine still holds about 20% of Donetsk while Russia wants to control all of it — Moscow's main territorial demand at negotiations that have so far stalled but which the US wants to restart.
The reported gains in the Donetsk region would add to Ukraine's push earlier this year in the southeast, where Kyiv said it clawed back more than 700 sq km of territory during a months-long counterattack.
Earlier, Ukrainian forces in the Donetsk region cleared out Russian troops that had been building up there throughout the summer, Ukraine's 1st Azov Corps of the National Guard said.
The operation was carried out by a special reconnaissance unit, forces from the 1st and 6th battalions of the 12th Special Forces Brigade Azov, the Tuman Separate Special Forces Detachment of the 1st Azov Corps of the National Guard, and the Shkval Battalion of the 425th Skelia Separate Assault Regiment, with support from the National Guard's Lasar's Group Separate Special Purpose Detachment. As a result, they thwarted the enemy's attempt to reach logistics routes in order to rapidly encircle Druzhkivka and launch an attack toward Dobropillia.
According to the commander of the 12th Azov Brigade, call sign Pugach, forces from Russia's 90th Tank Division and 8th Combined Arms Army were attempting to reach the logistics routes.
The operation was planned with representatives of all the units involved.
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