People are betting on Ontario's municipal elections. Is that allowed?
Oct 15, 2026
AI Generated·May contain errors
Video Summary
AI GeneratedPrediction markets like Polymarket and Calshi are seeing significant betting activity on Ontario municipal elections. While these platforms are legal for non-Canadians, betting on political outcomes is illegal within Canada to prevent the manipulation of democratic processes and voter momentum.
As Ontario elections heat up, so are prediction markets.
Online betting platforms like Polymarket and Calshi
are seeing hundreds of thousands of dollars in bets being placed
on who becomes mayor in Toronto, Markham,
Mississauga, Oakville, Oshawa, and Milton.
While there's nothing illegal about non-Canadian prediction markets
hosting bets on Canadian topics like these elections,
it's just that Canadians themselves can't bet on them.
It's not legal for Canadians in Canada to bet on the outcomes
of elections or to bet on other political events.
Why are we so strict?
There's a risk that you're actually going to be skewing
the results of our democratic process in doing so.
So there are folks who might have an interest
in seeing the election go one way or another.
and by making it look as though there's momentum behind
a particular candidate,
you can potentially affect whether
or not people show up to vote, right?
Okay, so Canadians can't bet on our elections,
but at the time of reporting,
there's more than $500,000 in bets placed
on who becomes mayor across the GTA.
It's unclear how many, if any,
are actually Canadians finding ways around digital fences.
There are still many ways that people can still access
platforms like PolyMarket, like through VPNs and such,
but also abroad just because so many people are invested in Toronto
and know Toronto and many people might have lived in Toronto.
And yeah, so I'm not surprised by the large numbers.
Both Polymarket and Calshi say this is something they monitor for,
but so far nothing has been flagged.
Canada set its prediction market rules earlier this year,
which include limiting
which topics you can bet on and which platforms you can use.
And these are the first Ontario municipal elections since
those rules were set up.
Prediction markets are just another example of the kinds of challenges
that regulators have to keep on grappling
with these days as technology changes so fast.
The candidates themselves were caught off guard
that people have been placing their bets
I don't know what the odds are. I don't look at any of that stuff.
That's a whole lot of money.
And maybe all that money can be donated to the Library Foundation.
Alicia Zell, CBC News, Toronto.

