【謝田時間】中國人買房子是虛假擁有權？只是租賃權？政府無權徵收房地產稅？ 2.政府加速建立租購併舉房屋制度無實質意義？ 3. 央行再次降息、提振疲軟經濟舉措是空談_

Hello, Professor Xie. Hello, everyone. The CCP has recently proposed to speed up the construction of a housing system that is affordable enough, and improve real estate taxation. What do you think of this move by the CCP? Yes, first of all, we know that the Shandong Society has been delayed for almost a year, for more than half a year. It hasn't been opened until now. We know that the Shandong Society has always been promoting economic policies and ways to promote the economy. Now it has been delayed for so long because it can't come up with a way to stimulate the economy. Now that it has come up with a solution, we can see that it has a housing system that is affordable enough, and has accelerated the construction of a new model of real estate development. One of the models is the real estate tax system. First of all, affordable enough. China is actually very interesting. It seems that 95% of the people in China have their own houses. Of course, this is not a real right to own. We know that this is actually a right to rent, because it only has the right to use. For example, in the United States, or in Europe, or anywhere else, everyone in the free society knows that if you buy a house, you really own it. You can inherit it, you can transfer it, you can do anything. This is your land. But not in China. Although 95% of the Chinese people have the right to own, what they actually own is a right to rent. We are talking about a real right to use. Let's take it as a purchase. But China says that because so many people already have a house, so the rental market in China has not been very developed. We see a very strange phenomenon in Chinese society. They all want to buy a house. Young people all want to buy a house. They don't want to rent a house and get married. How about renting a house? Of course, renting a house is possible, but it will not constitute the mainstream of society. This is a very strange phenomenon, a very interesting phenomenon. In the United States, basically 66-67% of the people in the United States own their own houses. Two-thirds of the people rent a house, and one-third of the people rent a house. You can rent an apartment, you can also rent a single villa-type house, or rent a variety of houses. The United States always has one-third of the people who will never buy a house. They will rent a house for the rest of their lives. In this way, the market will be more perfect. The CCP now wants to rent and buy together. It seems to want to increase this part, so that those who can't afford to buy will not buy to rent. But the Chinese people have a kind of attachment to the land, a kind of dependence on the land, and a lack of trust in the CCP government. Because they think, I have to buy it, so that I can be sure and reliable. This mentality may be difficult to change. Especially in China, in fact, the Chinese people have the right to own, but in fact, it is a false right. In fact, it is a right to use. In fact, it is a real right to rent. That is to say, the Chinese people are not really interested in renting a house. This has also led to a poor market for renting houses in China. The CCP is now trying to establish this point. This will reduce the pressure on people to buy a house. Now you are talking about the most critical thing, First of all, the CCP has no right to collect real estate taxes. Because, as I mentioned earlier, only people who own a house can pay real estate taxes. For example, I am now in my office. I have this kind of house, and I have to pay real estate taxes for it every year. This is a matter of course. If today, someone rents this house, and I am just a tenant, this house owner needs to pay real estate taxes. As a tenant, I don't need to pay this tax. So in fact, we know that all the land in China is still owned by the CCP. So in fact, in strict legal terms, China does not have the right to collect real estate taxes. But the CCP obviously wants to collect real estate taxes in China The problem with collecting real estate taxes is that now it seems that it is just a policy. I am very skeptical about whether it can be implemented. First, it may cause a huge rebound in the people. Because, for example, when the US collects real estate taxes, for example, I am in Georgia, in Nancar, if we have a house, this real estate tax is used by the state government and the county government to pay the local education system, the police, to pay these, mainly schools, education, these things, the cost. In China, the cost of education in schools now has already been covered by other taxes. What is the use of collecting real estate taxes now? If you have no original reason, no legitimate reason, how can you collect this tax? So this is unfair to the people. They should actually fight. I think they should fight. They will also fight. So many ordinary people, even middle-class people, for example, they have a set of benefits given by the original unit. I will give you a house in person. You can buy a house yourself. There may be two or three sets of houses in China. If you want to collect real estate taxes, many people may have to sell their houses. You will lose a house. And if there is a large-scale sale again, losing real estate, it is already in the blood, it is already in the crisis, the Chinese real estate market may be doubled. Anyway, especially the corrupt officials of the CCP, they may have dozens or hundreds of houses, they are all empty there. Empty there, or waiting for the price to be paid. If he suddenly gives him dozens or hundreds of houses to pay the real estate tax, they will also rebel. That is, the upper and lower branches of China, from the Interest Group, to ordinary people, may all oppose this thing. So I think this measure, this measure, in fact, the CCP has tried it. It has been tried for at least ten years. It seems to start again from Shanghai. It hasn't really started yet. Now its economy is about to collapse. It is now taking this out as a compensation, as a supplement to the Chinese government's taxes. I think it may be difficult to push it forward. Dad said that the key point is multi-set real estate, or high-end housing. You also talked about it before. This house is basically priceless. That is to say, if everyone sells it, is it impossible to sell it? Yes. First of all, now, the reason why China is now in the crisis of real estate bubble collapse is that no one can buy it. There is no capital to buy it. There is no capital in Hong Kong. Now in the United States, Wall Street capital is being withdrawn. The rich Chinese have already bought it. Or some other set. There is no money in it. No one can buy this thing. No one is going to buy it. So these, the CCP is likely to set a limit, for example, less than 1 million, or less than 700,000, and not pay taxes. Then the high-end housing will collect taxes. Or the first set does not collect taxes. The second set of houses, the third set, are more than collecting taxes. How many houses are collecting taxes? It may also withdraw in this way. In fact, in this way, it will also cause a rebound. As I just said, there are already many families with two sets of housing. Then, the key is that if it does this, many people will sell it. The CCP's limit policy may not be implemented. If you want to collect taxes, I can't afford to pay taxes. I don't want to pay taxes, so I will sell it. If you sell it, the price will drop sharply. At this time, the government will limit the price, limit the price, and not let you lower the price. This can't be done. This can't be said. So this later, this will involve some very intense conflicts about capital, assets, wealth, and property. So I think this is very difficult to implement. Then, if it is implemented, it may be because it has already moved these low-level officials, middle-level officials, high-level officials, and rich people. Then, it may be closed and the people will rebel. Then, the CCP's regime will not be able to keep it. I also saw that some netizens said that because everyone is selling it, the price will drop. If it can't be sold, the government will take the opportunity to buy it at a low price and then rent it to the people. What do you think of this statement? The government is buying it at a low price. Where did the government get the money to buy it? The government has no money now. The government is now in a serious financial deficit. So now, it has a new tax reform. It wants the local government to find a way to raise money to maintain the operation of its government agency autonomous machine. Where did the government get the money to buy it? If it is not bought by the government, will it be bought at a low price or will it be bought according to its own regulations? At this time, if the government decides the price by itself, then it will involve the issue of right to rent. If it is bought at a market price, then the Chinese Communist Party may see that the price of the house they bought is also falling. Then the Chinese Communist Party will be in more trouble. More trouble. The key is that after buying it, we just said that 95% of the Chinese people already have their own houses. It has now acquired these prices. China's current problem is that real estate is overpriced, seriously overpriced. There are 600 million houses, not 600 million sets, but 600 million houses. These are completely wasteful, extremely overpriced. What happens after this? Firstly, they have no money to buy. Secondly, what can they do after buying? They don't have a rental market. We just mentioned renting and buying. Chinese people don't have the habit of renting. If the government takes the money and can't rent it out, what should they do? So, this is not a solution. There is no way. Government intervention will definitely only cause more corruption. It is absolutely impossible to solve the problem. In addition, there is also a report that the CPC Central Bank is going down again to try to improve the weak economy. What do you think? Yes. I think the CPC Central Bank is now trying to remove the banks and other critical indicators. The interest rate is down by 0.1%. It is clearly to increase liquidity, increase currency supply and allow more money to enter banks and loan institutions. In other words, it is to allow companies to loan so that they can easily loan and invest to develop the economy. The key is that the economy is declining and companies do not have new investment opportunities. The CPC Central Bank also wants to use real estate to loan money to consumers. However, if consumers see that the housing price is falling every day, who will borrow money to buy a house? If you borrow money to buy a house, the price will fall How do you hold it in your hand? Do you invest or invest? This is actually a way to stimulate the economy. But in my opinion, basically when the Chinese economy is declining, it will not play such a role.