Sask. political panel reacts to early voter turnout for the Alberta referendum

CBC English
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Oct 16, 2026
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Video Summary
AI GeneratedAlberta is preparing for a high-stakes referendum on separation from Canada. With an unprecedented projected turnout of 85%, the province is seeing massive early voting and special ballot numbers. While political leaders from both sides are campaigning in Calgary, analysts express concern that the emotional nature of the vote may fuel further social division regardless of the outcome.
Our neighbours are heading into a big vote on Monday.
Many have cast ballots already.
Eyes on Alberta, of course, and Monday's referendum
and how voters feel about separation.
Marie Madrigal is a political columnist.
CBC reporter Alexander Kwan is with us as well.
They joined us in the studio to talk about this.
Alex, what's been the reaction to the early voting
that's already started this week?
Yeah, the numbers are pretty significant.
They include 186,000 Albertans who cast their votes
in the first day of advance voting.
Elections Alberta has also received and processed 454,000
special ballots. Now, that's a significant amount of people.
Prime Minister Mark Carney was in
Calgary last night. He urged Albertans to vote against
the nine referendum questions that are
on the ballot and, of course, urged them to vote to stay in Canada.
Carney is also set to spend
a few more days in the province ahead of the vote next week.
The Federalist push is also
receiving some more support
from Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre, who is set to speak
in Calgary today. And Elections Alberta says they're expecting
a turnout of about 85%, which
is significantly higher than most elections in Saskatchewan,
in Alberta, in Canada. So
a large turnout for this this kind
of monumental vote Marie, what does this mean for the vote on
Monday given that there is such
a big turnout we've seen long lineups people are being patient
and now these rallies that are happening i can't let
that 85 percent number go like i mean i have not seen
that in my lifetime and like back in the days
if you got 80 percent turnout for a general election it was
an amazing thing no one's going to be elected
to office as a result of this so there'll be no
immediate change uh i i think that's great
for the anti-separatist side uh it's hard to tell
because there's certainly a lot of enthusiasm
on the part of the separatists to get out to get
their vote out if you're committed
to that notion you're committed to casting uh your ballots your
ballots so the heavy initial turnout
or mail-in ballot hard to say uh i'm a little concerned that
if you're looking at a situation where you got 400
some odd uh thousand uh votes already uh cast in
one form or the other plus early voting that seems an impressive number
which it is but if you're
looking at 85 percent of turnout that's still
in essence 60 70 percentage points of people lining
up for a long time to cast their ballots
and in the nature of this particular referendum that's
often been kind of driven by emotion.
In some cases, conspiracy theories.
In other cases, wild ideas.
I'm fearful that the net result is only going to add
to the angry discourse that's going to happen afterwards.
We probably won't know the results on election night
simply because there's so many ballots to cast.
We know what happened in the 2024 Saskatchewan election,
probably the 2020 Saskatchewan election, where things are delayed.
Now, I know they're casting the ballots related
to the separation question first,
and that will satisfy a lot of voices if there's a vote on that.
But I think anything that adds to the distrust of government
and distrust of the system
is going to be a bad thing for Alberta in the long run.
And I see that whole scenario unfolding right now as it is simply
because there is going to be so many people out
that want to have their say.
Now, if it's a huge turnout
and if the results go the way they're going, that's less—
Based on the polls.
Yeah, based on the polls.
That's less of an argument for the separatist side
to say there was anything other than
a definitive answer that people want to stay in Canada.
And so I think that might be a good news, but at this point,
that's just going to be wild speculation.
I guess we'll kind of see how that vote goes
and how many people do actually turn out.
