Xi’s Family Faces the Reckoning? Autumn Will Decide Everything!

Decoding China
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The main content of the program:
0:00 Intro
0:37 Rumors of Peng Liyuan Under House Arrest and Death Circulate
3:50 Sensitive Moment: Beijing's Political Circles Whisper the Code ‘Autumn Brings Change’
11:19 900 Million Chinese in Debt as Six CCP Ministries Perform an ‘Empty City Ruse’
16:58 CCP Secretly Sends Troops to Russia? Experts Reveal the Hidden Calculations Behind China–Russia Alliance
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Rumors of Peng Liwan under house arrest and death circulate.
Sensitive moment Beijing's political circles whisper the code, autumn brings change.
900 million Chinese in debt as six CCP ministries perform an empty city ruse.
CCP secretly sends troops to Russia.
Experts reveal the hidden calculations behind China-Russia alliance.
You're watching Decoding China where we bring you
timely analysis and grounded perspectives on today's China.
Rumors of Peng Liwan under house arrest and death circulate.
As previously reported,
a stunning rumor is sending shockwaves through China's political establishment.
Xi Jinping's mother, Qi Xin, is believed to have passed away.
But in a move that defies precedent, China's state media has completely blacked out the news.
The revelation was first made by journalist Fang Wei on his YouTube channel Fang Wei Time,
where he described the information as extremely reliable.
Commentator Li Muyang speaking on his program News Highlights.
Li Muyang said that under Chinese Communist Party protocol,
the death of the sitting general secretary's mother would trigger formal proceedings.
A state funeral committee should be established, an official obituary released,
and senior CCP leaders, including Politburo Standing Committee members
and party elders would typically send wreaths and attend the memorial.
Yet none of these expected formalities have taken place.
If Qi Xin has indeed died, and authorities have deliberately silenced the news,
this signals something highly unusual.
According to commentator Li Muyang, such an anomaly could indicate one of two possibilities.
Either Xi Jinping has effectively lost his political power,
or the internal power struggle within the party has become so fierce
that even the funeral of the top leader's mother must be completely concealed from public view.
Besides, a June 26th report from Vision Times claims an even more explosive rumor
that Peng Liyuan Xi's wife is either under house arrest or may have already died.
Peng's last verified public appearance dates back to May 13th,
when she accompanied Rosangela da Silva, the first lady of Brazil,
on a state visit to China's National Center for the Performing Arts.
Since that day, Peng has vanished from the public eye.
Her absence has drawn further scrutiny as Xi Jinping
embarked on a series of high-profile diplomatic trips to Southeast Asia,
Russia, and Central Asia, without Peng by his side, breaking with long-established protocol
and fueling widespread suspicion.
But on June 8th, a potential clue surfaced.
According to the Belarusian news agency,
First Deputy Prime Minister Nikolai Snopkov appeared on national television
and disclosed new details about a recent meeting between President Alexander Lukashenko and Xi Jinping.
Snopkov stated that Lukashenko had dinner with Xi Peng Liyuan and Xi's daughter,
and he cited Xi's own words during the off-the-record portion of the meeting.
My friend you and I share a special relationship so today we will have a family dinner.
For the first time in history, my daughter will dine in this manner with a foreign head of state.
Observers believe this scene may carry deeper political meaning.
Some analysts interpret it as a symbolic shift suggesting Xi no longer commands formal authority
over foreign affairs and that his daughter Xi Mingzhe has lost her privileged standing.
The speculation builds on earlier reports from the third plenary session last year
when rumors claimed Xi collapsed from a serious illness.
Since then, allegations of his diminishing control over the party and military
have continued to circulate online.
Now with concurrent rumors of Xi Xin and Peng Liyuan's deaths,
all signs point to a ferocious internal struggle
unfolding at the highest levels of the Chinese Communist Party.
Sensitive moment Beijing's political circles whisper the code,
autumn brings change.
As speculation continues to swirl online over whether Xi Jinping has lost control
of the Chinese Communist Party, two cryptic phrases have surfaced from inside Beijing.
Behind-the-curtain political codes empower games.
Writing for Taiwan's Up Media independent commentator Du Jiang
noted that July and August, leading up to the annual Beidaihe meetings,
are traditionally fertile ground for political rumors.
But this year, he says the focus has intensified.
The question is no longer if Xi holds on to power,
but how long before a major shift occurs,
possibly timed with a much-anticipated fourth plenary session
of the 20th Central Committee this fall.
Du argues that in Chinese history,
regime collapse has often been preceded by what appears to be rumors.
But these, he says, may function more as early prophecies than idle chatter.
Though confirmation is elusive,
he believes signs are pointing unmistakably to a political inflection point
whether through a coup mutiny or mass upheaval.
Beneath the surface, he says powerful currents are stirring.
He adds in a climate this opaque even a single phrase
that escapes Beijing's iron curtain can be a rare clue.
According to Du overseas whispers,
claim that an expanded Politburo meeting was held in May.
Among the topics, party elders allegedly proposing a plan to remove Xi Jinping,
elevate Wang Huning and restructure the leadership.
While Xi has since reappeared in public,
Du says it remains unclear whether he's acting as a Mao-style strongman
or simply performing a role like Hua Guofeng in Deng Xiaoping's shadow.
He also points to a pattern multiple predictions of upcoming purges
within China's military-industrial complex made by overseas insiders
still in contact with CCP officials have proven accurate.
This suggests that someone inside the system is leaking information to the outside
and they are not from Xi's camp
since the purge targets are overwhelmingly Xi's own allies.
Du reveals he recently received two independent tips.
One came from a prominent anti-Xi elder in Beijing.
There will be changes in the fall.
By October, it will all become clear.
The other came from the son of a deceased high-ranking military officer
who stated Beijing's political climate is extremely abnormal right now.
But I can't say more.
To Du, these cryptic phrases are not coincidences.
They are political code.
And they line up precisely with the broader narrative of instability
surrounding Xi's hold on power.
Military awaits two key moments for action.
Last May, the Chinese Communist Party imposed a strict no-alcohol order
barring officials from dining in groups larger than three
to curb factionalism within its ranks.
Commentator Du Zheng sees this as a clear sign of Beijing's extreme nervousness.
He believes the real intention behind this ban is to clear the field
ahead of the highly anticipated fourth plenary session later this year.
The party is clearly on edge
taking measures to prevent internal power struggles from escalating.
Behind the scenes, Du notes the existence of a clandestine network of officials
and business figures who meet via secure apps to discuss reform
and quietly promote democratic ideals.
Some of these individuals joined the white paper movement
while others have gone abroad.
Still many remain within China committed to non-violent resistance
and non-cooperation with the regime.
Du warns that if turmoil erupts,
this network will act in concert to push for change.
However, Du also highlights a troubling consequence
of decades of communist indoctrination.
Many Chinese people are unable or unwilling to recognize the CCP
as the source of their grievances.
As a result, frustrations often manifest in random attacks on innocents
known as the Xinjiang incidents,
which the party can then exploit to tighten its grip on power.
Despite the extensive surveillance system in China,
which includes cameras at every corner
and massive data tracking discussions of resistance
continue indicating a simmering discontent among the populace.
What truly frightens those in power, according to Du,
is the potential for a military rebellion.
Du previously revealed that some thoughtful officers and soldiers
are quietly waiting for an opportunity to imitate the Wuchang uprising
ready to rise up at the right moment.
Their plans, however, depend on two key factors.
One is a potential military conflict over Taiwan.
The other is if Xi Jinping suddenly dies throwing the party into chaos.
This information gathered earlier this year suggests
that the domestic political landscape is shifting
with changes possibly brewing within the CCP's power structure.
While it is unclear whether military personnel
still harbor the same determination to rebel,
it remains essential for them to stay clear-headed.
As long as the Communist Party clings to its Marxist ideology,
regardless of who holds power,
China will remain trapped in its ongoing red disaster.
In addition to these internal shifts, public sentiment is growing.
On May 20th, over a thousand netizens
openly discussed potential uprising locations on Duyin
and similar protest slogans,
reminiscent of those seen at Beijing's Sitong Bridge,
have been appearing across the country.
Meanwhile, Australian-based scholar Yuan Hongbing
cites sources within the CCP who told the Epoch Times
that various factions of the princeling group have reached a consensus
Xi Jinping must not be allowed to secure a third term
at the 21st CCP National Congress.
With these signs emerging,
Du Zheng cautions that while it remains uncertain
what will unfold in the fall,
the situation is clearly one to watch closely.
The storm may be brewing,
and the signs point to a moment of reckoning for the CCP.
Fading from the front page,
Xi's media presence diminishes.
The cryptic messages out of Beijing appear to reflect a deeper truth.
Xi Jinping's dominance is waning,
and the evidence may be hiding in plain sight.
Commentator Li Dayu notes that since mid-May,
Xi has regularly disappeared from the front page
of the People's Daily China's most authoritative state-run newspaper.
On June 23rd, the lead stories featured Wang Huning, not Xi.
On June 22nd, the photo of Ding Xuexiang
with Vladimir Putin dominated the front.
Even on June 21st, when Xi met with the New Zealand Prime Minister Premier Li Qiang,
also appeared in a parallel meeting sharing the spotlight.
Under normal circumstances,
this kind of editorial decision would be unthinkable
for a leader at the height of power.
Li observes that Xi is no longer monopolizing coverage.
Instead, Politburo Standing Committee members
are rotated through front-page appearances,
while Xi shows up only sporadically.
This isn't simply a retreat from the cult of personality.
It may indicate that Xi no longer controls the narrative
and has allowed brief appearances merely to preserve an illusion of stability,
since rumors surfaced during last year's third plenum that Xi suffered a stroke
and collapsed speculation about his loss of military and political power has intensified.
Adding to the intrigue, a series of purges and disappearances
targeting key members of Xi's inner circle
widely interpreted as a strategic rollback of his influence.
Many believe Vice Chairman Zhang Yuxia,
with backing from party elders and Red Second Generation families,
is leading the charge to dismantle Xi's grip on the military.
900 million Chinese in debt as six CCP ministries perform an empty city ruse.
In a bold move, six major Chinese Communist Party departments
led by the People's Bank of China have rolled out 19 measures
aimed at jolting the nation's sluggish consumption back to life.
But analysts warn this is little more than a hollow gesture,
an empty city strategy that fails to address the root causes of China's economic malaise.
In detail, the CCP's central bank alongside the National Development
and Reform Commission Ministry of Finance Ministry of Commerce,
Financial Regulatory Authority and China Securities Regulatory Commission
issued a joint directive titled
Guiding Opinions on Financial Support for Boosting and Expanding Consumption.
The plan promises to bolster long-term consumption,
ramp up financial backing for foreign trade firms,
shifting to domestic markets,
and pour resources into key consumption sectors.
It also calls for diversifying financing through bonds and equity markets.
Sounds ambitious, right?
But here's the catch.
It's unlikely to work.
Since the pandemic battered China's economy, recovery has been painfully slow.
Sky-high unemployment, rampant layoffs and salary cuts
have left ordinary citizens strapped for cash.
Without money in their pockets, consumption has tanked.
Experts argue that without policies to secure jobs and stabilize incomes,
people will continue their lying flat lifestyle cutting,
spending to the bone, the CCP's new measures.
They don't even scratch the surface.
The government from Beijing to local towns is drowning in debt and critically short on funds.
Foreign investors are fleeing and a prolonged economic slump
has triggered a wave of business closures across the country.
The result?
A growing army of unemployed citizens forced to scrimp and save just to survive.
In this grim economic reality,
the six departments' lofty promises of financial support to boost consumption
ring hollow a theatrical performance with no substance.
Experts point to the CCP's authoritarian system
as the true culprit behind the economic downturn.
Without structural reforms and a redistribution of interests,
no amount of policy pump will revive China's economy.
The CCP isn't new to this game.
Recent policies like urging officials to tighten their belts
or pushing a nationwide trade-in program for consumer goods
were billed as economic game changers.
Yet they've flopped.
A Chinese blogger recently laid bare the dire situation
Between 750 million and 900 million people are buried under 200 trillion yuan,
approximately $28 trillion in debt.
Foreclosed homes are set to surge by 5 million in 2025,
and housing prices have crashed.
Jobs are scarce and entrepreneurship, forget it.
Every business owner is either losing money, laying off staff or going bankrupt.
Debt is just debt.
Why stress everyone's in the same boat?
Just lie flat and move on.
You only get one life.
Sichuan resident Mr. Liu told The Epoch Times
the CCP's policies are a mess of contradictions.
He said they pushed appliances to the countryside,
with subsidies then demanded frugal living with civil servant pay cuts.
Some places even set up smash-the-pot and sell iron offices.
Now it's trade-in policies.
They're desperate for us to spend.
But if you've got old stuff that works, why buy new?
And with what money?
Li Qiang, a pseudonymized resident of Hefei Anhui,
echoed the sentiment to The Epoch Times.
Unemployment is everywhere, healthcare costs are through the roof,
and mortgages have drained generations of savings.
These stimulus policies, they're meaningless.
Social media is flooded with desperate posts.
People can't find jobs, can't afford instant noodles, and are terrified.
Former Premier Li Keqiang once admitted at least 600 million Chinese
earn less than 1,000 yuan, about $139 a month.
Barely enough for rent.
Against this backdrop, the six departments' grand claims of
boosting consumption through financial support
look like nothing more than a publicity stunt.
Financial commentator Xiao Yi didn't mince words round after round of stimulus,
has failed to deliver lasting results.
These new consumption policies are just recycled industrial handouts,
pushing already overcapacity firms to produce more.
With export stalled, companies like BYD are selling cars at a loss,
He added encouraging consumption through loans is a non-starter.
The focus is on flashy tech-driven services,
not on creating jobs or raising incomes.
Sure, they talk about bond and equity financing for private firms,
but those companies are hoarding cash,
or sticking to safe bets, not investing in risky ventures.
By May 2025, China's money supply, or M2, hit a staggering 325.78 trillion yuan,
dwarfing the combined totals of the U.S., Japan, and Europe.
The central bank has slashed interest rates eight times since 2022
and cut reserve requirements from 12% to 7%.
Yet the money isn't reaching the real economy.
It's trapped in a financial system loop, a classic liquidity trap.
Xiao Yi stated that to park real demand,
China needs higher incomes, stable jobs, and renewed consumer confidence.
But that requires tackling the sensitive issue of structural reform
overhauling the CCP's system and redistributing wealth.
Without that, these 19 measures are just another empty promise
in a long line of failed policies.
CCP secretly sends troops to Russia
Experts reveal the hidden calculations behind China-Russia alliance
In a bombshell revelation, Ukraine's intelligence has uncovered a clandestine plan
the Chinese Communist Party is sending 600 military personnel to Russia
for advanced combat training zeroing in on tactics to counter Western weapon systems.
Experts warn this signals a seismic shift in China-Russia,
relations moving from so-called unlimited cooperation to a full-fledged military alliance.
The Kyiv Post, citing Ukraine's Defense Intelligence Agency,
reports that the Kremlin has greenlit this operation,
opening Russian military bases and training centers to the CCP's forces.
The curriculum tank operations, artillery strategies, military engineering,
and air defense systems drawing directly from Russia's hard-earned battlefield lessons
in its war against Ukraine.
This unprecedented military collaboration comes as the Russia-Ukraine conflict drags
into its fourth year, with Russian forces gaining critical expertise
in neutralizing advanced Western weaponry.
Ukrainian intelligence sees this as a clear sign.
Moscow is doubling down on a strategic alliance with Beijing to challenge the West
on a global stage.
Meanwhile, Europe is ramping up its defenses,
and the West is crafting countermeasures to confront this growing threat.
China's play battle tested skills for a Taiwan showdown.
Dr. Cheng Chi-Tung, an expert at Taiwan's Institute for National Defense and Security Research,
told The Epoch Times this move marks a dangerous evolution in China-Russia ties.
He breaks down Beijing's motives into three strategic goals.
First, China's military-lacking real-world combat experience is desperate to soak up
Russia's lessons from the Ukraine war a textbook case of modern warfare.
Second, with Ukraine wielding U.S.-style weapons, the CCP sees a golden opportunity
to master countermeasures prepping for a potential clash in the Taiwan Strait.
Dr. Cheng explains Taiwan's forces rely on American equipment and tactics.
By studying Ukraine's use of U.S. systems,
China can develop targeted strategies to counter them.
Third, the training focuses on tanks' artillery engineering and air defense,
mirroring the land-and-air combat defining the Russia-Ukraine war.
Dr. Cheng highlights air defense as critical.
In a world of drones and precision missiles, countering air threats is the heart of modern
warfare.
Dr. Shenming Shi, another researcher at the Institute,
adds that these 600 personnel, likely elite troops, are being groomed as
seed instructors to bring battle-tested expertise back to China.
He warns,
This may just be the first wave.
China's military-industrial complex could already be on Russia's front lines studying
the war up close to refine their own strategies.
Russia's gambit trading expertise for China's support.
Why is Russia sharing its battlefield secrets?
Dr. Cheng points to two motives.
First, Moscow wants to lock in a de facto military alliance with China,
expecting advanced tech and economic aid in return.
Second, Russia aims to drag China deeper into the European conflict shattering
Beijing's veneer of neutrality and cementing a long-term strategic partnership.
Since the Ukraine war began, China has tilted heavily toward Russia,
snapping up its energy and raw materials while offering diplomatic cover on the global stage.
Though no formal treaty exists,
experts say the two nations are already operating as a military alliance in all but name.
Global fallout Europe braces, NATO sounds the alarm.
On June 23, NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte issued a stark warning ahead of the NATO summit.
China's rapid military buildup raises the real risk of conflict in the Taiwan Strait.
If war erupts, their route to cautioned Russia could exploit the chaos to escalate in Europe
threatening the continent's stability like never before.
With Russia's aggression, China's growing might and support from North Korea, Iran,
and China fueling the Ukraine war, NATO is pushing to supercharge its defenses.
Discussions are underway to hike member states' defense spending
from 2% to 5% of GDP to meet these unprecedented global challenges.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has called out China's double-dealing
accusing Beijing of halting drone sales to Ukraine and Europe
while supplying Russia with military-grade equipment.
Russian drone production lines, he notes,
are now humming with direct input from Chinese technicians.
China's denials in Europe's pivot.
On June 26, CCP Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun deflected accusations insisting China
is a steadfast defender of world peace and has never armed any side in the Ukraine conflict.
Yet Western nations point to China's economic and diplomatic backing of Russia
as undeniable support for Moscow's war machine.
As China-Russia military ties deepen, Europe is rethinking its approach to Beijing.
Dr. Cheng predicts that Europe's de-risking strategy could soon escalate to outright
decoupling if China's involvement in the Ukraine war intensifies.
In response, European nations are stepping up their presence in the Indo-Pacific,
particularly around Taiwan and the South China Sea.
At the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, leaders like French President Emmanuel Macron
warned that the China-Russia partnership poses a grave threat to global security.
They're urging Europe and Asia to unite against this most severe challenge.
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