Betting $100 Every Day for a Year: Day 192 (Picks for Argentina vs. England)

Sports Illustrated
2 followers
Jul 15, 2026
AI Generated·May contain errors
Video Summary
AI GeneratedThe speaker provides betting analysis and picks for the Argentina vs. England World Cup match. After a successful previous day, the speaker focuses on Argentina's statistical advantages in expected goals and England's defensive vulnerabilities to justify three specific wagers.
Hello friends welcome to day 192 of betting $100 every day for
a year yesterday went well for us Spain, France, we both hit
Spain to advance and we hit the under two and a half. So that
left us with a record of two and over a profit of $108.48. That
brings our year to date record to 327 wins, 355 losses, nine
pushes for a loss of $54.89. Hopefully today's Argentina
England match will go just as well as yesterday's match did.
So let's dive into my plays. We're going to start with $50
on Argentina to advance plus $115. I think this game should
be basically pick them. But really, let's be honest, we know
the England heartbreak is going to happen sooner or later. I
think it's gonna happen a little bit sooner. The expected goals
numbers do favor Argentina in this match. They have an
expected goal differential of plus .9 per 90 minutes in the
World Cup that step above England at plus .68. And I also
think England has some defensive issues. We've seen that pop up
at times this tournament and actually their expected goals
against 1.2 per 90 minutes by far the worst of kind of the top
teams in the World Cup. So now a bad defense going up against an
Argentinian attack is obviously led by Lionel Messi. Things
could get bad for England, they have to bring their A game
today. So plus money I will take Argentina to advance a plus
$115. I'm also going to take Lionel Messi to score best odds
I can find out they were plus $130. He leads the World Cup in
shot attempts in expected goals, obviously tied with Mbappe in
actual goals. So I'm a little bit surprised to see him at plus
$130. Argentina's entire offensive attack revolves around
Messi. And like I said, they're going against an England defense
that has struggled at times this tournament. So I have $25 on
Messi to score. And with me betting on a goal score, I also
think this is going to be a relatively high scoring match.
So I also put $25 on over two and a half. Now I did go back and
forth and I just want to do 90 minutes over two and a half or
did I want to include extra time I ended up including extra time
you can get a plus 110. So I mean one one heading to extra
time someone scores an extra time, boom, wins that plus
money. You can get more aggressive do just regulation I
think it's a plus 180 like it's all the way up there a lot of
money coming in on the under but I will include extra time to get
plus 110 for over two and a half. I think England instead of
trying to defend Argentina locking up Messi, I think maybe
their best chances to fight fire with fire use their offensive
tack to Bellingham, Harry Kane, and try to do their best to
match Argentina goal to goal. So I actually wouldn't be
surprised if we see a bit of a high scoring game. So I'll go
over two and a half for my third bet. Those are my three best
bets for today. We're just going to stick to the World Cup. Best
of luck to all your bets gambler blessed. We'll see you
back here.
