Hurricane Erin Inbound East Coast & Disturbance In Gulf!

James Kaufman will do his report today, August 12th, 2025. God bless you and yours, no matter where you are in the world. Please subscribe, give us a thumbs up, ring that bell for critical future updates. Ladies and gentlemen, we have several problems in play currently. We have a tropical storm, Erin, in the Atlantic. It looks like it will, in fact, reach the east coast of the U.S. around North Carolina and then work its way up the east coast. We'll take a look at the AI of that in just a moment. We also have a tropical disturbance with a slight chance of formation heading out to sea. No problem whatsoever. We have a ton of moisture in the Gulf of Mexico causing heavy winds and rain right now in Louisiana and Mississippi. And parts of Florida and Alabama, not much of a chance of that turning into any tropical system, but it is a pain in the behind, I'm sure. So with that said, we also have what looks like one or two systems forming south of Jamaica down here. And they look like they're going to work their way into the Gulf and perhaps the Texas coast at some point later this week or early next week. Right, taking a look at the Pacific, we have Tropical Storm Henrietta north of Hawaii, 70 mile per hour sustained winds. Ladies and gentlemen, that's as close to a hurricane as we can get. Minimum central pressure, 995 millibars. Might as well just call that a hurricane, Henrietta. This is Tropical Storm Erin. We will be running AI for this storm. You can see that it's going to make it all the way to the east coast of the U.S. And ladies and gentlemen, it looks like it's coming in with extremely strong winds, maybe Up to a Category 4 or even Category 5, based on the AI that I've seen. It's going to hug the coast, very close to the coast, if this AI is right, all the way up the East Coast. It could be a horrific tragedy if that does occur. You can see that Sunday at 8 a.m., it's north of the Lesser Antilles, north of San Juan, Puerto Rico. And it looks like it's going to make it just north of the Bahamas. Again, it looks like it will try to make its semi-landfall in and around North Carolina. Taking a look at some of the spaghetti models for Tropical Storm Erin, it will soon be a hurricane. They have it as a Category 3 hurricane as soon as Sunday. It looks like it will even be stronger than that when it reaches the east coast of the U.S. Now, the National Hurricane Center has it making a semi-landfall here in North Carolina, and so does the AI that we're going to run. Some of these spaghetti models have it going north, and we hope that it does just that. We'll know more, I'm sure, in a day or two's time, and we'll run that AI in just a second so y'all can see how strong this thing gets and how horrific it looks. All right. Now, we have a lot of moisture coming out of the Gulf of Mexico, and that's all hitting Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle, and there's no rotation there. I don't see any chance of a tropical system developing there, but this is a storm with heavy winds and heavy rain currently. Making landfall in Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama, and I mean as we speak. Now, obviously, if this was going to become a tropical system, we'd see a rotation counterclockwise direction. We're really not seeing that. I wanted to show you all how much moisture is coming off the Gulf. Rushing into these areas. If you live there, you're already under storm conditions. Maybe not tropical storm conditions, but definitely storm conditions, as you might be able to see. Heading over to windy.com to use their AI. Here is Henrietta that went north, north of Hawaii here. And it's, for all purposes, a hurricane currently. And here is Erin. Doesn't look like much. It's a tropical storm. They have it increase into a Category 3 hurricane by the time it gets just north of the Lesser Antilles on Sunday. And after that, well, we're going to show you what occurs. We also have an area that's developing south of Jamaica here. And it looks like it's going to push up into the Gulf of Mexico. You can see that it's Tuesday at 1 p.m. here. And we'll follow it through into tomorrow. There goes Henrietta off the map. And you can see Erin building. You can also see that area of low pressure south of Jamaica and another one really forming off the Yucatan Peninsula. Now, notice where Aaron is, north of the Lesser Antilles, north of the Bahamas, north of Puerto Rico. And we have this moisture coming up and hitting Texas. I don't know if this will form into a tropical system or not. We have, well, another low-pressure area again forming south of Jamaica. So this is obviously the area where all the late-season hurricanes form, as I'm sure we all know by now. Let's watch what happens to Erin as it approaches the coast. This is going into Friday, and see, it all of a sudden becomes much stronger, and you ain't seen nothing yet, by the way. My AI is going to stop before we make it all the way to where we need to be. A couple of still shots here, winds up over 130 miles an hour, and it is quite a storm, and it's going to hug the coast all the way up to Nova Scotia. So we have this disturbance in play for the day, no real chance of formation, bringing tons of rain and winds to the Gulf Coast, and we have Erin in play, which looks like it might come close to North Carolina on Wednesday or Thursday, so we'll keep an eye on that. And as we're able to see further out with the AI, we'll definitely update you guys. That said, God bless. Please share and subscribe, and always remember that anything's possible in Bizarro World.