BY COMFORT OGBONNA
Global stock markets mostly moved higher on Tuesday, with investor optimism fueled by easing geopolitical tensions, improving sentiment in technology shares, and expectations that global energy supplies could stabilize following a tentative agreement between the United States and Iran. Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 briefly crossed the historic 70,000-point mark for the first time before surrendering part of its gains after the Bank of Japan announced a widely anticipated interest rate increase.
The Bank of Japan raised its benchmark interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 1%, bringing borrowing costs to their highest level in roughly three decades. The move reflects growing confidence among policymakers that inflation and wage growth are becoming more sustainable after years of ultra-loose monetary policy. While the rate hike initially sparked some caution among investors, Japanese equities remained resilient, supported by strong corporate earnings and continued foreign investment into the country’s stock market.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 ended the day up 0.1% at 69,404.50 after briefly trading above the 70,000 level during morning activity. The milestone highlights the remarkable rally in Japanese stocks over the past year, driven by improving corporate governance, a weaker yen that has boosted exporters, and growing confidence in the country’s economic outlook.
Elsewhere in Asia, South Korea’s Kospi continued its record-breaking run, climbing 2.1% to 8,726.60. Technology and semiconductor stocks led the gains as investors remained optimistic about long-term demand for artificial intelligence-related products and services. Taiwan’s Taiex also advanced 0.9%, supported by strength in chipmakers and electronics manufacturers.
Chinese markets were more subdued. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 1.4% to 24,493.95 as investors locked in recent gains and remained cautious about the pace of economic recovery in China. The Shanghai Composite Index slipped 0.1% to 4,091.89, reflecting concerns about domestic demand and ongoing challenges in the property sector.
Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was largely unchanged, adding less than 0.1% to close at 8,917.70. Meanwhile, India’s Sensex gained 0.7%, extending its recent upward momentum as investors remained encouraged by strong economic growth prospects and continued foreign investment flows.
European markets also opened higher, building on the positive tone seen across global markets. France’s CAC 40 rose 0.7% to 8,446.06, while Germany’s DAX gained 0.8% to 25,102.01. In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 advanced 0.6% to 10,492.11 as investors welcomed easing energy costs and improved risk appetite.
U.S. stock futures pointed to a relatively stable start on Wall Street. Futures tied to the S&P 500 were little changed, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures edged 0.1% higher. Investors continued to assess the implications of recent geopolitical developments and the outlook for interest rates.
The positive sentiment followed a strong session on Wall Street Monday, when major U.S. indexes posted significant gains. The S&P 500 climbed 1.7%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.9% to reach a new record high. The technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite outperformed, surging 3.1% as investors returned to growth-oriented stocks.
A major factor supporting equities has been the sharp decline in oil prices. Energy markets have reacted positively to news of a preliminary agreement between Washington and Tehran that could eventually restore normal shipping operations through the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most important oil transit routes.
Brent crude prices fell nearly 5% on Monday amid hopes that the agreement could help reopen the strategic waterway and ease concerns about global supply disruptions. The strait is a crucial artery for international energy trade, particularly for Asian economies that rely heavily on Middle Eastern oil imports.
Despite the optimism, analysts caution that several significant issues remain unresolved. Negotiations between the United States and Iran are expected to continue over the next two months, and while the Strait of Hormuz is expected to reopen soon, restoring shipping operations to pre-conflict levels could take considerable time. Industry experts warn that mines, security concerns, and logistical challenges may delay a full recovery in oil transportation.
Oil prices have retreated sharply from the elevated levels seen earlier during the conflict. Just weeks ago, crude oil traded above $100 per barrel amid fears of a prolonged disruption to supplies. Prior to the outbreak of hostilities, prices had hovered closer to the $70 range.
Early Tuesday trading saw further declines in energy markets. U.S. benchmark crude oil dropped $2.03 to $78.72 per barrel, while Brent crude, the global benchmark, fell $1.82 to $81.35 per barrel. Investors increasingly believe that the return of Gulf exports, combined with signs of slowing global demand, could keep pressure on oil prices in the near term.
Currency markets were relatively calm. The U.S. dollar slipped slightly to 160.32 Japanese yen from 160.33 yen, while the euro strengthened modestly to $1.1604 from $1.1594. Traders are closely watching central bank decisions and economic data for clues about future monetary policy moves.
Overall, investor sentiment remains broadly positive as easing geopolitical tensions, lower energy costs, and continued strength in technology stocks support global markets. However, analysts note that uncertainty surrounding the U.S.-Iran negotiations, future central bank actions, and the pace of global economic growth could continue to generate volatility in the weeks ahead.
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