These Numbers Spell Trouble for Trump in the Midterms

Could Donald Trump’s Republicans be heading for a major defeat in the 2026 US midterm elections? The latest polling numbers suggest they could be in trouble — and the consequences for Trump’s final two years as president could be significant.

In this ITV News explainer, Jessica Taylor, Senate and Governors Editor at The Cook Political Report, breaks down the polls, political trends and key numbers that could determine the outcome of the US midterms on November 3.

Donald Trump’s approval ratings have fallen sharply since he returned to the White House. Voters are increasingly unhappy with his handling of the economy, rising living costs and his immigration policies. Even traditionally Republican states could be competitive, raising the possibility that Democrats could win control of the House of Representatives, the Senate — or both.

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