Israel election: What impact on Iran as the war in the Middle East continues?

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Oct 28, 2026
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We're going to stay with the story
then of the follow-up to Israel's legislative elections.
For that, France 24's international affairs editor,
Angela Diffley, joins me now on set.
Hi, Angela.
So as Noga was suggesting there,
there are still several possible scenarios for the outcome.
But how might all of this impact Israel's relationship
with the outside world, including notably Iran?
Yes, Iran is the obvious area where there could
be a significant impact.
And, you know, Israeli media has been rife with speculation.
reports denied, and CNN also, that Netanyahu wants
to strike Iran in this period while he
is still caretaker prime minister before any coalitions
are fully organized. That, he would
say, you know, that the U.S. blockade is working well,
that a final push might allow the Iranian
people to topple their regime.
But behind that, so many people will see the political imperative
for him that that way he has a much greater chance
of clinging on to power by then forcing
the president to suggest a government
of national unity in the case of an emergency war.
Gadi Eisenkot, the head of the bloc opposing
or the Jewish bloc opposing Netanyahu, has already
participated in that kind
of a national unity government after October the 7th he ended up
walking out in July 2025 he has floated
this theory about Netanyahu doing this openly and
warned I will not be part
of any such government you know we will see whether that's the case
that said any mains you know major Israeli uh
politician major Israeli party is uh wary of Iran
sees it as a huge national security threat that needs to be curbed.
It doesn't mean that there
would be no action under any other kind of a government.
Most importantly, of course,
all of these reports suggested that Netanyahu spoke
of his idea to Trump and Trump said
after the midterms, if at all.
It might or might not suit Trump after the midterms. He might be
severely weakened. He still has a veto over
that sort of thing in the US, even if he loses seats
in Congress. But all of that would depend
on that Trump relationship as well.
So, Angela, aside from the international,
from Iran's potential reaction or the consequences
on Iran, rather, what about other countries?
I mean, the damage to Israel's international
reputation surprisingly wasn't necessarily
a factor in this. Why is that?
Well, I think perhaps if we look, the idea
of a two-state solution was not at all in the campaigning.
That is because it is simply such a faraway prospect,
both amongst Palestinians and Israelis and Jewish Israelis.
It is simply not on the cards for now. There is too much distrust.
And so that was not an issue.
That said, the European Union would almost certainly
be happier with anybody but Netanyahu.
That relationship is so frayed. So the European Union would certainly
that relationship would be better.
The United States, it is true that Israelis are worried by the fraying
of the relationship, particularly with Democrats in the United States.
And that is something they might want to prioritise later.
You know, it should be noted that, you know,
very few countries put their international public reputation ahead
of day to day immediate concerns.
And Israel is no exception to that.
And also, to a certain extent, Israelis have factored
into their psyche that this would happen anyway, that, you know,
you do hear a lot of Israelis saying, you know, if 100 Palestinians had
been killed instead of the 70,000 that the Hamas-run government claims,
but that is backed by the UN saying it's a likely correct figure,
Israel would still have been blamed for disproportionate use of force.
So it is kind of factored into Israeli psyche.
As far as Gulf countries,
I think anything there would depend on what happens with Iran.
And again, should be noted that what Gulf governments say in public
and in private is not the same thing.
And they do change their minds in accordance
with the circumstances in their very near neighborhood.
The Israelis note that the Abraham Accords,
no country broke off from the Abraham Accords after Gaza.
That is very significant.
And they will bank on the fact that they will, at a later date,
have to put in a lot of effort to repair international relationships.
But in the end, realpolitik will prevail.
India, China, Latin American countries
are much less concerned with Palestinian issues.
Angela Diffley, our international affairs editor. Thank you very much.
