What does this winter's 'Super El Niño' mean for Washington?

Fox - Seattle
12 followers
Oct 29, 2026
AI Generated·May contain errors
Video Summary
AI GeneratedThis weather report discusses snowfall patterns at Snoqualmie Pass and the expected impact of a \"super El Niño\" on lowland snow. While mountain snow typically arrives by late October or early November, El Niño winters generally trend warmer and drier, making significant lowland snow unlikely. The forecast concludes with a transition to dry, warmer weather by the weekend.
You see their smiles, right?
Yeah, they're excited.
Oh, yeah.
We love it.
We love it.
Yeah.
And, you know, usually this time of year is when we get
our first snow down to about that 3,000-foot level,
which is at Snoqualmie Pass.
So we average late October to early November.
And if you look back on the past four years,
I mean, it's just been right on time.
Really, actually, for the past seven years or so.
We've had some early ones.
October 9th, 2019 was the earliest since 1999
that we have seen snow at Snoqualmie Pass.
The latest, December 5th, 2002.
That was one where we were kind of crossing
our fingers like, come on, get over here.
So snow during El Nino winters.
We've been talking about this super
El Nino winter that we're going to be seeing.
I want to talk about lowland snow
because I know a lot of the kids like snow days, right?
I do too.
Well, some snow is likely.
a lot of snow is not likely during an El Nino winter.
El Nino winters are usually drier and they're usually warmer,
especially super El Nino winters.
Now, if you look back at 2018-2019, that was one of our El Nino winters
where we had 21 inches over the course of the winter.
That was some big-time snow, but we've only had big snow one time
out of the last 11 El Nino winters.
A lot of years, we don't get much, if anything, at all.
We'll see how this year pans out.
Up at the mountains, we're still seeing some snow showers,
although they've broken up quite a bit.
Up toward Everett is where you're still
seeing some more consistent rainfall.
And down toward Olympia, a few showers down that direction as well.
All right, let's get back into our seven-day forecast.
What I'm expecting as we continue on through the rest of the week
and into next weekend is we're going to wrap up these showers.
So by Friday, probably midday afternoon,
we're going to be done with the showers.
And then we're going to be dry starting on Saturday through Tuesday.
In fact, heading into the middle of next week looks pretty dry as well.
And we're going to be warmer, too, with temps back into the upper 50s.
