James Kaufman will report today.
Happy Father's Day to all those fathers out there.
Ladies and gentlemen, the European Space Agency warns
of a dangerous far-side sunspot soon to be Earth-facing.
To start Father's Day, the sun sent out
a present towards Earth in the form of an M-class solar flare.
It was an M2.69, stronger than anything we've seen in quite a while.
And it originated from a newly named sunspot
that just came around the incoming limb last night, AR4473.
As far as the European Space Agency warning,
another far side sunspot seen here is coming around.
It's a very large one.
Europe's Solar Orbiter photographed
the behemoth on June 20th, yesterday.
This sunspot is growing rapidly.
Only a few days ago, it was small and unremarkable.
Since June 16th, the European Solar Orbiter has watched it multiply
in size by more than tenfold.
This sunspot will reach the Earth's side
of the Sun a few days from now,
not far behind active regions 4473
that produce today's M-class solar flare
and of course 4472 that produced two M-class
solar flares just yesterday, June 20th.
We have seen multiple solar flares from this backside sunspot
along with associated coronal mass ejections.
Up and above this problem or these problems,
we have a coronal hole that has just formed
in front of the two active sunspots
already on the Earth's facing side of our sun.
let's take a look at what we have going on first off
this is obviously the backside sunspot that
they're speaking about of course unnamed
but active here are the three m flares that we've had
over the last 50 hours the last one being
an m 2.69 much larger than the other two m flares
The first two came from AR-4472, and this, well,
most recent flare came from a sunspot that just came around
the limb that we talked about yesterday, AR-4473.
Now, please try to remember yesterday's report.
At 1500 UTC time, or 3 p.m. Central, we swore
that AR-4472, not 7-3, it hadn't been named yet,
and produced a second M-flare.
They're now saying it was generated from AR-4473.
It was an M-1.02 solar flare,
not earth-facing with no earth component.
And then we have, of course, later in the day,
a 2.6 solar flare, or an M-2.69,
and it peaked at about 9:46 last night central time,
or at 2:46 UTC time today on the 21st.
So that is what we're dealing with.
It's hard to believe that AR-4473 was named by that time
because it was just barely around the limb.
I don't think any of these have earth components to them.
Today, we have only a 5% chance of an X-class solar flare,
a 35% chance of an M-class solar flare,
and that ship has sailed,
and a 95% chance of a C-class solar flare.
That ship has also sailed.
Over at HMI Intensigram,
we have 4469 basically gone around the far limb exiting,
and we have 4470, which has shown some activity.
4472 was responsible for at least one of the inflows yesterday.
We've given it credit for two.
then 4473, responsible for the last two M flares,
the M1.02, followed by the M2.69.
Now, of course, we can't see the backside,
but I am going to show you all the coral hole that has formed
in between all three of these sunspots that are, well, all active.
Head over to AIA
so we can get a really good look at this coronal hole here.
It's formed in between 7.0, 7.2, and 7.3, and,
well, it looks like we actually have a coronal hole
that's formed that's directly Earth-facing currently.
We could have solar winds uptick the next 40 hours and perhaps last
for up to two days based on how this coronal hole is formed.
We're also worried about AR4470,
AR4472, and mostly AR4473 here.
And let's not forget about the ESA's warning about
this enormous sunspot group on the backside of the sun
that's very active and growing tenfold in just three or four days.
It should be with us in a short three or four days.
and that's it god bless folks please give us a thumbs up please share
and always remember
anything's possible in bizarro world happy father's day again guys