Insider drops INSANE Giants report...

SF Giants Digest
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Nov 13, 2026
Video Summary
AI GeneratedThe San Francisco Giants are internally exploring a trade to offload Willie Adamez to the Toronto Blue Jays. While Adamez has a full no-trade clause and declining performance, the Giants are desperate for financial relief from his $155 million remaining contract, likely offering to pay a significant portion of his salary to facilitate the move.
Willie Adamez might have a new home.
The Blue Jays have internally discussed a trade for him,
and as we know, the Giants would jump
at the chance to move his contract.
He has five years and about $155 million left,
and nobody on this roster has a worse contract.
But the Giants can't just make a call,
because Willie has a full no-trade clause,
and Buster Posey is betting he bounces back.
So, do the Giants get out while they can?
Toronto isn't coming with an offer.
This is internal talk, and it reads like a fallback plan.
The Athletic's own wording is that the $155 million left on his deal
probably isn't that appealing given his recent struggles.
The Jays have bigger targets on their list.
C.J. Abrams, Zach Netto,
and free agents Jazz Hism Jr. and Brandon Lowe.
Abrams and Netto aren't new names either.
The Jays talked about both at the 2026 trade deadline,
so this is a return to old conversations.
So Adamez is closer to Plan B,
but Plan B is still enough for the Giants to listen.
Posey said the stance is the same as at the trade deadline.
We've got to listen on just about anybody.
And of course, if a deal gets made, Toronto would most likely expect
the Giants to eat a chunk of that money.
The Giants would jump on that, no hesitation.
They know at this point they would have
to pay down part of that contract.
Don't worry about the return from Toronto,
this is about financial freedom.
So why Adamez? Well, out of the 3 big contracts on the Giants,
his is the worst right now.
To see why the Giants would listen, go back to how they got here.
Adamez signed 7 years
and $182 million with the Giants in December 2024, with the $22 million
signing bonus and a full no-trade clause,
the most expensive free agent in franchise history.
He made $13.1 million in 2026,
and that jumps to $31.1 million a year, starting in 2027.
In 2024, with the Brewers, he hit 32 home runs with a 7.93 OPS.
In 2025, with the Giants, it was 30 home runs and a 7.39 OPS.
In 2026, it dropped to 21 home runs and a 7.13 OPS in 121 games.
In 2025, he also played 160 games with a 3.18 on-base percentage
and 12 stolen bases.
2026?
That fell to a .289 on base percentage and 5 stolen bases.
That's three seasons in which
the numbers have gone the wrong way every time.
The Giants have missed the playoffs five years in a row now.
They sit 27th in ESPN's way-too-early 2027 power rankings,
and the veteran core, Adamez included, wasn't good enough in 2026.
All three of the big money hitters ended 2026 on the IL,
and two of them needed core muscle surgery.
That's a team that's stuck,
and this report is the first of a potential solution.
Adamez makes $31.1 million a year from 2027 through 2031.
Matt Chapman is about 25.2 million a year through 2030,
and he's a four-time Gold Glove third baseman.
Chapman only played 84 games before an abdominal injury,
but his glove still rated, plus four outs above average,
eighth best of 43 qualified first basemen.
Rafael Devers hit 37 home runs with an 865 OPS in 2026.
By war, Devers was at 3.6 and Chapman was at 2.7 in just 84 games.
Chapman's 2026 ended on June 30th, his last game,
and an abdominal strain put him on the IL the next day.
In those 84 games he did play,
he hit .235 with 7 home runs and a .692 OPS.
His glove has held up, however.
11 outs above average in 2024, 4 in 2025, and 4 again in 2026.
And his contract is the shortest of the three,
4 more seasons through 2030.
Devers is signed through 2033, so he's the longest commitment,
but he's also the one actually producing.
His OPS was in the 94th percentile among qualified hitters,
and his average exit velocity was in the 96th.
Chapman can field, Devers can hit,
Adamez is paid like a star, but last year, he didn't either.
He hit .230 with a .289 on base percentage in 2026,
and that on base percentage was a career low.
His wRC Plus went from 108 in 2025 to 98 in 2026,
which is two ticks below the average.
A below average bat on a contract that runs until he's 35.
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And crazy enough, Adames' bat isn't even the biggest problem.
He finished 2026 at negative 17 outs above average
and negative 14 fielding run value.
Both marks were the worst in the entire league, not just shortstops.
He made 18 errors, the second most of his career,
with a 9.62 fielding percentage, his lowest since 2020.
Just the year before, he was plus 5 outs above average at shortstop.
Abrams is another name the Jays have talked about, so clearly,
they're not placing too much value on the defensive side of things.
Adames said a back problem lingered all season long,
and a left elbow sprain finally put him on the IL on August 24th.
He did not hide behind it, quote,
I know I haven't been my best on both sides.
Now, when talking about the bat specifically,
I fully expect him to bounce back
and be close to 30 home runs and 90-ish RBIs.
Now, sure, I know the back was injured all season long,
but I'm not as optimistic about the glove.
Negative 17 outs per average
is hard to come back from at 31 years old.
Buster Posey seems to agree on the bat.
There's a case for Adames' bat returning
and a case against it.
The case for it. He hit 30 home runs in 2025,
and he played 20-26 through a back problem he never used as an excuse.
The case against starts with how hard he hit the ball.
His average exit velocity was in the 22nd percentile in 2026.
His expected batting average was in the 12th percentile,
and his expected wOBA in the 19th.
His chase rate was in the 36th percentile,
so he went after more bad pitches than most hitters.
The only kind of bright spot was his barrels, in the 58th percentile.
He struck out 139 times in 505 plate appearances,
27.5% of the time, and walked 37 times.
That's a lot of soft contact, not just bad luck,
and the back problem only explains so much of it.
Compare that with Devers,
who had an OPS over 1,300 over his last 15 games of the season.
Posey said on September 29th that the way Devers
was the last six weeks of the season
is what the Giants are going to need from him going forward.
Devers' bat answers its own questions.
Adames is the one still asking.
While I will probably never expect Willie Adames to be a guy
who hits for a high average,
I do expect him to return to that power-hitting shortstop next season.
So in that case, the bat would get better, the glove would stay bad,
and he's still getting paid $31 million a year.
At the GM meetings in Las Vegas this week, Buster Posey said,
But that's exactly what you'd expect a GM
who's shopping his player to say in that moment.
And Willie can say no if he wants to.
With a no-trade clause, Toronto's
talk means nothing unless he approves.
Back on October 29th,
NBC Sports Bay Area's Alex Pavlovich wrote that most rival evaluators
think the Giants have no shot at moving
the big contracts, which makes sense.
If Toronto ends up landing C.J. Abrams, Zach Neto,
Jazz Chisholm Jr., or Brandon Lowe first,
the Adama's door closes because he's the fallback.
He turns 31 in 2027 with five years left,
and he'd be a free agent at 36,
which is exactly why the Giants would have to pay to make it happen.
The call is simple. If you have the opportunity to offload Adames'
You'd do that in a heartbeat.
If Adames won't waive the no-trade clause,
the Giants are right back where they started, with five years left.
And of course, Toronto is in no rush.
However, the CBA lockout on December 1st kind of puts them in one.
Buster Posey saying that Willie Adamas has
a pretty good bounce back year coming is the best public pitch
a team can make for a player that it wants to move.
Toronto's case, in the Athletics' words,
is that teams have shown willingness to move the sort
of infielder that would be a clear offensive improvement.
If Toronto is willing to take him, you say yes.
The Giants will have to cover a chunk,
and $31 million a year back is the real freedom.
So what would the Giants do with the room?
Their 2027 contracts for Devers, Adames, Chapman, Jung-Koo Lee,
Logan Webb, and Adrian Hauser add up to about $133 million.
Adames alone is $31.1 million of that.
With the arbitration and pre-arbitration estimates, the 2027 luxury
tax figure is about $201.8 million against a $247 million threshold.
That leaves about $45.2 million of room,
and Adamas alone is close to 70% of it.
Say the Giants cover half of what's left
on this deal, about $77.9 million.
Toronto would be paying about $15.6 million
a year instead of $31.1 million.
However, the San Francisco Giants would never do that.
But that's the whole case for paying down money.
You're buying room, not a return.
The room keeps going after 2027.
The tax figure is about $143 million in 2028,
against a $250 million threshold.
By 2030, it's about $107 million against a $256 million threshold.
Of course, a lockout is expected and things will change,
but for right now, the room is there.
The question is, who's worth spending it on?
And most likely, right now, it's not a $31 million shortstop
who has negative 17 outs above average.
So let me know down in the comment section below.
Of the three big contracts, Willie Adames, Matt Chapman, Rafael Devers,
Who do you want to see the Giants get rid of first?
I want to hear what you have to say down in the comment section below.
As always, thank you for watching.
