2023年購買黃金和白銀的四大理由

Hello, everyone. I'm Li Zhirong. Today, I'm going to share with you why you should buy gold and silver in 2023. After all, the U.S. economy is facing a serious crisis. A lot of people's wealth is shrinking. Buying gold and silver may be the best way to protect your assets. To cut a long story short, let's just talk about gold. In fact, silver is the same. If you want to buy gold, let's first look at why some financial experts or investment experts do not recommend buying gold. The main reason is that gold has no other investment returns. Gold has no negative interest, so the ancient god Bartholomew never stole gold, etc. Some financial experts say, looking at the past 10 years of data, found that the rise in the stock market is more than three times that of gold. Here, the blue curve represents Dow Jones. The green and red represent gold. If you compare the data from the past 30 years, you will find that the stock market is still much higher than gold. It seems to verify that the profit of the stock market will be better. But let's look at the data from the past five years. You will find that the return on gold is higher than that of the stock market. If you compare the past 20 years, gold is also better. It's simple. The market is fluctuating. If you only compare certain periods of time, you may come to different conclusions. I think long-term data should start in August 1997. Why? As you know, in August 1997, President Nixon said that the U.S. dollar could no longer exchange gold. In other words, the U.S. dollar decoupled from gold. Before that, gold and the U.S. dollar were a fixed ratio. Comparing the stock market with gold is like comparing the stock market with the U.S. dollar. It makes no sense to compare. So let's start from August 1997. Since August 1997, gold has actually grown more than the stock market in the past 50 years. I think this picture explains two problems. One, from a long-term perspective, the return on gold is not inferior to the stock market, or even better. The second and more important point is your buying opportunity. Your timing is the key. That's why I said you should buy gold and silver in 2023. Because this year is a very special year. We may soon face a serious economic crisis. Let's talk about these four reasons in detail. The first reason is that the U.S.'s crazy move will keep inflation high. There is even a risk of super-inflation. Inflation, as we all know, is a price increase. According to traditional economics, there is too much money in the circulation area. Excessive money is chasing the same number of products. The price must rise, right? So how much U.S. dollars did the U.S. release? Let's take a look at a picture of the US Federal Reserve's St. Louis branch. It shows the supply of U.S. dollars, M2. This is a common data to measure the supply of U.S. dollars. As you can see, in February 2020, the supply of U.S. dollars was about 15.5 trillion. Two years later, in February 2022, it has reached 21.6 trillion. In other words, in two years, the supply of U.S. dollars has increased by nearly 40%. A shocking number. Did the number of products and services increase at the same time? Because of the epidemic and the lockdown, I think not only did it not increase, but only decreased. Is it possible for so much money to come in without inflation? As expected, in June 2022, the inflation rate in the United States reached 9.1%. This is the highest point in more than 40 years. I think all Chinese living in the United States have a close experience. So the Biden administration said, Inflation has now decreased. According to U.S. government data, the inflation rate seems to be gradually decreasing. So will inflation disappear soon? Will it even drop to a level that can be ignored? To be honest, I personally doubt why the U.S. printing volume has not dropped much. At the end of May this year, the Democratic and Republican Party of the United States just reached an agreement to further increase national debt. What does that mean? We need to borrow more and print more. Second, it is difficult for the Fed to control inflation through increasing interest rates. In March, three U.S. banks went bankrupt, including the 16th-largest Silicon Valley Bank. In May, the first Republican bank went bankrupt again. In fact, an important reason for the bankruptcy is the rapid rise in interest rates, which has caused a lot of losses to these banks. Why does the rise in interest rates lead to bank losses? Because most of these banks bought a lot of U.S. national debt. As we all know, U.S. national debt is one of the most stable assets. Because of its stability, its return rate is not high, and there are only a few points. However, since the Fed rapidly increased interest rates, the national debt of these banks has quickly become negative assets. Why? An article in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission titled When interest rates rise, the fixed interest rate national debt will fall. So how much will it fall? A report by CNBC in January this year made it very clear. Assuming a five-year national debt, when the interest rate is 1% higher, the value will fall by 5%. A four-year national debt will fall by 10%. A 15-year national debt will fall by 15%. So these assets of banks quickly become negative assets. Fortunately, this is just a loss on the account. In the future, if the interest rate drops, the account may be flat. However, when Silicon Valley Bank leaked a loss, it caused a crowd of customers. Silicon Valley Bank had no choice but to sell its bonds to pay for the crowd. The loss on the account became a real loss. Silicon Valley Bank fell when it couldn't bear it. In this case, does the Fed dare to increase interest rates? This is why there is no increase in interest rates in June. In July, the interest rate was only a symbolic 0.25%. In an article in Barents in July, inflation has awakened. Why will the price continue to rise? That is to say, in the future, inflation will remain high. So what is superinflation? Superinflation is also translated as malignant inflation. At this time, everyone has no confidence in money. Everyone wants to spend it as soon as possible and replace it with other products. Will there be superinflation in the United States? I hope not. Otherwise, this is a global economic disaster. In this case, the $3.3 trillion deficit and the continued expansion of spending policy will cause a large amount of dollars to enter the market. It can be said that the risk of superinflation is difficult to completely eliminate. Gold can effectively combat the risk of inflation and protect your purchasing power. So this is the first reason to buy gold. The second reason is that the U.S. economy is in a crisis. There is a risk of a major decline or even a major decline. Under the calm surface, the U.S. economy is not in a crisis. Just kidding, there are five or six. The inflation I just talked about is a sign of a crisis. But because superinflation is the root of many economic problems, we take it out and take it out. The other one is on top of the U.S. Democracy is the $3.3 trillion national debt. It is expected that by 2028, the U.S. annual national debt interest will exceed U.S. military spending. This year's military spending is about $9.2 trillion. In other words, every year, the national debt interest will reach $1 trillion and will continue to increase. Do you think this increase can continue? Since the bankruptcy of the Silicon Valley Bank in March, the crisis in the banking industry has not disappeared. It's just been covered up. CNBC reported in July that the U.S. banking industry is in a big shock. More pain is coming. Forbes reported in May that the U.S. bank has a total of $5,150 billion in account losses. Fox News reported in June that according to Morgan Stanley's forecast, the U.S. commercial real estate price will fall by 40%, which is more than the crisis of the next generation in 2008. The stock market is collapsing. This is a very famous investor, Michael Burry. In 2008, when the economy was in crisis, many people lost a lot of money. He made $100 million for himself. He predicts that the current market will have a historic bubble and will see the end of the crash. We can only point out the time problem. I will share with you the specific reasons and performance of each crisis. These may be the key to the U.S.'s economic decline Let's listen to the financial commentator Peter Seif. Peter Seif has a nickname, Dr. Doom, because he also successfully predicted the economic crisis in 2007 and 2008. Before the economic crisis in 2007, he published a book on the collapse of the U.S. dollar, which is called Crash Proof. He pointed out that the U.S. economy has a fundamental problem, which is the outflow of banknotes. He predicted that the U.S. would experience a financial storm. Compared with the U.S. dollar issued before 2007, this is nothing. Let's listen to what he said. Dr. Doom, the policy of zero interest rates for nearly 10 years and the huge volume expansion, that is, a large amount of banknotes, will not only lead to economic decline, but will also lead to the collapse of the U.S. economy in the 30s. He also predicted that the U.S. economy would experience a financial storm. It's possible that the U.S. economy will go into a big decline in the 30s. Whether it's a big decline or a big decline, it will quickly destroy the people's wealth. I hope that everyone will be prepared in advance not to be a victim of a failed economic policy. The third reason is that the gold price is soaring. History has shown that large-scale adjustment of gold prices is possible. On July 26, Morgan Bank said that the Fed is looking to reduce interest rates. In 2024, the gold price will reach a record high. He predicted that in the last quarter of 2024, the gold price will reach $2,175 per ounce. Denmark's Saxo Bank, its major Chinese commodity strategy advisor, O'Hansen predicted at the end of last year that this year's gold price will reach $3,000 per ounce. His main reason is that in 2023, the market will find that in the foreseeable future, Let's look at another senior investor's view. David Hunter has 50 years of investment experience. He predicts that in 2020, the gold price is expected to reach $3,000 to $4,000 per ounce. The stock market will soon fall by more than 80%. So he also predicts that the stock market will crash. The U.S. government has no choice but to fully start the printing machine to save the economy. In the second half of 2024 or 2025, the gold price will reach $20,000 per ounce. That's ten times the current gold price. Is it possible? Looking back at history, we find that a significant adjustment in the gold price is possible. Or this picture. You can see that gold is more volatile than stock market, and sometimes it simply rises several times in a straight line. Will David Hunter's prediction come true? Let's wait and see. The central bank is buying gold at an unprecedented rate. This is a report from April this year. It said that the central bank was buying gold at an unprecedented rate two months ago. In fact, this is already a record higher than last year's new record. In 2022, the central bank has set the record for buying the most gold. It bought a total of 1,136 tons of gold. This is the highest point since 1950. The total value is $70 billion. What about commercial banks? The largest bank in the United States, Datong Bank, predicts that the gold price will reach a record high. The largest bank in Switzerland, the Swiss Bank Group, predicts that the gold price will reach $2,100 per ounce by the end of this year. It will also set a new record, reaching $2,200 per ounce by March next year. Can the commercial banks in the United States not be prepared in advance? What do these big institutional investors explain when they buy gold? Will this purchase itself cause a rise in gold prices? I think we should all think about it. OK, that's it for today. We are not offering investment advice. We are just talking about how to protect your personal assets and personal wealth in the current economic situation. If this video is helpful, please share it with your relatives and friends. We are facing an unstable world. It is crucial to protect your assets. Please subscribe to my channel and turn on the notification bell. It is very important for us to continue to provide you with relevant information. In the next issue, I will share with you how to buy gold and silver and what to pay attention to. Thank you for watching. See you next time.