Caught in the Crossfire: China’s African Gambit Goes Awry

The Belt and Road Initiative faces a crisis in Niger, where the military junta expelled CNPC executives and revoked a hotel’s license, citing discrimination and economic exclusion. With 4.6 billion dollars invested, CNPC dominates Niger’s oil sector, but the junta’s extortion—demanding funds and threatening asset seizure—exploits China’s vulnerability. Russia’s close ties with the junta hint at deeper geopolitical games. This incident reflects a pattern of losses—billions in funds and dozens of lives—across 12 years of the initiative, marred by coups, corruption, and instability in partner nations. Lacking military might to protect its interests, China struggles to counter such rogue regimes, raising questions about the initiative’s viability and its staggering human and financial toll.

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