This Will Define Everything for the Padres Offseason...

This will determine everything for the San Diego Padres this offseason. Let's talk contract status. We talked bullpen yesterday. I'm going to take a wider view and set the table at everybody on the 40-man roster, where they stand, contract status, arbitration, options. It's a lot of confusing stuff as to who is a Padre, who's going to be a Padre, who could still be a Padre, depending on who picks what options up. But I've got it all broken down for you on this episode of Padres Digest. what's going on. I'm ready for you to put us back with another episode of the show that is just, I don't care at this point who wins the World Series. I just want it to be over so that we can get free agency started. And I know there's talks of a work stoppage and that we've still got a minute until we get back to pitchers and catchers reporting. But I'm optimistic that the Padres are actually in a pretty good spot to reinvigorate and reinvest in this rotation specifically, but in the broader picture of things, get a lot of good moves done. I hope that you are sharing that optimism And if you do share that, I appreciate your pessimistic value. If you want to like, subscribe, comment, share, follow, it's always greatly appreciated. Okay, hold on, folks. We've got 40 players to get through. We're going to get through in under 10 minutes. We're going to give opinions on some of this. I'm going to cue from you guys as we hop into the comment section, starting with the pitchers. Again, this is the 40-man roster, so this is going to be beyond just the MLB roster, beyond the playoff roster. or some of these guys might not even necessarily see them. Up the lane on this discussion is not saying for sure that they are going to be part of the Padres next season, but being on the 40-man, they are in a special spot. So Jason Adam, free agent. I think that we should let him go unless the market is just completely bottomed out for him with his arm issues, in which case, okay, fine. Give him a cheap deal, bring him back. Johnny Brito, he's projected to be 800 grand of salary arbitration. I am so fine with taking him to salary arbitration. I think he's going to get a low deal, given that he spent last year recovering from an arm injury and is somebody who, he's good, but he does not have a demonstrative MLB service career to lean back upon and be like, hey, I just made a ton of money. Walker Buehler, going to be a free agent. I think that Buehler is a high priority for the Padres to re-sign this year. I think that Buehler had a wonderful bounce back year, but not necessarily like did so well that he's going to command 25 million a year a way high ERA to start the season then a low ERA to close out the season so kind of split the difference for what Walker Buehler could be this coming year and that's where i think we have a absolutely fantastic opportunity for the Padres to grab Walker Buehler for like give me three years you know seven million or something like that a year Darvish he did not take his salary last year they have talked a couple times about him whether or not he is going to return we will not know probably until spring training or until like the day the season starts if he's going to be back i have optimism for him though Griffin Canning mutual option for five million with a 1.5 million dollar buyout i hope they take that buyout and move on from Griffin Canning and i suppose devil's advocate argument there would be it was uh an incomplete season for him he was recovering from his Achilles injury and if he gets a full off season to work with the Padres I could be talked into if he is going to be like our five starter um maybe sure Jeremiah Estrada he's eligible for arbitration 1.3 million would be the projection i hope it comes in lower than that given that he missed a ton of the season and is still questionable for next season with shoulder impingement Lucas Giolito he's on the 60-day IL mutual option for 8 million with a 1.5 million dollar buyout i hope the Padres take that buyout and just move on from him i did not find any of it impressive and i thought the fact that we basically got zero updates on his recovery and rehab last year kind of sent a message that the Padres really just weren't that interested in getting him back or if he did really miss all of last season basically after a couple of starts then he's busted and he's broken and i don't i don't want that anymore Kyle Hart to club option for 2.5 with a 200,000 buyout now that is a cheap buyout but i also really like Kyle Hart as an up and down shuttle man move him to the bullpen have him spot start have him open some games have him eat some innings for 2.5 for a lefty i'm so down with it Garrett Hawkins minor league contract he could though very easily be one of those people to fill the bullpen roles if Maury Hone and Adam some of those other guys move on so i think that that's somebody that yes he's on the 40 man and that's what i'm saying he might not make the opening day but i think that we will see him make his MLB debut Brian Hoerig eligible for arbitration the projection there is at 800 grand but i would be curious if that isn't going to be lower given uh that he just missed almost the entirety uh of the season with a flexor tendon surgery that he had to get moving on to some of the last uh pitchers Michael King player option most likely he is going to decline that and look for a longer term deal i would heavily encourage the Padres to sign that to a longer term deal Yuki Matsui player option for the next two seasons i think that Yuki is i would put him at 90 plus percent to tap in on that deal i think that Yuki is probably somebody who is going to take that deal banking on and this is just me guessing reading the tea leaves but he's going to probably bank that take that deal banking on that one of Robert Suarez or Jason Adam is going to move on from the Padres and that Yuki can then be part of the seventh guaranteed part of the seventh eighth nine Mason Miller this will be an interesting one projected at that eight million dollar range for arbitration i will be curious when they go ahead and get a bigger Mason Miller deal done granted it is not a priority if he has arbitration years still to go he's under control but it would be somebody that i'm like we should just get this conversation out of the way and maybe take our opportunity to be like hey man you weren't perfect in the playoffs so how about we we lock in something that's not like us having to retroactively uh pay you all uh Vladimir Guerrero Jr casey Mize's free agent not eligible for qualifying offer also not eligible for any interest from me in being a Padre ever again. Bye, dude. Robert Suarez, he's going to be a free agent. He's estimated to get $90 million in the total value of his contract, it seems to be. I am 60-40 on wanting him. I would like him back, but I do not need to overspend on Morihan in order to limit us on the starting pitching. David Morgan, pre-arbitration, he is going to be back. We're at the final year of Joe Musgrove's $20 million deal. I will be curious what happens at the end of this deal. If Joe Musgrove comes back and has a decent season in the starting rotation or in the bullpen, or in general has a good season for the Padres, do they sign him one more time to finish off his career in a diminished contract situation, or is this a mutual parting of the ways? ajuan Peralta, player option for $4.5 million, is going to kill us. That is a stupid deal. Juan will absolutely cash in on that, even though he did not make the MLB roster in the playoffs. I don't see why you would turn down $4.5 million in your late 30s. Nick Pavetta, he's got the club. This converted from a player to a club option. I really hope that the Padres take this club option. I don't need to renegotiate long-term with Pavetta, but I really think that $14 and $18 million for the next two years sounds like a great, like, let's do those two years and then re-evaluate where we're at. um robbie ray is a free agent uh i'm not that interested in making any offer for him and the qualifying offer means that we if we reach a certain threshold but he goes with someone else we would then get a draft pick so no qualifying offer for him either i'm fine with it bradley rodriguez pre-arbitration he will for sure be back jp sears 2.8 million in arbitration would be a lot for jp given that he did not really contribute as much as we had heard according to ruben to be able to say that he's a dog but still be interesting to see because he could be somebody who ultimately helps us at that if 2.8 is for him to be a kyle hart or if they elect to buy out kyle hart and jp sears takes that spot of the shuttle up and down uh fifth starter into the bullpen eats some innings i'm here for it Hunter Stratton another guy in the minors who we will hopefully see fill some of those bullpen innings this year at that cheap value spot Randy Vasquez is going to potentially be an arbitration um in his final pre-arbitration year maybe in the super two depending on some labor negotiation stuff but nonetheless is back and under contract run randy run the catchers we've talked about them a fair amount Campuso this this article has him down to 1.7 um there had been some two million dollar ranges that i'd seen for mean at the 2.6 i think would be way overpriced for what we need Rodolfo Duran Ethan Salas both pre-arbitration that is becoming something that i like more and more or a Campy Duran and Salas combination to start the season is becoming more and more of my concept of team-friendly interest in the contract catcher wise infielders some of these are just where we're at and with limited to no discussion or debate you know Zander still in the mix for six more years of that contract Jake still in the mix for four more years of that contract Manny on that six-year tie France the one that stands out there we need to get that deal done more than anybody else available to talk about in this infield Mason McCoy pre-arbitration kind of had forgotten about his overall availability Sun Moon Song um and Gage Workman Gage Workman the lowest tier of that probably not going to be in the mix for an infield spot this season projection 6.5 for Gavin Sheets that'll be I'll be really curious to watch that one, given that he has a plantar fasciitis situation. And if we sign Ty France to a four-year deal or whatever to finish out his career as the Padres' first baseman, that kind of leaves Gavin Sheets as just a DH bench option. And I am not that set on spending $6.5 million on a left-handed DH bench option that has a plantar fascia issue. Outfielders, Jace Bowen, Dustin Harris both pre-arbitration I so here for getting cheap value out of both of them Ramon Lauriano will be a very interesting one he had his hip surgery it was like that's not his fault that he missed out on the season he was having an okay year he had a really good year for us the year before he is a veteran righty bat kind of I think if we can get a good cheap you know show me prove me kind of deal and mix him like those three guys Jace Bowen Dustin Harris Ramon Lauriano maybe Samad Taylor as our backup rotational outfielders I'm super duper fine with that Merrill nine-year deal I think that he should be the inspiration for a Mason Miller-esque deal if at all possible Rancho he will be a free agent it was a very small sample size from him last year but nonetheless was impressive and fun to watch so I am in here I if you if you want to have a conversation with me about hey we can combine um you know instead of bringing back Ramon Lauriano we can bring back Rancho and him and Samad and Harry like we can do that same platoon and that allows us to spend more on the pitching I'm here for it I'm down for it Tatis good on you brother at 20 million we're gonna have to watch that go up every single year for the remaining of that contract so let's get some big time value out of that and then the final group here to talk about thank you for everyone for sticking around through all this is the designated hitter and Andújar is a mutual option with a 2.5 million dollar buyout that i like this would be one where i would be curious if they see uh Gavin Sheets Miguel Andújar i gotta let Austin Hayes go sorry dude i hate to be a hater but bye uh and Wag Will Wagner's whatever for me on that one um Andújar and Sheets if those two combined at just over 14 million are a a value play of two veterans that one's a righty one's a lefty they can combine at the DH and back up in the field a little bit and then allow us to spend the rest of available money on starting pitching and not have to play the full open free agency market and overspend on some guys okay i'm down i don't think it's that great of a like it doesn't upgrade our offense in any great capacity but it doesn't hurt it just kind of middle of the road level enthusiasm for that okay thank you for sticking around everybody that is all 40 contracts and kind of sets the table for where we are at in terms of not like not other than the starting pitching not an insane amount of turnover flexibility room or options to go with and we still have to wait and figure out what the labor negotiations are going to come up with in terms of a salary cap. So take that all in mind. Let's talk some guys over the next couple of weeks, see what the Padres make some moves on, where they find some value and where they decide to make a splash. Like, subscribe, comment, share, follow. Have a great rest of your day. Go Padres. Talk to you guys soon.