'Nail-biting' midterms may deliver Democratic wins across the US, says top Democratic strategist

Euronews Europe
20 followers
1 Video View·Oct 28, 2026
America is heading for a political showdown,
and the stakes could hardly be higher.
In just one week, voters will decide
who controls Congress in what is widely seen as a referendum
on Donald Trump's presidency.
With Republicans fighting to hold on to power
and Democrats hoping for a comeback, the outcome
could reshape Washington and Trump's last two years in the White House.
For more on this, I'm now joined by Keith Branham,
senior advisor on U.S. politics at
consulting firm Green Lane with more than
a decade of experience as a Democratic strategist
and campaign manager. Good morning and thanks for coming on.
Good morning. So right now Democrats
have a huge polling advantage on the generic ballot.
Likely voters prefer Democratic candidates
over Republicans by 11 points
in their congressional districts. But when it comes to
Senate races, the Democrats lead narrows to just five points.
Is there still some nail biting or
do Democrats have it in the bag?
There's definitely some nail biting, but this is far
more nail biting than Republicans would have wanted.
When we came in to 2026, it was understood
that the House, because of history, was probably in play for Democrats.
Democrats probably had a
really good chance of winning it.
And the Senate was out of reach. The map was just not in their
favor. That is how much the politics has changed between January
and now. And there's a few reasons
for that. One, Democrats have recruited really
fantastic candidates across some really difficult
states that Republicans are used to winning.
And that Donald Trump in 2024 won in by high single
digits, sometimes double digits.
And for example, you have a great camp, you had a great candidate
in in Tularico in Texas,
who won a really competitive primary and is going up against
a Republican candidate who is beladen by scandal. And this is put-
Keith, if I may, I have to ask you this.
Over the past decade, pollsters understated Trump's
and Republicans' strength.
Are the polls overestimating Democrats yet again?
I would say the polls are not overestimating.
In fact, the most polls are within the margin
of error. So it is a coin toss across so many of these districts.
Again, where we started in
in January, that is just how much this landscape changed.
So just like in 2024, where you had a
bunch of states that you could have said one way
or another would have gone for Kamala Harris or
for Donald Trump in the presidential election,
now you have the same situation here. Again,
that's just how the map has shifted again.
Briefly, Keith, to what extent would a Democratic
Congress have the ability to roll back Trump's policies?
That is a really good question,
because right now, this Congress has been,
I would say, very subservient to the president,
and the president has shown little interest
in governing with Congress. Now, with Democratic
majorities, Democrats will certainly,
and they have been very vocal about holding the president
accountable and using their powers of oversight
and investigation to try to do so. I think we are
in uncertain times because the president normally,
in these next two years, would go into what we
call the lame duck status.
And we'll probably not get a lot done because, again, we're looking
forward to the next presidential administration
because we have another presidential election
coming up next year.
