What I’ve learned about China

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Video Summary
AI GeneratedThis video analyzes China's strategic global ambitions, internal social stratification, and its complex relationship with the United States. It debunks myths regarding the annexation of Siberia and the replacement of the US dollar, while explaining China's hybrid governance model and its focus on regional dominance and energy security over global hegemony.
There is one country that if you are interested in the world or really interested in any topic at all,
comes up over and over again.
China.
It comes up when you talk about the economy,
about science and technology,
about war and peace,
about the future of the human race.
I have been writing and reporting on China for a long time,
and there is maybe no topic that I find more interesting to learn about.
And I think I'm not alone because I get questions about China all the time.
Big questions.
What does China want?
Where is it headed?
What does its rise mean for the rest of us?
I love these sorts of big questions
because they cut right through the misconceptions and media stereotypes and assumptions
that keep us from understanding this big, complicated, fascinating country.
Well, today I want to do things a little differently.
I'm going to answer your biggest questions, your deepest questions about China.
Rapid fire and head on.
It's part of a series we are calling No Dumb Questions,
where we take on the biggest questions, the biggest assumptions,
the biggest myths about the world,
starting with a topic where there are a lot of myths and misconceptions,
but also so much fascinating stuff to dive into.
So, let's get into it.
Okay, so yes, we've got our old pal, our trusty cork board up here.
And I'm going to use it as a kind of table of contents.
Each of these is a question that we are going to answer over the course of this video.
And this is going to help us keep track of where we are,
what we've answered so far, and what's coming up.
And just to give you a preview of these questions,
we are going to talk about what China wants as a great power.
A day in the life of each of China's economic classes,
like their middle class, their working class.
Something I'm calling the Siberia question.
That's kind of a fun one. We'll get to what that is in a second.
Whether the world sees China or the United States as the bigger threat.
Whether it's true that China is really on its way to becoming a green country,
powered by green energy.
I get this one a lot.
And if you're wondering where these questions come from, I will explain that.
And how you can get your own question up here for the next video.
But I wanted to get us moving first on what you're actually here for,
which is answers.
So, first question.
Great questions.
I'm going to answer Amir's framing specifically.
Does China actually want to replace the United States as number one?
Because this is a, I think maybe surprisingly simple answer, which is no.
They absolutely do not want to replace the United States in the number one spot in the world.
They are very clear about this.
You see in action in their foreign policy that they don't want this.
They want to be number two.
And the reason that they don't want to be number one and they want to be number two,
I think tells you a lot about China and how it sees its role in the world.
The thing is, is they understand that the United States as number one plays this role
as the like guarantor of global free trade and prosperity
and upholding the wealth and the size of the middle class of the Western world
and the developed and democratic world.
And China knows that they need that and rely on that
because their economy is built on exporting stuff to not just those countries,
but mainly those countries.
It's built on relying on that free trade.
And their political system is built on that economic model.
So for China, everything rests on the United States continuing to play this role
as the global guarantor of order and free trade.
And that's very expensive.
Why would China want to do that when the United States is already playing
this enormously valuable role for them for free?
Now they don't love every U.S. decision.
There is a lot about American global hegemony that they obviously object to,
but they still prefer the United States doing it
to having to take on the burden of being the world's global policemen themselves.
Now they do want, and the questions I think got to this well,
they do absolutely want the United States out of their neighborhood.
They don't want to be the number one globally,
but they want to be number one in their immediate neighborhood.
And it's also because they eventually want to, and they're again very clear about this,
invade and, depending on your perspective, either conquer or reconquer Taiwan.
And they can't do that as long as the United States is number one,
not just globally, so in Southeast Asia.
So China's endgame is to stay number two,
but to be in charge and the big boss in their kind of immediate neighborhood.
Great question. We could obviously spend a lot of time on this.
I'm giving kind of quick surface level answers
because I want to be able to answer all these questions
because there's so many great questions.
Okay, so we're going to mark that first question answered.
Okay, moving on to number two.
Emerson Delius, my viewers have the best names.
Emerson Delius asks,
how does a day in the life of each economic class compare in China to the USA?
I am obsessed with this question. This is such a great question.
Emerson goes on, living conditions, education, social life, and overall wealth.
How proportional are the economic classes in each country?
All of this will reveal which country's way of doing things
is truly better in a very summarized and dumbed down way.
Okay, Emerson, amazing question.
This is such a great way to try to understand China
by looking at it relative to a country
that whether you live in the United States or not,
you know a lot about.
I would push back on your premise very slightly
that this will reveal which system
or which country's way of doing things is better.
China and the United States started in very, very different places,
literally whenever you start the clock,
20 years ago, 50 years ago, 300 years ago.
So the fact that China has come up in a lot of ways since then
but may still be behind the United States
in certain ways that we will get into here
doesn't mean the Chinese system is worse.
It just means they have different start points.
So just think of this as a snapshot in time
that tells us what life is like in China now,
not necessarily which system is better.
Let's start with the middle class
because that is by far the most similar
between China and any Western or developed democratic country.
And just to give you a sense for what middle class means,
if you do an email job, you are middle class.
If you went to college, you are middle class.
There's lots of different ways to define middle class.
Just go with that as a shorthand.
I think you would be shocked at how similar life looks
for middle class people in China
as it does in the United States, Europe, Japan, Korea, whatever.
If you go back to the video we did a couple of months ago
on China's demographic crisis,
we watched some Chinese soap operas.
I thought it was really fun.
I really love watching them.
They're on Netflix.
If you look at those soap operas,
which are of regular middle class lives in China,
those look like my life.
Those look almost identical to the things that I care about,
what I do with my week.
People with email jobs, they go to the luxury gym,
they follow food trends,
they go with their friends on weekend,
they worry about their career,
taking care of their parents.
It's just the values, the concerns,
and the level of wealth and prosperity are very, very similar.
China's middle class is not as large proportionally
as it is in, say, the United States.
It's relatively quite new.
It barely existed even 40 or 50 years ago,
but it's very, very rapidly growing
as a share of China's population,
and it's getting much, much more important
to the country's economy, to its political system.
If you travel to China, which I highly recommend,
going to China is awesome.
If you go to any of the big, quote-unquote, tier one cities,
these are the cities that you have heard of,
Beijing, Shanghai, that's what you will see.
You will see middle class life.
You'll see people going out to cool, hip ramen shops,
and you'll be like, oh, this looks very familiar.
So that's the middle class.
The next most similar is, I think, the rich.
The rich in China are similar to the rich in the United States
in the fact that they are ultra wealthy.
There's a huge gap between the rich and everybody else in China
just like in the United States,
in the sense that they are very powerful
and very involved in politics
and trying to pull political strings
in order to protect and grow their wealth.
The similarities between the rich and Chinese United States
are actually growing all the time,
not because China's rich are getting more American,
but because America's rich are getting more Chinese.
If you look at Jeff Bezos buddying up to Trump
and firing people from the Washington Post
to try to appease Trump, that's very Chinese.
That level of involvement between the ultra wealthy and Chinese.
Another way that they're similar is they're weird.
America's billionaires are weird guys, right?
Mostly guys.
And the same is true in China.
They're also similar in that they're very Davos-y
and very international.
Again, you would kind of recognize this lifestyle
and cultural milieu that they come from.
So, okay, now let's get into where it's really different.
And I think not the biggest difference,
but really close, is the working class.
The working class, the life for the working class
and the concerns for the working class in China
are very, very different from those in the United States.
Life is really tough if you are working class in China.
It's very precarious.
It's much more kind of like the old China.
These jobs are very industrial.
Workers in China, despite what you might think,
given its, let's say, flag and political system,
have very few rights and protections.
Genuine labor unions are illegal in China.
They technically have labor unions,
but they're controlled by the state
and used as a tool to suppress workers.
There's very little social safety net in China
for members of the working class.
It's actually very American that way,
and maybe even more so.
You know what?
If you want to know what life is like
for the working class in China,
do not take it from me.
Watch a fantastic Chinese movie
made by a Chinese filmmaker named Jia Zhangge
called A Touch of Sin.
You've probably heard of this movie.
You've maybe seen it around.
It's fantastic. It's really good.
It's a series of vignettes
that are kind of reflective of modern life in China.
A lot of them are from the perspective
of working class Chinese people
and the kind of hardships and struggles they face,
but it's also just really crackling and entertaining.
It's an amazing movie.
I just love this filmmaker.
The reason I would say watch this movie
instead of listening to me
is it's a movie made by a Chinese filmmaker
who's very in touch with the concerns
of real everyday Chinese people
really celebrated in China.
It's made by a Chinese crew,
so it's real Chinese perspective
by actual Chinese people
instead of a Westerner describing it,
which I understand maybe you're skeptical of.
So the next, the only remaining class
and the one that is most different from life
in the United States or a lot of other countries
is China's rural poor.
China still has a very large population
of people who live in rural poverty,
and by poverty, there's different standards for it,
but generally means under $10 a day.
So when we say poverty, we really mean it.
And this looks like what you would imagine.
It's not modern housing.
Typically running water might be an issue.
Basic amenities are an issue.
And again, I'm not bringing this up to like knock China
because one of China's greatest successes
and maybe one of the greatest successes
in like human history
is how much of the rural poor China
has lifted out of poverty into the working class
and even the middle class in one generation,
which is amazing.
I mean, we're talking hundreds of millions of people
who were lifted out of rural poor villages
into skyscrapers, which is awesome.
China is very proud of this accomplishment,
and they should be.
There is still a very meaningful population
of rural poverty in China.
I have seen it.
I've been there.
It's tough, but they're working on it, I guess.
So, okay, amazing question.
My favorite question I've maybe ever gotten.
Marking it answered, and thank you, Emerson.
Okay, number three, the Siberia question.
I'm excited for this one.
Michael B. Johnson asks,
is a more expansionist approach likely
in China's relationship with Siberian Russia
as Moscow struggles with NATO?
So the reason I love this question,
and I laughed when I saw it,
is because if you go to Russia,
spend any time in Russia,
every time I've reported in Russia,
this question comes up constantly.
People in Russia, in my experience,
are obsessed with this belief
that it's not just a possibility,
but an agreed-upon fact of life
that sooner or later,
China is going to invade Russia
to conquer and annex Siberia
because it's very rich in resources,
and China will take all those resources from Russia.
And I will get to why that question makes me laugh,
because I understand.
I'm not laughing at you, Michael.
I understand as an outsider,
like maybe you look at that.
It's a reasonable place to get to.
I was reporting in Russia once,
and I was talking to this guy who was a judge.
He was actually kind of famous
as the last independent judge in Russia.
Very smart guy.
You know, he's a lawyer.
He's very educated, very international,
having this very interesting,
high-level conversation about the legal system in Russia.
And in the middle of this conversation,
he is talking about,
like, yeah, all of these problems are really tough.
They're really going to be a challenge for Russia,
and it's going to get so much harder
when China annexes Siberia.
And I was like, what?
Where did that come from?
What are you talking about?
But just go to show that, like,
how widespread this belief is,
which is partly just a, like,
people are very conspiratorial in Russia,
because that's what happens
when you live under an authoritarian system like that.
So the reason that if you talk to, say, a China expert,
they will always laugh at this question,
and not at you,
but just, like, laugh at the idea of this question.
It just wouldn't make sense
for China to fight a war to take Siberia
to get its resources,
because they already get all of those resources
through trade.
So it's kind of like that,
like, why would you buy the cow
if you get the milk for free?
But it's like,
why would you fight a war with the cow
if you get the milk for free,
and also the cow has nuclear weapons?
So I thank you for asking that question,
because I'm really happy
that I got to, like,
give you this little slice
into the Russian-Chinese relationship.
But it comes up a lot.
So thank you, Michael,
marking that one answered.
So before we do the next question,
I want to show you something
that's actually on the opposite side of the board here.
Hold on.
Okay.
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Now let's flip this around
and get back to the questions.
Okay, question number four
from Lily Guerrero.
Should people worry more about China
than the U.S.
in terms of militarism and spying?
Also, is China on its way
to really becoming a green country?
So Lily, you took two questions,
and it was one question per person.
But I'm going to let you get away with it
because they're both great questions.
So we're going to answer the first one first.
Should people worry more about China
than the U.S. in terms of militarism and spying?
And you encounter versions of this question a lot
as a kind of way of getting to a moral judgment
for like, which country is more of a threat to the world?
Which country is better?
Which country is worse?
And partly that's a reaction
to the rhetoric from the United States, right?
The United States holds itself up
as the responsible global power
as opposed to China,
the dangerous threat to the world toward it.
I think a more direct line
kind of through the complexities of this question
is just to ask, how do the other countries,
the 180 other countries in the world,
treat this question?
Do they treat China or the United States
as a greater threat?
And the answer is that, of course,
it depends a lot on the country.
I will say that countries on China's periphery
that border China
treat it as far and away the bigger threat.
They treat China as not a threat
in the way that the United States is a threat
for like launching the Iraq War.
Obviously, China is not doing Iraq-style wars,
although they have been very clear
they want to do one in Taiwan.
But it's more of a threat of spying,
like you said, you know,
bullying in their foreign policy,
sending the Chinese Navy into these countries' waters
to chase off fishing ships
to try to claim international waters as their own.
And these countries treat the United States
as a protector against China.
That does not mean that they have like
looked at the global ledger
of these two countries' behavior
and determined that the United States
is more moral and more on the side of the angels
than China is.
It's just a strategic question.
And if you tick through the world,
you kind of see similar, like,
what is in my interest strategic calculus.
Like, if you go to Europe,
they treat the United States as a protector on net,
but more against Russia than against China.
So they're kind of hedging
and they want to be friendly with both.
In the Middle East,
it really depends country to country.
All of which is to say that
I think if you on net
look at the behavior of the countries in the world,
the answer is it really depends
on that country's circumstances,
that country's relationships.
Great powers do bad things.
They also will sometimes be really helpful
to smaller countries.
It's not because they are so virtuous and kind,
but because every country acts in its interests
as it perceives them.
Chinese foreign policy tends to be very bullying
in its neighborhood
and more about economic relationships outside of that.
Make of that what you will.
In terms of which country
is more responsible steward of the global order.
Great question.
Market answered.
Okay.
Lily's other question that she snuck in
is China on its way
to really becoming a green country.
This one comes up all the time
because we hear so much about China's wind farms,
its green tech,
its electric vehicles.
And the answer is like,
sort of,
but not in the way
that you have probably been led to believe.
It is true that China is,
in like absolute terms,
absolutely the world leader
in producing green energy and green tech.
But the thing is,
is that China is also rapidly expanding
and increasing its use and burning of fossil fuels,
of things that contribute
to putting carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.
And how can it be both things at once?
How can it be both becoming greener
while also becoming more and more of a polluter
and a contributor of carbon?
The way to square the circle
and understand this is to understand
that China's development of green energy
and green tech,
like electric cars,
is not primarily because they care about climate change.
It's because they care about energy security.
They have been doing everything they can,
including green tech,
like solar panels,
and including burning lots,
lots more coal
to rely less on oil and gas
that comes from outside of China.
And that's because they want to be shielded from
if the United States ever tried to cut off
their access to oil
in the case of, let's say,
a war over Taiwan.
If they ever had some sort of economic shock
that's outside of their control,
like what happened with Iran,
they want to be shielded from it.
So that's how you can see them
both getting greener and less green
at the same time.
Okay, great question.
Thank you.
Okay, before we go to the next question,
I said I would explain where these come from,
so let's do that now.
These are all from members of a club
that I run with a few other creators called
NewPress.
NewPress is where smart, curious people
get a deeper version of what we do
across our channels.
In-depth interviews,
conversations between creators,
and the ability to connect directly
with other members.
And we occasionally invite those members
to challenge me with their biggest,
broadest questions on a given topic
like we are doing with this video on China.
And you can see from these questions
just how smart and curious that community is.
They're a lot of fun to chat with.
So if you want to hit me with your big questions
for the next video in this series,
and I'm not sure what that'll be on.
Maybe it'll be on the US election,
maybe Ukraine and Russia,
maybe Israel and Palestine.
I don't know, maybe Kazakhstan?
Kazakhstan is a fascinating topic.
I would love to do questions about it.
Consider signing up for NewPress.
Right now, it's 60 bucks a year
to become a founding member.
Check it out at newpress.com
slash questions.
The link is in the description.
Okay, now let's get back
to these great questions.
Let's go on to question number six.
Nathan Fretz asks,
I'm genuinely curious about the organization
of their government system.
How have they made
communist socialist ideologies work
when the rest of the world has failed?
I get a bunch of variations of this question
like I do a lot, honestly.
Bella asks,
just to remind, it is no stupid question,
so please excuse my ignorance on the subject.
Bella, you never have to apologize
for asking a question here
because there are, that's right,
no dumb questions.
Bella Goldzahn,
I've heard China referred to as socialist,
communist, and capitalist,
but which ideology are they actually following
or most aligned with?
Great questions, guys.
So I think what all of these are asking is,
is China really communist
or are they actually capitalist
because they claim to be one,
but it kind of seems like the other,
and it's all very confusing.
And I think the honest answer
is that neither of these terms
is the best way to describe China's system.
And there is another word
that I think is a much better way
to describe their system.
I will come back to it,
but first let's tack on like,
to what degree are they communist or capitalist
and what does that even mean?
And I will just say upfront that like,
China has always said
that they are breaking with communism
as it is kind of always been defined
and described outside of China.
They've always said
that they are doing communism
with Chinese characteristics.
That is their phrase for it.
Actually, just to super quickly define communism,
its main two features,
I would say to super oversimplify
are one, a centrally planned economy.
So that means everything from production,
how much is produced,
who works on what,
all of which is meant to build
towards a end state of total equality.
And the second piece of it
is something called Leninism
named after, of course, Lenin,
the founder of the Soviet Union.
What Leninism means
is a super strong party,
a communist party
that controls every aspect of life
in the country
that is meant to bring about
this gradual revolution
to total communist equality.
China does not really have
the centrally planned economy.
They have pieces of it.
They started with it a lot.
What they really have now from communism
is Leninism,
is state party,
communist party
that has total control over the state.
They have the final say in everything.
There are pieces
of centrally planned economy,
but what there's a lot more of
is capitalism.
And I think we all know about this.
They are very about trade,
private enterprise,
startups,
companies competing
in the free market,
people getting richer or poorer,
Deng Xiaoping,
who is the second leader of China
after Mao.
He took over in 1978.
Actually, arguably,
China's most important leader
of the last hundred years.
You could actually make the case
he's one of the maybe
three most important world leaders
at all of the last hundred years.
Absolutely fascinating guy.
Deng Xiaoping has this quote
about like,
are we capitalist?
Are we communist?
Where he said,
it doesn't matter if the cat
is black or white
as long as it catches mice.
And what that means is like,
who cares if we call it capitalist
or communist
as long as the system works
at doing what we want it to do.
And he's like,
that has really carried the way
for China ever since.
And the kind of official line
is that like,
yes, we still want to get
to this communist end state
of total economic equality,
but we think that's
hundreds of years away.
For many generations
is the phrase that they used.
So that gets to,
okay, is it communist?
Is it capitalist?
Which better describes China?
And I said,
there's actually a third thing
that better describes it.
And that is a party-based
political system.
What do I mean with that?
Think of it in contrast
with a country like Russia,
where there's one person,
Vladimir Putin,
who sits at the top
and is the final authority.
Like, he kind of is the state.
The way it works as China
is instead of one person
is the state,
it is super bureaucratic.
It's a huge party apparatus
that is like a state
within the state.
And actually part of it
being party-based
and part of it being
super bureaucratic
and these huge institutions
is the provincial governments,
which are run by these
like other party committees,
have a ton of power
and autonomy.
This is what they mean
when they say Chinese characteristics.
Excellent, excellent question.
Okay, question number seven.
Shamsuddin Ismail V asks,
will the emergence of China
as a world superpower
set the blueprint
for modern communism?
Will more countries
seeing the success
of this communist nation
be motivated to turn communist
and will China give them
that support against the US
as the USSR did
during the Cold War?
And this, again,
it's a great question
because if you know anything
about the Cold War,
of course you would expect
that is China going to do
the same thing
that the Soviet Union
tried to do,
which is export its system
all around the world,
only deal with countries
that are ideologically
aligned with it.
And I'm so glad
you asked this question
because the answer
could not be a clearer no.
China has said
that unlike the Soviet Union,
they don't want
to export their system.
China actually says,
we think our system
only works for us
and only we can make it work.
And this is,
and your question gets at this,
completely different
from how the Soviet Union
thought about communism.
The Soviet Union
had what's called
a universalist political system
or a universalist ideology,
which means that they believed
that their political system
was the pinnacle
of human political achievement
and therefore it was their duty
and their responsibility
and their right
to spread that system
to the entire world.
And the United States
believed the exact same thing
and still believes that
about their system,
about democratic capitalism.
So you can see
why they fought a Cold War.
But China not only
doesn't want this,
is not interested in this,
does not think this
would be a good idea,
but also is very happy
to work with countries
that have very,
very different political systems.
Like one of China's
closest allies in Asia
is Pakistan,
which is a like Islamist,
quasi-democratic
military dictatorship.
Like could not be more
different from China.
They don't care.
They work with a bunch
of democratic countries.
For them it's really
just all about like,
yeah, you guys do
whatever you want politically.
We just want to find countries
that we can like work with
in a way that will work for us.
The other aspect of your question
is like,
are other countries
trying to copy China?
Which is obviously
very different than whether
China wants to spread their system.
And the answer is
sort of,
but mostly not.
A lot of countries
look at China's
obvious successes
over the last 50,
60, 70 years,
and they look for pieces
to copy.
Ethiopia is a country
that looked at China's
political and economic development
and not so much right now,
but in the recent past
has tried to copy it.
There have been a lot of moments
in Iran's history
when some of the reform
and opening movements
and some other movements
that like predated that
saw China as a model
for how to emerge in the world,
how to like
grow their system economically.
One country that has found
a very specific aspect
of the Chinese experience
that they are working
very hard to mimic
is North Korea.
We talked about this
in our North Korea video.
The thing that North Korea
is trying to copy from China
is not their economic system,
definitely not their economic opening
or their political system,
which is very different,
but their foreign policy.
And North Korea
really sees itself
as being a miniature China
and what China did in the 1970s
in terms of like
standing up to the United States
using nuclear weapons
in order to then
reach a grand bargain with it
and to become
have like friendlier
relations with it.
Great question.
Thank you, Shamsuddin.
Okay, next question
comes from viewer
Felt Poopenfarten.
Felt, I just want to say
it's always a joy
to hear from our Dutch viewers.
Hello in the Netherlands.
Hope you're enjoying your waffles.
Felt Poopenfarten asks
two questions.
Why does a certain...
Again, you guys are cheating
with your two questions,
but I'm too soft on you.
Two questions.
Why does a certain portion
of the British
and presumably more broadly
Western leftists
idealize China so much,
ignoring its authoritarianism
and abysmal human rights record
despite holding
all other states to account?
And my second question is
how does China get things
built so quickly?
Okay, so again,
I'm going to take these questions
one by one.
You might notice
I did not actually put
the first question
up on the board
and that's because
I didn't want people
to see it and then
fast forward to it
to try to like
check whether I give an answer
that is ideologically
in line with their beliefs
because I want to kind of try to
sidestep the ideological
side taking
that is maybe a little bit
implied by this question.
Sorry, Felt.
And I want to try to just like
answer it
diagnostically
10,000 foot view.
So I think what this question
is asking
is why is it that
some people who
maybe identify as leftist,
maybe identify as something else,
doesn't matter,
why do some people
hold up China
as an ideal
despite China doing
things that they
criticize in other countries
and that would seem to
contradict their case
that China
is the ideal?
And there is actually
a name for this.
It's called
campism.
People who do this are called
campus.
This emerged during
the Cold War
and it's called campism
because it's a way of
approaching the world
by dividing into
two camps,
you know,
the West and the East,
the capitalists,
the communists,
whatever it is,
and dividing it
with a mission
of arguing
that one camp
is superior
to the other.
And when people
do this now,
like there are some
streamers
who do this a lot,
specifically with China,
I think what they would say
is that
this is
towards a noble goal
of highlighting the problems
in the West.
I think
this can come across
to people
as simplistic
or as hypocritical.
You know,
people see you
holding up China
as this obviously
superior ideal,
including on
human rights grounds,
and you go,
but wait,
China does so many
incredibly severe
human rights abuses
that you criticize
when Western countries
are doing it,
so it seems like
you're not actually
motivated by caring
about human rights
or whatever.
It seems like
you're motivated
by wanting to win
this made-up team sport
of arguing
which side is better.
Some people
also like it
because
they feel
that the West
is
false
in its
asserted superiority,
and it's a way
to knock that down a peg,
or it's a way
to reveal the hypocrisy
of the West.
I don't engage in it
personally
because
I do think
that it can come across
as a little
overly simplistic,
and also because
I don't see my mission
as making
an ideological argument
for which side
is better.
I see my mission
as
finding the world
fascinating,
loving,
learning about it,
and wanting to help
you all learn about it,
and I think
that means
acknowledging
good and bad
all over the place.
Countries are complicated.
I don't know that we
are helping anybody
by hiding
or downplaying
some of them
in order to win
an argument
on the internet,
but if some people
want to win that argument,
God bless.
Good for you.
Okay.
Wait.
It's not on the board,
so we're not marking
an answer.
Okay.
On to Felt's
next question.
My next question
is,
how does China
get things built
so quickly?
That one is
on the board.
You can see
the little dam
over there.
People ask this
all the time.
I'm very curious
about it.
People see China
building these
wind farms
and solar panel
farms and
high-speed trains,
and I think
what's behind
this question
is looking at that
and asking,
why can't we have that?
There are a couple
answers to this question.
One is that
China just has
incredible
internal
infrastructure,
everything from
manufacturing
to transportation,
because that was
what they built
their economy around.
They built their
economy around
manufacturing
and exporting
complicated
physical
products,
mechanical products,
machines,
cars,
parts,
and that,
coincidentally,
is really,
really helpful
if you want to
build trains
internally,
if you want to
build dams
internally,
if you want to
build solar panels.
You've kind of
already set up for it
in a way that
other countries
that have
different economies
like, say,
the United States
or any other
country have not.
Another,
and this gets to
China's political
system,
is total
central government
control.
Central government
wants to build
the solar panel
farm.
They do it.
It's done.
Nobody's going to
talk back to them
about it,
or they could
talk back,
but it's not going
to make any
difference.
And it's an
important thing
that I would
highlight about
this.
You only ever
hear about
them doing
this for
the solar
panel farms
and the
high-speed
trains,
because those
are the things
that get
highlighted
in the
viral Instagram
I went to
China
and it
blew my
mind.
But the
thing is,
the thing you
don't see on
those videos
is that for
every
high-speed
train or
solar panel
farm that
the Chinese
government
puts in
with no
accountability
and no
dissent,
they are
also putting
in 10
chemical
factories
or 10
coal plants.
And because
there's no
accountability,
they're very
often built
with very
low or
insufficient
health or
environmental
standards,
which is a
huge issue
in China.
There are
constantly
protests in
China about
this.
It is a
huge deal
that if you
are within
China,
you are
like,
I'm not
hyper-aware
of,
but doesn't
make it
outside of
China as
much.
I think it's
important to
hold that
China is
both of
those things
at once.
I'm not
saying that
to invalidate
the incredible
things that
they do,
but I'm
saying that
this is a
system like
any system
where the
strengths also
come with
some
meaningful
downsides.
A great
example of
this is
the Three
Gorges Dam,
which is
this huge
dam complex.
It's an
incredible
engineering
achievement.
China is
one of the
only countries
in the
world that
could have
done this,
but when
they put
this in
because
they're
China,
they went
to a lot
of these
villages and
towns that
were going
to be
sunk
underwater.
They went
to all these
towns and
they just
said,
you know
what,
you don't
live here
anymore
because we
need this
dam more
than we
need your
town,
so it's
time for
you to
move.
That was
a huge
deal.
There's another
great movie by
that Chinese
director I
mentioned,
called Ash
is Purest
White,
an amazing
movie.
It follows this
Chinese couple
over like
20, 25
years and
over the
course of
China's
transformation
and it's
not taking
a political
position on
it, whether
it's good or
bad, it's
just showing
what it was
like.
There's a great
sequence in it
late in the
movie where
the main
character
actually sails
in a boat
up the lake
created by
the Three
Gorges Dam
and reflects
on how
the country
is changing
and the
nature of
that change.
It's a great
movie to get
a sense of
what it
means to
live in
that kind
of system.
Okay, question
number nine, we
are speeding
through from
Karsten Pernotta
who asks,
could the
yuan, which is
China's
currency,
there he is,
there's our
boy, could
the yuan
actually
exchange the
US dollar
in market
currency?
Is there a
possibility?
What would
happen if it
happens?
Okay, just to
explain what
Karsten is
referring to
here, the
US dollar
is the
global
standard
currency of
exchange.
And what that
means is that
it's the
currency that
every country
keeps in a
ton of
reserves.
It's the
currency that
every country
use for a
ton of
international
trade.
A lot of
goods and
products that
are traded
internationally
like oil
are traded
in the US
dollar.
And this gives
the United
States a
ton of
power because
the fact that
every country in
the world relies
on their
currency in
order to
engage in
the global
economy means
that the US
has all of
these levers to
pull to use
that currency
against countries
that they want
to pressure or
coerce or
don't like or
want to punish.
And people
sometimes get
mad about that
and how the US
uses that power.
So they start
to think about
could there ever
be another
currency that
would take the
place of the
US dollar and
therefore deprive
the US of that
power.
So that's what's
behind that
question.
It's a great
question.
It comes up.
If you ever see
references to
de-dollarization,
that's what this
is referring to.
But the
answer to
this question
again is
very simple.
No.
Absolutely not.
And the
reason is that
China does not
want this to
happen.
China does not
want the
Yuan to
replace the
United States
dollar.
And in order to
turn your
currency into
a global
reserve currency
like the US
dollar is,
there is a
bunch of
stuff you
have to do
very deliberately
that China is
absolutely not
willing to do.
Things like you
have to run a
permanent trade
deficit.
That means you
import more than
you export.
Use the US as
an example.
The US has a
permanent trade
deficit.
It's always
importing more
than it exports.
Every time it
imports something,
it pays for it
in dollars.
As a result,
there are all
of these dollars
out in the
world.
The fact that
all of these
dollars are out
in the world
means it can be
a global
reserve currency.
This is the
opposite of what
China wants to do.
China wants to
be constantly
exporting more
than it's
importing because
like we said,
their entire economy
is built on
exporting and
therefore their
political system.
So this is a
total non-starter
for them.
Even if they
could do this
or wanted to
do this,
you also have
to do these
technical things
with your
currency called
a free
floating exchange
rate.
That means that
the free market
determines what
your currency is
worth relative
to other
currencies.
The dollar
does this.
China absolutely
doesn't want to
do it.
You need to
give up
something called
capital controls.
These are
set of
government
controls over
how your
currency is
used.
China absolutely
doesn't want to
do it.
I'm also not
interested in
having a global
currency like
the dollar.
So this is a
great question.
I'm really glad
you asked this
question, in
part because
this gets
brought up
sometimes in a
way that I
think is kind
of misleading
because it's
just never
going to
happen.
They want
someone else
to take on
this responsibility
of having
this currency
because this
system works
for them.
So
great
question.
Okay,
last
question from
Kareem
Dawalibi.
Why is
China considered
an adversary
of the
United
States?
And Kareem
goes on with
lots of
explanations
about why
this is
weird.
It makes
lots of
great points
about how
it's kind
of weird
that they're
considered
adversaries.
For example,
they are
each other's
largest trading
partners by
far, and
that typically
leads to very
friendly relations
because those
countries rely
on each other,
they are
economically
integrated,
so isn't it
kind of weird
that they're
considered
adversaries?
Kareem,
great question,
and I
really agree
with your
premise that
when you
look at the
relationship
between these
two countries,
there are lots
of things about
this relationship
that make it
seem strange
that they
would become
adversaries,
or make you
ask, like,
is that even
the right
word to use
to describe
them?
And the
thing is,
I don't
think that
it is.
I mean,
there are
certain ways
that it
is, but I
think if you
look at it
in totality,
that's not the
best way to
describe it.
Like,
look at how
often the
leaders of
these two
countries meet,
look at how
often they
have summits,
look at the
range of
things that
they talk
about.
They talk
about trade,
they talk
about tourism,
they're constantly
signing all
of these
agreements.
Like,
this is
very,
very different
than the
Cold War,
where the
two leaders
would occasionally
have summits,
but the
summits would
be like,
how can we
moderately
reduce the
risk of us
fighting a
world-destroying
nuclear war?
They were not
meeting to
talk about,
let's give
each other
10-year
tourist
visas,
which China
and the
U.S.
been
doing
long
time,
and
they
were
meeting
about
reduce
the
fighting
a
world-
war.
So,
it's
fascinating
to me
to watch
the way
that they
will silo
out the
ways that
they are
competitors
and rivals
and adversaries
from the
ways that
they are
partners
and,
like,
joint
stewards
of the
global
order
and
definitely
not allies,
but,
I don't
know,
there are
ways that
the U.S.
and China,
you know,
narrow ways
that they
are closer
than the
U.S.
is closer
than a lot
of its
actual
allies.
And they
know they
need each
other.
I think,
bottom line,
they know
that even more
important to them
than any
mutual threat
is the
mutual need
that they
have for
one another.
So,
it is a
fascinating,
complicated
relationship
that I
endlessly
love following
because I
think it's
so interesting
and it's
so important
for everything
that happens
in our
world.
So,
great question.
Thank you.
Okay,
we did it.
10 questions.
We went through a lot.
I feel like we kind of have a podcast together.
Like,
you and I are like
co-hosts in this podcast.
So,
this has been
a ton of fun for me.
Let me know in the comments
what you think.
If you like this format,
what you liked about it,
if you'd like to see
more like it,
and if so,
what topics you want us to do.
You know,
could be the Iran War,
U.S. elections,
could be Kazakhstan.
I really want to try to get you guys interested in Kazakhstan.
But,
whatever it is,
I really enjoyed this,
so hopefully we'll get to do this
together again soon.
Thanks, guys.
