James Kaufman World News Report today, August 14th, 2025.
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Ladies and gentlemen, we have two tropical systems,
one in the Gulf of Mexico and one in the Atlantic, both in play.
We'll start out with Tropical Storm Erin.
Stained winds of 60 miles per hour.
A minimum central pressure of 999 millibars,
and that's dropping, along with the intensity increasing.
It is starting to look like this storm might completely miss
the North American continent.
We will see, but it's going to get up close and personal,
even if it doesn't make landfall.
There's going to be some serious damage, high winds,
storm surge, etc., all the way up the East Coast.
Now, let's jump over to our second disturbance.
It is now in the Gulf of Mexico.
When you all see it on infrared, you're going
to be very surprised about how strong it's become overnight.
And we all know why that is.
They've been working hard overnight.
On this storm currently it has 40% chance of becoming a cyclone.
To me it looks like it's got a 100% chance of becoming
a cyclone by day's end. We'll take a look at that right now.
It is clear the Yucatan Peninsula and again it looks very strong
on infrared. It does look like it's headed into South Texas.
First, Tropical Storm Erin looks like it will intensify
into a Category 3 hurricane by the time it gets north of Puerto Rico.
It very well might become a Category 4
or 5 as it gets closer to the east coast of the United States.
Now for the good news, remember 60 mile
per hour sustained winds from central pressure, 999 millibars.
The National Hurricane Center is moving the track to take it.
Further north, further north, and they had it going yesterday.
I think it's going to miss all the Bahamas, miss all the Caribbean.
And at this point, it looks like there's a very good chance
that it's going to stay clear of landfall,
although it should affect the east coast of the U.S. no matter.
All right, you can see those spaghetti models really taking
a turn there, bringing this thing north.
None of these have it coming as close
to the East Coast as our Windy AI does.
We're going to watch our Windy AI again.
And as you will see, Windy has it intensifying
into what looks like Category 4 or maybe 5 Hurricane
and hugging the East Coast.
All right, continuing.
All right, this has been actually numbered Invest 98L.
Believe it or not, this is what they were able to create overnight.
This is a very strong system.
It definitely looks like it's going
to be headed north into parts of South Texas.
And that's it, too.
Well, it makes a turn of any sort.
So most of the spaghetti models take it into northern Mexico
or southern Texas.
One of them takes it into Texas right south of Corpus Christi.
I would think that this might even make landfall
further north than they show in the spaghetti models.
But keep an eye on it, because this is going
to happen really, really fast.
We're talking about by day's end, perhaps, or into tomorrow.
All right, they're continuing to seed clouds through outcasts.
You can see that this Doppler is also flashing
in the direction of the storm.
Looks like we have some activity off of this Doppler as well.
Nowhere near as strong as what's coming out of Columbia
here and if we do zoom in and see all
the spots of black and brown
that they've placed strategically that is the silver iodide
and you can see it up here
in the middle of the gulf here. It should
pull the storm right into that direction.
Again, they have it making landfall around Matamoros,
but you can also see the silver
iodide that they've added to the equation here
that should pick the storm up and actually
steer this thing further north than northwest.
Keep a real close eye on this today.
This might make landfall as soon as tonight into tomorrow morning.
All right, taking a look at some AI for Aaron,
tropical storm Aaron out here just northeast
of the Lesser Antilles,
and we have that tropical disturbance here in the Gulf,
which doesn't look very bad on windy.com.
Let's run these forward and see what happens.
All right, you can see really
already making landfall into,
and look, Central Coast, Texas.
Exactly what I assumed.
This is going to come much closer to the central coast of Texas
than all the spaghetti models suggest.
Let's keep an eye on Aaron.
You can see this is probably payback
for the resisting maps, perhaps.
This is into tomorrow.
You can see that it does make landfall in central Texas.
Aaron is still working her way.
North of Puerto Rico, this is just Saturday here,
less than 48 hours from now, this is going into Sunday here,
and this is when the storm really starts to intensify,
you can see Texas getting hit by a second storm already,
so they have a plan of whipping up as many storms as possible,
or they wouldn't still have the Doppler going off here in Columbia,
look at, look at,
That storm now here is going to be Monday
and they have winds over 100 miles per hour
and it looks like it is moving further
to the north, we'll play this out as long as we can
It should start affecting the East Coast
of the U.S. by Tuesday the 19th as you can see here
Now they don't have it making landfall, they have it hugging the coast
going up and making landfall in Nova Scotia currently
Obviously, we'll have more information tomorrow and into Sunday
and I will keep you updated
Please do prepare on the East Coast,
and if you live anywhere on the Gulf Coast as well,
any of these storms could impact your area
and it's getting to be, well
The main part of hurricane season are hurricanes
that are coming across the Atlantic and forming south of Jamaica
in the Caribbean, but they regularly do late season
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