Why the Packers Are a Super Bowl Value Bet at 30-1

The Green Bay Packers are 30-1 to win the Super Bowl. I made my first Super Bowl bet last night on the Green Bay Packers to win it all at 30-1. Couple of things at work here. One, getting your running game back with Josh Jacobs coming in is huge. You have your running game and now you have two running backs, not just one. You have two running backs if you're Green Bay. And on the other side, you're going to get Micah Parsons back. and you're going to get a dynamic pass rusher who will take about a month to get to game shape. I'll give it to you. Coming back off an ACL, it's not like you just like snap your fingers and Micah is going to be dominant again. He'll need some time. But the defense has figured it out for Green Bay. And now you're going to add a game-wrecking, unbelievable talent to that pass rush. You start to look at the playoffs and you start to look at where Green Bay, they should not be 30 to 1. The Packers should not be 30 to 1. And can you see the stories of the first time the Superbowl ever gets played on Valentine's day that one of the quarterbacks name is love. It writes itself. It's too perfect to have Jordan love on Valentine's day play in the Superbowl. I don't need the Packers to win the Superbowl. I don't even need the Packers to get there. Just get to the NFC championship game. It's the same bet I made with the Brewers. It's the same bet I made with the White Sox. I made money on the White Sox 25 to one. Why not bet 30 to one for the Green Bay Packers? Because the division is garbage. Okay. I don't buy the Bears. I'm sorry. I don't buy the Bears. The Patriots are only three point dogs on Thursday at Chicago. And the Patriots are sending like a JV roster. They've got nobody. They're so banged up. It's unbelievable how banged up the Patriots roster is, and they're walking in here to a unbelievable environment in Chicago, but they're three-point dogs. That's it. Shows you what the bookmakers think about Caleb versus Drake May. Then we go to the Lions. I mean, look it. Lions-Packers this weekend? Yikes. That's a dead over. Bet the over in that game at 52 and a half at the over in that game, but I'm not buying the Bears. I don't buy the Lions and I'm not buying the Vikings at five and oh, the NFC East sucks. All four teams blow giants, Eagles, Cowboys, Commanders suck in the NFC East. Nah, man, without Kirk, without Kubiak, Sam Darnold's back to being Sam Darnold. No, thank you. They need a running game. They don't have one. They're going to get Charbonnet back, but he's not good enough to save that season for Seattle. The Cardinals are two and four and the Rams are the biggest dumpster fire in football at two and four miles. Garrett coming back is not going to help and solve the problems. And now you've lost Davante Adams for 10 weeks, potentially. Oh boy. Puka gets hurt all the time. It isn't so much a love of the Green Bay Packers as much as it's a look at the NFC and say, well, who's going to actually going to come out of this? And you can say the 49ers and the Vikings right there, right? Those are the two best teams. I'd put the Packers behind the 49ers and the Vikings but but 30 to 1 30 to 1 you're giving me a 30 to 1 odds on the Green Bay Packers to win the win the Super Bowl given where we are currently in the season I don't I mean if they win they won three games in a row right now if they win you know four five six seven games in a row those numbers are going to be gone so as much as anything it's a numbers play and it's just looking at the entire landscape now Jordan Love gets hurt the bet's dead if they all of a sudden suffer a bunch of injuries Watson goes down or Golden goes down everything goes you know to crap but i think from a value perspective 30 to 1 is not where the where the Packers should be given the current state of the NFC and what the path might be for them to get to the postseason to get to the playoffs and for them to get to the Super Bowl So I think that's an insane value to jump in on the Packers right now at 30-1. And you can shop around. I got 30-1. You may find better odds than that on 30-1 to come in. But that, to me, feels way too long of an odd situation. And look at Milwaukee's in the World Series, put the Green Bay Packers in the Super Bowl. It could just be everything could just be coming up Milwaukee. Everything could be coming up Wisconsin this year. Just sometimes that happens.