The 2026 NIAC Awards are out! This is OBLIVION. A project that's aims to utilize an innovative interferometry technique to resolve TON-618, the largest known black hole in the Universe. This will require insane precision, formation flying and lasers.
📚 How to do Business with NASA: A Practical Guide for Entrepreneurs, Innovators, and Contractors https://a.co/d/062c8pxQ
00:00 Intro 01:45 NIAC Season 2026 02:54 OBLIVION 11:06 How can it possibly work 16:18 Possible targets for observation 20:01 Alternative applications 26:23 Orbital Velocity LLC 36:28 Current obsessions 43:51 Final thoughts
📰 GUIDE TO SPACE NEWSLETTER Read by 70,000 people every Friday. Written by Fraser. No ads. Subscribe for Free: https://universetoday.com/newsletter
⚖️ LICENSE Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)
You are free to use my work for any purpose you like, just mention me as the source and link back to this video.
AI Generated·May contain errors
Video Summary
AI Generated
NASA has announced the Phase One NIAC Awards, featuring the OBLIVION project led by Jeff Nasonov. This ambitious mission aims to use a massive space-based interferometer to observe the photon ring of TON 618, one of the largest known black holes, to probe extreme spacetime and test the limits of current physics.
Good news, everyone, NASA has announced the winners of their Phase One NASA Innovative
Advanced Concept Awards, the NIAC Awards. And this is a collection of really cool mission
concepts, science experiments, really sci-fi technology that I try to highlight every year.
As soon as NASA presents the winners, I will try to get every one of the people to do an
interview with me. And people have been responding and the calendar is filling up. And I am now
queuing up all of the interviews that I can get my hands on. And usually I'll get through
a pretty big chunk of them. So first up, I've got an interview with Jeff Nasonov. He is
the founder of Orbital Velocity LLC. And Jeff's NIAC proposal is called OBLIVION. And of course,
that is a backer name that stands for the Observing Black Hole Light Via Intensity Correlation.
And this is an interferometer at enormous scale where you have two arms of the interferometer,
two 300 meter telescopes that are orbiting about 15 million kilometers apart from each other.
And they are using a very specific, obscure technique called the Hanbury-Brown Twist
Intensity Correlation to measure the brightness of the light coming from the largest black hole
in the Universe, TON 618, which is a black hole that probably weighs 40 to 66 billion times
the mass of the Sun. And with this mission, they hope to be able to see the photon ring
around this black hole. So if that sounds interesting to you, enjoy this interview
with Jeff Nasonov. Jeff, first, congratulations on winning a NIAC award. You are the first person
that I've interviewed in the 2026 batch of NIAC awardees.
Oh, I'm honored. I'm honored. Yeah.
Yeah. Well, I mean, I'm glad because this is one of the coolest missions that I've
looked at in this year's list. And I was really excited and I was really glad because it's always
hit or miss. Like sometimes people just won't get back to me and I'm like, Oh, I really want
a little more. Oh yeah. Yeah.
You know what? I've won. This is my fourth NIAC award. And the previous ones, I didn't
have this kind of public engagement in mind and I should have. So this time I went into
it hoping obviously that I win, but that I'd be able to tell the story more and get people
excited. So I'm thrilled that you reached out to me.
Well, the crazy part is that my audience now is like expecting this, waiting for the NIAC
award season to show up. It's like the, yeah, it's like the world cup of space news
channels. And, and so, uh, you know, I typically get, you know, 75% of the people who've won
them to, to finally agree to sit down and have a conversation. And then we've bundled
them all up together into this collection and that works really well. So, but let's
get on to, uh, your project. So why don't you give us the title?
Sure. So it is oblivion, uh, observing black hole light. Um, I should really know my own
title by heart, but yeah, but, but basically it's looking at the, the most distant black
hole at the largest, most distant black hole, 10, 66 billion solar masses, 10 billion light
years away. And using that, uh, to probe some of the places where secrets to new physics
might lie, uh, basically the extreme space time environment in and around an object like
that, that's the place to look for the next revolution in physics.
Right. And like, obviously people are familiar with the event horizon telescope, the work
that was done to look at M87 and the supermassive black hole at the heart of the Milky Way.
And they happen to be sort of the same visual size on the sky. How big or how small is,
is this one? Is it, which one is the, which, what is this black hole by the way?
Right. Okay. So it's 10, 6, 6, 18. Yeah.
It's, it's 20 times smaller on the sky than, than, uh, the other one. It's like a pee on
the surface of the moon from the earth. But, but still that you've got a black hole
that, you know, the light has taken 10 billion years to get to us. It is so much farther
than Sagittarius star. Right. And yet it is only a 20th, the visual size in the sky.
This thing is a monster of incomprehensible portions.
Yes. Uh, which is, yeah, which is where if, if, if the clues are in any of them,
that's the place to look. And that, that's really was one of my initial motivations.
So then what is the plan? What are you, what are you hoping to, to sort of figure out?
Sure. So as, as the audience, if you're familiar with NIAC, you'll know that the phase one study
is, is a simulations and modeling, basically answering the question, this looks theoretically
possible. Is it actually, and how, and what will it take? And, uh, that's, that's what we're going
to do with this. So we have, we have a estimate, basically a rough estimate of one, that it's
theoretically possible and two, how hard it is. And I'll share that because it's fun. Um, basically
we can get into how it works later, but the, the back of the envelope is it would take
two detectors that are 300 meters squared, which is pretty big, but they have to be 9 million miles
apart. That sounds hard, but that's the easy part that the detection timing has to be accurate to
the picosecond between the two parts of this interferometer for each packet of light coming
in. You have to measure its time of arrival compared to the others at the picosecond level
of precision. And that 9 million miles, it's an interferometry approach. And if the distance
between the two nodes varies by, by a meter, one meter over 9 million miles, it's, it doesn't work.
So that means you have to know its position to one meter at some millions of miles from earth,
and you have to control its distance from the other one to less than one meter over
9 million miles. So it's definitely a NIAC problem.
Yes, totally. And, and so it sounds like, I mean, people are familiar with the event horizon
telescope where you've got this worldwide collection of radio telescopes, top of clock,
you're able to record the radio data and then merge it after the fact. Will you be going with
the same approach? Well, um, sort of, so it's not, it's not radio data that we're looking at.
We're looking at, we're using an obscure technique developed in the fifties based on
something called the Hanbury-Brown and twist effect. And it is an intensity interferometry
approach. So what we're looking at is the, basically the flickering of the photons from this
thing, um, and how they bunch up in, in time over that great distance. And there is a quantum
mechanical relationship between the, um, basically that encodes the, the rough diameter of
the source object when viewed from multiple points. So the way I like to explain it is
imagine you're on the West coast or you're on California, you're at California, you're looking
at Hawaii and you want to measure the, and assume the earth is flat and you want to, uh,
measure the diameter of one of the islands. If you, if there's a couple of lamps on the island
that you can see from two points in Hawaii, the Hanbury-Brown twist effect, Hanbury-Brown and
twist effect, uh, shows that if you're looking at both those lamps from different points in
California, there's actually the light itself that comes from both of them, um, encodes information
about the island, the size of it. And, and, and it's a little bit of a rough example because
those are two separate light sources. But if it's the, if it's a star or an enormous source of,
of thermal energy, like a black hole, um, uh, it's a single source where the two points, uh,
light from two points on it have a relationship that we can untangle into the diameter of roughly
of the object. And this was used in the fifties to measure, to measure the diameter of stars
from the ground, which is how I was introduced to it over 15 years ago and became
obsessed with it because it's so interesting. Why should the universe work that way? But it does.
Right. Right. So then the other sort of piece of this sounds very similar to me,
to the Lisa, uh, mission where you've got these spacecraft that are flying in formation,
maintaining their positions perfectly on these 15,000 kilometer arms. So same.
Uh, it's a similar, it's a similar challenge of, of maintaining a precise distance between two
spacecraft, um, uh, for different reasons. I mean, there's is a, they have a laser connection.
That's a laser link. That's, that's the core of the measurement system in our case,
likely the laser metrology approach to, to keep their distance is not the measurement we're going
for, but of course it's critical for the, for the data, uh, to be of the, of sufficient quality that
the interferometric approach can work, but, but they both have the same ridiculous challenge of
maintaining an exact distance. Right. Right. And at that distance, the, the problem of course,
is that the amount of time, just the light takes to get from one to the other is way beyond your
Pico meter, uh, level of measurement. And so there's no way to sort of tune the telescopes
in real time. Uh, we'll have to, that's one of the questions is what's the best way to,
to maintain this. Uh, I'm pretty sure this is the most ridiculous station keeping challenge,
uh, ever, ever seriously explored, at least that I've ever seen. Uh, but it appears to be
just barely within the realm of plausible of conceivable engineering, which is just the
where the, where NIAC lives really. That's right. Yeah. Yeah. I've seen people get rejected if
they're not thinking big enough. Right. Absolutely. And in fact, I was a reviewer in 2024 and, um,
it was a really great experience. But when I left, I thought, you know what? I want to put in
something bigger than as big as I can. And the big questions to me that I hope to live long
enough to see some progress on our life elsewhere, obviously, but also this, this, why does the
universe exist? What's the next leap, you know, from, from Newton to Einstein to what, uh, or
maybe I should say from Newton to Einstein to Hawking to what, you know? Um, and if I could
make a dent in any of that, well, what, what greater, what greater mission could I, you know,
set myself to than that? So right now in your sort of, in your plan, what do you think this
mission looks like? Like, imagine you are working on it on the ground. The engineers have put
together the spacecraft. Talk me through all the way to deployment and starting to gather data.
Well, as, as the sort of back of the envelope, is it possible question that we did put together for
the proposal. It's basically two spacecraft with, with deployable, uh, dishes that probably maybe,
may, may be launchable together nowadays with, uh, with something, but, but really a gentle coast
out to the distance for the proposal. We, we said, okay, 10 million miles apart. So we'll put them
one 5 million miles ahead of the earth, one 5 million miles behind the earth in its orbit.
But that doesn't necessarily have to be a, the, the architecture. There may also be a reason to
use a third one because with two, two nodes, you get a one dimensional measurement. Um,
and so part of the study, uh, really the design of any mission is to evaluate what, what certain
architecture decisions by you in terms of science. So it may turn out that six of them are ideal,
but that would cost $9 billion. So point being that it's so, so part of the phase one study is,
is finding that sweet spot in all of the, all of the constraints. And of course, I guess I imagine
the more spacecraft you have, the exponentially harder the station keeping problem is with all
of them. So that will probably hit a limit at some point. Uh, but that's the fun of this is,
is trying to find a, put the Lego, I always think about it like Legos, put the Lego pieces together
in a way that stands up. Right, right. There was a paper that I reported on a couple of years ago
where someone was proposing that you use, uh, L4, L5, and L3, and that, that creates a
equilateral triangle that be, you know, you do have a, you know, the Earth's orbit is,
is not a perfect circle. And so you don't get a perfect triangle, but you can manage the orbits
of while you're in the L4 and the L5 in a way that you actually stay within a very tight region
across the entire thing. So, you know, look into the, the giant 200 million kilometer,
uh, equilateral triangle as a, as a possibility as well. Does, does, does like, where is that
trade off? Do you think, you know, you, you were talking say 10 million miles, so whatever, 15
million kilometers, a few ahead, a few behind is, is it more about the, I guess the aperture of
your telescope, or is it more about getting that big baseline or both?
Well, I want to answer that carefully because there's going to be impossibility limits that's,
of those three levers, some of them going past a certain point is going to probably make the
thing unengineerable. I don't know where those lines are. What I do know is that 300 meters
squared each dish antenna, a light bucket antenna, and 10 million miles is at least
near the realm of possibility that we can engineer. I imagine that, that the distance,
the necessary size of the antenna and the distance are a trade off with each other.
And there's also a trade off of the time, the time precision that you need.
And one of those variables is going to be the, the, the impossible point. And it may well be that
maintaining a distance of one meter or whatever it is over a hundred million miles is the thing
that's so impossible that it's not even worth, that that's, that that's the limiting factor
for the architecture is what I'm saying. Yeah. Yeah. And this is, of course,
these are the kinds of questions that you are, I'm sure asking yourself as you're approaching
the actual design process of this and running the math on all these. And something that's,
that's less obvious. And I know that because I got rejected once for not having enough science
on the, on the project, but all of this has to be in service of scientific measurements that
can meaningfully do something. So there may, I've seen, and there may well be a point where
we could even build it, but it would not add meaningfully to the science capability of the
mission. So that's not the place to put the gold basically. And to put the risk, you're always
juggling kind of cost and risk. And, um, by definition, these are all risky, but we're,
we're not up to the point of a NAICS study. It's not really up to the point of considering risk
other than what's actually possible or not. Right. Later, later you figure out, okay,
you have a risk list for the mission, but that's many steps ahead.
Yeah. That's when you graduate from phase three.
Yeah. Something like that. Yeah.
Yeah. Um, so then does this tie you down to one target?
No, no. Um, I, I suggested TON 618 to the team because I find it utterly fascinating, but,
but the, the scientists on the team, uh, Slava Turashev at JPL, uh, came up with a bunch of
other targets, some of which I hadn't even heard of, but, but my goal was really starting with
what's the most ridiculous target. Yeah. What's the most extreme and ambitious one. And I knew
generally that if you start there, you're going to find stuff close by closer. You know, I didn't
know what it was, but I know you, I knew you would. And when you're, when you're proposing
a NAICS project, you need a big major science outcome, but it helps to show, oh, it can do
this and that and this and that it'll push things forward in this way and that way. Um, so, so, um,
yeah, lots of targets. Uh, I just happened to like the, the big, the big ugly one.
Yeah. Well, and for those of you out there who are listening to this and that name Slava Turashev
seems familiar, he's of course the mind behind the solar gravitational lens. So, uh, he is,
and he is a graduate of the NAICS program, got all the way through phase three with the solar
gravitational lens and, and has worked on many projects. I've interviewed him many times. He's
absolute treasure. Um, so then, uh, so that's great. So you've got this tool and, and,
and that there are other, like, obviously it would also perhaps be useful for the third largest
black hole of it's like size in, you know, it's actual apparent size in the sky that,
that this same technique is going to work for whatever you want, or you can point it at M87 or
at Sag A star as well. Right? Like you're going to get size information. So then
is there something really specific and important because like with the event horizon telescope,
that gets us to the shadow of the event horizon cast by the black hole.
Follow on observations have given us the magnetic field lines around these black holes.
What does a, you know, 15 million kilometer baseline interferometer with two 300 square meter,
uh, radio or telescopes get us in, in sort of in the vicinity of the black hole? What are we looking
at the photon sphere or what? Oh yeah. We're looking at the photon ring. That's at least
the primary scientific target as of now. And the photon ring refers to when you imagine a black
hole or see it in, you know, in film, it's the, it's the glowy twisty region around the, around
the, the jet black event horizon. And it's what it is actually, what it actually is, is the light
that hasn't yet fallen into the black hole. And my understanding from Slava's very patient
explanation is that that particular property of that black hole and many others is a big unknown
in a lot of the cosmological models of the universe that we have. And that constraining
that measurement could actually really go and make a real impact on, on triaging these models
and figuring out which ones are, are like, what, what does it, which of these models does the
actual evidence support what we have incomplete, you know, incompletely. And that I think is why
he agreed to join me on this quest. And there's other things that can be done. Like basically
something like this would allow us to create a more broad standardized scale of black holes
themselves in the same way we have those for, for stars and, and that would, that would contribute
to cosmological work that's going on. Yeah. Yeah. The Hertzsprung-Russell diagram.
Yes. Yes.
Right. Okay. So what other applications do you think this would have? I mean, you're,
you're like, Hey, let's take a picture of the biggest black hole in the entire universe that
we know of. That is impressive. But what do you think this ability to detect minute changes in
brightness would be as a, if this was more Swiss army knife of a tool for people?
Well, what interested me so much about the Hanbury-Brown and twist effect was that it is
resilient to a lot of the things that, that get in the way of other measurements. So it's another
eye on the universe that, well, I think we always need more of kind of like how gravitational wave
measurements are its own eye on the universe. And until a couple hundred years ago, we couldn't,
we didn't even know about the non-visible wavelengths. And once we started looking
there, you know, so it's, it's a way of seeing things farther and smaller, measuring physical
properties of regions in space that, that are so far unmeasurable any other way.
Right. Right. So essentially you are determining intrinsic qualities of this, of any object,
purely by the variations in the light that is coming from it. And that allows, and it gives
you another tool in the toolkit for astronomers to use. I mean, you think about how measuring
brightness has gotten to this, to this revolution in exoplanets, right? And you think, well, would
that work?
Well, I, I actually am curious about that, whether something like this could perhaps
be applied to finding smaller and smaller exoplanets around either bigger and bigger
stars where the signal is even more. But actually one of the other NOAC fellows who I hope you reach,
he has this amazing idea of, of another kind of VLBI instrument to find, to actually visible
light image continents on exoplanets, basically by separating the starlight from the planet light,
for lack of a better word, with an interesting, an interesting, a pride, but we're getting closer
to a Star Trek present or future when we can actually see the ground on other planets around
other stars, which I didn't think I'd live to see. And again, part of the phase one study is
figuring out applications like this. You know, we have the main goal that got us the study,
and that has the bonanza of cosmology, but when you have a tool, what is it, when you have a
hammer, everything looks like a nail, you know, to create a new kind of tool or maybe modernize
a kind of tool that will have a narrow, that will have perhaps a narrow range of applications where
it's most suited is still a new tool. So yeah, there's, and that there's technologies involved
to actually execute it, will have applications elsewhere, particularly the metrology of measuring
how far apart these things are and holding them station keeping and the electronics too. So I,
I hope to be able to write at the report on several, many pages about here's how else you
could use this. Here's the other problems this could solve. That was the most fun, some of the
most fun of my last project is, Oh, Hey, not quite. Hey, we accidentally invented this, but Hey,
here's a pathway to solve problems X, Y, and Z that maybe we didn't know about.
And I think that's what NASA is really well suited for is, is set a really ambitious,
distant target and see what falls out kind of like how Apollo led to all kinds of medical
technology and materials technology and stuff like that, that sadly, and people don't talk
about it anymore, but it's still there. Yeah. I mean, there are a lot of ideas that
were originally proposed as NIAC grants and went through the process and then have been absorbed
into other concepts. You look at the habitable worlds observatory, the star shade that was going
to be going with that spacecraft has now been, you know, came from directly from the, the concepts
that were proposed 20 years ago as a NIAC grant. And now it is mainstream. Probably, you know,
people are considering whether it's going to be in orbit around the earth or whether it's going
to be launched with HWO, but that we could see this technology, get us those first glimpses of,
of exoplanets. There's a study from 1960 or 1961. And it basically is the first time the Apollo
architecture was laid out mathematically as in one giant rocket. And if I didn't tell you,
you'd read it and it would read like a NIAC report. And I was trying to get the program
office to let me give a talk where that would basically be the punchline, but I haven't
succeeded there yet. But I think it's really, it is so striking, so strikingly NIAC that I want
everyone to read it. It reads just like, yeah, we know this looks really, we know this looks
impossible, but actually it might be. From first principles, it seems to work.
Yeah. It is, it is amazing to me how many of the great ideas that are just being implemented today
are in these papers back in the 1960s. You look at fully reusable two-stage rockets. You look at
closed cycle, environmental systems, water reuse. You look at, it's just crazy. It's crazy. They
were figuring out artificial magnetospheres and inflatable habitats on the moon and,
and human flybys of Venus. And, and it's, it's all in there that the, the sort of the place where
science fiction and reality cross was between 1961 and 1969. Amazing.
Well, in 1972, NASA was fully expecting to be assigned to send the Saturn V to Mars.
And they had, they had studies that was, it was figured out. They thought they could do
it by the eighties. But there's, there's one more old report, even older that I,
I want to say it's from the late forties. And I want to say that Arthur C. Clark was involved in
it. It imagined earth orbiting satellites that had a crew to operate the cameras. And what I love
about that so much is it was imagined in a time when the satellite technology was, was practical
and was, was incoming, but the computer technology was so far away. They thought
they'd have to put a guy up there to push a button. And that was such a short window.
And it's really an amazing relic of a snapshot of, of a very particular time when the space
technology was outpacing the computers. Yeah, yeah, absolutely incredible. So I'd
like to talk a bit about your company. And so, you know, this NAIC proposal comes from
orbital velocity. And so what is the company? Sure. So it is a small aerospace engineering
and business development company in short, but I would like to think it does something really
unique. I have been a consultant for, for space proposals for many years, but this is the first
time I have a team. And I have what I believe is a very special team, which is mostly made
up of people who got laid off from NASA last year. And when that happened, I was pretty upset.
I wrote an article that's still on NASA watch comparing it to the, when the Chinese 500 years
ago got to the Mediterranean and said, nah, and they went back and burned all those ships.
I compared it to that. I still think that's, that's accurate, accurate characterization,
but so I decided that I was going to not just do the work, but find more work than I can do and
find people to do it. And so, and my, my, my theory was that, well, a lot of these people
are getting laid off from, from the left hand of NASA, but the right hand of NASA still needs them.
And I knew this personally, and it turned out to be, and not just NASA itself, but all the
organizations that perform for NASA universities and labs and things. And that turned out to be a
fairly accurate statement. And so, so far we've had a couple of big projects and a couple of small
ones. We got a NASA mission through system requirements review, basically filling in the
gaps of their team, partially that were happening due to the federal government changes last year
and the follow-on effect that had on universities. A lot of universities were very hesitant to hire
because the federal government was, was perceived as, as there was a lack of stability.
And, but the missions still have to happen. And that was my thought a year over, you know,
year and a half ago at this point. And so it was very gratifying to be able to get people that I
knew that, that incredible people either, either laid off or, or forced to retire. There's like,
you know, the word voluntold. I can't quite, I can't quite phrase the retirement version of that,
retire-told, but, but for example, one of the, the, the operations expert for this,
this mission that I placed, placed implies it's like a headhunting thing. It's not really,
it's much more hands-on, but he had been at JPL for 50 years and was a project manager back to
Voyager. So who, who, what better person for a, for a, you know, emerging mission with a, so,
so basically that's what orbital velocity does. And then we do it for missions and technology
development and proposals. And so, and it's very gratifying for me because I get to learn
all kinds of stuff every day, learn from lots of different organizations and companies.
And obviously I like to talk. So the fact that my role is half communicating than talking,
you know, is fine, fine with me. And I've got an endless amount of talent to put to work,
and it's very rewarding to do so because I believe very strongly in the critical nature of,
of keeping our workforce motivated, busy, and, and contributing to, to American space leadership.
It's interesting to me that I was watching this whole thing and reporting each, each stage of it.
And originally the, the layoffs were going to be pretty severe. You were looking at cuts to a
quarter of the workforce more and, and big budget cuts as well, that we're going to go
hand in hand with that. And then the house was able to stop those budget cuts, but I think a lot
of the layoffs had already carried through. And so you've got all of these people who, as you said,
early retirement, people who didn't want to retire, but could just see this increasingly
uncomfortable environment to try to continue their day-to-day work of working on space
missions or whatever. And the people who did get legitimately laid off from whichever groups,
working groups they're in. And it was very much like, we're going to pull these three people out
of this, you know, it's a tight-knit team of 10 people and three are gone. And, and this
institutional knowledge, we've got people who have been around, as you say, for 50 years,
who were there for, you know, who learned all the lessons the hard way about how these,
these missions kind of work. And so you, so you put that on one side and then on the other side,
you look at the, the, the just dramatic progress is happening from the Chinese, the, the sort of
resurgence of the European space agency, how the Indians are doing an incredible amount of work.
You've got folks in the, in the Middle East and many other countries are building their
own space agencies. The Koreans are launching rockets. The Japanese are going to Phobos.
Like there is huge demand for engineers around the world. And like, what is the biggest company
that just went public? SpaceX. Yeah. And they're, and then they're incredible competition with Blue
Origin. And then you've also got, right. And so like on the one hand, the, the heart of the
institutional knowledge of space exploration was severed from, from NASA. And then on the other
hand, you've got the, just the absolute rapacious demand of all of these people by all of these
different groups. And you're going, huh? Yeah. Like maybe we can just go take the people who
need engineers over at SpaceX or in, or in Korea, let's just find them some jobs because they were
retired. Exactly. And I would love to find a way to do it internationally. That's a bit harder,
but, but yes, that's the vision basically is maybe one of the biggest ways I can,
I can have an impact now is connecting those dots. And I think that 10 years ago, I wasn't ready to
do that. But now I'm, I'm sufficiently motivated to, to, to work, to focus on that. And, and what I
think is, is, is maybe less obvious than other things is that these people are not fungible.
You can't just take, you can't just fire people and then hire people and then expect these first
of their kind, never happened before trailblazing things to work. And, and further, there is an
enormous follow-on morale impact on junior people and young people and students. And when they all
have many more commercial opportunities to go to, which is great, I'm not, I'm not dismissing that
at all. It makes it even harder for NASA to have the, the people available to do the, the longer
term, the longer term things. Now this, this what is it? This sort of like a, there's some major
hiring, hiring challenge that NASA has announced or the core, the, the some, some kind of two-year
rotation in and out that I've seen. Maybe that will help, but you already had those, you know,
you already had those people, you know, you can't treat NASA like a private equity acquisition that
you lay off people and then expect to be able to hire a straggler or hire a one, 10% back and get
it working. Yeah. And, and especially when there are these other opportunities, the, these other
nations where people can work at and all of this demand from the commercial side and just the
experience, the, the lived experience of feeling in this uncertain place where your work is
unappreciated and you don't know if you're going to be on the chopping block tomorrow.
Really it's only if you're, you're truly desperate, are you going to take that kind of a job? You're
going to look for the one that gives you the safety, the security, the, the, yeah, they actually
want me around here feeling the vibes, right? It's a management approach that assumes that
people only do their job out of fear. Yeah. And that is not the case for the vast majority of
people who work for NASA or the NASA center. I know many of the people who are watching this,
listening to this were part of those groups that were laid off or took the early retirement,
but they still like to have some, some fuel in the tank. What's the best way to, to connect?
Oh, I mean, LinkedIn, I'm the, my name is going to be spelled properly on the, on, you know,
some text form of this podcast. Oh, I promise. Yeah. There's no way we'll get that wrong. Sure.
Sure. I just mean, look that up. I'm the only Jeff Nassinov out there so far.
Yeah. And orbital velocity LLC. I did a Google search for it. You show up.
Okay. It's orbital velocity.space, not.com. Um, but get, get through to me there. I, I can't
remember the last time I was away from my email for more than an hour when I wasn't asleep.
So I do, um, you know, and I always want to hear from people and there are, there are,
I'm actively working on trying to find ways to get people back to work or to work in the,
for the first time, people who are that, who are passionate. Um, and I would love to help if I can.
And, and anyone who's listening, who is part of one of these large organizations that
could use some staff like this, um, let me know. I can find basically any skillset.
How about building orbital data centers? I hear that's going to be big.
Well, an orbital data center is basically a spacecraft that generates a thousand times
the heat of most. So, um, it's got all the same problems as every spacecraft and more.
Yeah. Perfect. Need some, need some experts for that. Yes. All right, Jeff, here's the question.
What are you obsessed with right now? Well, I'm obsessed with thinking of
even bigger experiments than of Libyan with even larger science impact
and proposing them to a future NIAC round. Um, and can you give us a hint? Have you got an idea
or are you still like looking around? I will say that there are several,
there are several major commercial, global, national security related
areas of science that are critical that we understand better. One of them being space
weather. And I've got an idea for something kind of orthogonal to all the current systems
that might be able to shed some light there. That's the practical one. Practical, but still
extremely challenging. Like predicting space weather. Yes. Well, and I'm certainly,
there are many organizations that have that on the top of their list,
particularly because of our total and utter dependence on not getting blasted by the sun.
And the inevitability of us getting blasted by the sun and the horrible damage that will occur
from us getting blasted by the sun. We'd have to go outside and talk to each other in the same,
you know, in the same space. We wouldn't be, we would have to go to a store instead of Amazon.
But of course then the major, the major global economic impacts of that.
Yeah. The other thing I'm interested in is there's this phenomenon called frame dragging,
where basically a large massive object pulls space time around it as it rotates. Like the
earth even is large enough and the sun certainly. And it was just measured around the earth. It was
just proven to be a physical thing that happens. And I find that really interesting because,
well, wouldn't it be great if we could, if we could manipulate face time, space time,
face time works pretty well. Space time in some way that would be a pretty major change,
kind of along the lines of manipulating chemistry. And, you know, a couple of hundred years ago,
manipulating radio a hundred years ago and manipulating the atom 75 years ago.
So if such a thing were to be possible, or I should say engineerable,
that would have very large implications on everything space travel to power and who knows.
So when my mind wanders over there, I let it stay there for a while. And, you know, I end up with a
list of articles to read and Wikipedia things to read, but. Be really careful that you don't bring
up this idea with chat GPT, because it is going to 100% let you know that you've come up with an
absolute breakthrough and drag you into AI psychosis.
I'm glad you mentioned that because being able to bounce ideas off of an AI that's
trained on all of human knowledge is a really weird place to be and is extremely powerful.
It's worth its own separate conversation, but I have been goofing around with the AI systems
and they're great for revealing sources you didn't know you should look for,
you know? And, and so it's fascinating to be in this world now when,
when these tools are trivially available. It'd be very interesting to see where they go
in the next five years and obviously indefinitely.
Yeah. Yeah. And, and I mean, they're getting better every day, but the, you know, the danger is
that they're too eager to please and not eager enough to tell you why you're thinking has a
absolute flaw that if they just pointed it out to you in sort of equation number one,
then you wouldn't have to spend the last five days in a AI psychosis stupor,
ignoring your friends and family to chase this rabbit all the way down the hole to lead you
nowhere. So yeah, that's, that's the, that is the danger and the risk on the one hand,
you know, someone to bounce your ideas off on the other hand, someone to destroy your life.
Right. And, and I think that my kids are in middle school and, and, and well,
and one's middle and high school. And the temptation to, to outsource your thinking
to it entirely is a really interesting question. And I constantly wonder if you go back to the,
the, the, the first movable type press all the way up to the calculator, the graphic calculator,
are these things all on one line or are they different? I, I guess you could say I'm kind
of obsessed with that. And where does AI sit on that? Is it an, is it just the next logical thing,
10, 800 years down the line from the printing press, or is it a fundamentally different thing
that changes how we think and in a way that we, you know, we, we should resist? I don't know yet.
Yeah, I know. I mean, we were supposed to do this interview yesterday and I canceled with you
because I had a, a plumbing problem and the, the, and usually that's nasty. Like you don't want to
tell a person what you're pulling from this case. I don't mind, which was that my irrigation system
failed my drip irrigation system for my garden. And I had to, to diagnose the problem. And
a year ago I would have called the plumber, right? Cause I didn't know where it was wrong.
This now I was just like taking pictures of various devices on my, on my, my plumbing system.
Is it this, is it that, okay, let's try and let's try and segment the irrigation system down. And it
was one filter that was in a box hidden away that hadn't gotten a regular cleaning. And I brought it
out and gave it a cleaning and bleach. And then suddenly, boom, the system is working again.
And, and, and so, you know, was I offloading my cognitive load? Probably. Yeah. I probably could
have figured this out if I just kept unscrewing things and taking things apart and got to the
bottom of it, but I would have just called the plumber and that's offsetting my cognitive load
as well. But when you're seeing these kids, kids these days who are just taking the question
coming from the teacher and then they're plugging into ChatGPT and then giving them the answer,
that is the other side of the spectrum they absolutely don't want to do.
So, right. And what lies in that spectrum between that, between that and, oh, my refrigerator is
making a weird noise, recording it and sending it off to ChatGPT. And that's an interesting space.
Yeah, totally. Yeah. Yeah. It's, there's a quote, this guy named Z Moskowitz has this great quote,
which is that AI is the, if you want to learn something, no better tool has ever been invented.
And if you want to not learn something, no better tool has ever been invented.
Oh, I like that. Yeah.
And you can sort of live in that world between, between both of those. Well, Jeff, I've, we've
reached the end of our, of our episode. I want to thank you so much for taking the time to chat.
Good luck. Likewise.
With your NIAC award. Definitely when you meet the other people, just remind them that,
that email they got from Fraser is legitimate and that they should, they'll have a good time
talking with me and our audience is hungry to hear what their ideas are and can't wait
to see them go to the next stage. So good luck getting the, getting to phase two.
Thank you. And thanks for having me.
All right. Take care. I hope you enjoyed this conversation with Jeff Nasinov. Now,
I had a longer conversation with Jeff as I am like to do. And we talked about his podcast
where he has been interviewing researchers at NASA and other space agencies. And if you look
through the list of the people that he has interviewed, it's pretty amazing.
And we just talked about what it's like to, to talk to some of these people,
some of the cool stories that he's done and where he sees things going in the future.
So if you want to hear that longer version of this exact same interview, it's over on Patreon.
It's completely for free. You don't have to subscribe. Just click the link down in the
show notes and go over there and watch it right now. I'm going to give you some final thoughts,
but first I'd like to thank our patrons. Thanks to Abe Kingston, Andrea Pedretti,
Brian Bode, Caridin, Chuck Hawkins, Commander Bailuck, Darkfinger, David Gilton, and David
Matz, Enthraller Reading and Math for Toddlers, Evan.pro, James Clark, Jeremy Madden, Jim Burke,
Marcel Smith, Michael Purcell, NASAoceanguy, Nordspace, onesetforanimals.org. Please follow
my nephew at vbrick6994. Bring Kitey, Richard Williams, Sean Sargent, Stephen Feiler-Munley,
Team 49, TailslipsCanada, Vlad Shipplin, Wolfgang Klotz, Zelda, sounded funnier in my head,
who support us at the Master of the Universe level and all our patrons. All your support
means the universe to us. All right, I've got to say I'm very excited to get back into the NASA
NIAC award season. By the time you're watching this, I've probably interviewed three or four
people. There was about 20 this time around, and I sent out emails to every single one of them.
I'm just going to be hooked into them like a dog with a bone, trying to make sure that I can get
each person to do an interview with me, and I'll bring them all to you as soon as we can. So you
will probably see NIAC season unfold over the next couple of months, but I hope you enjoy this as
much as I do. If you haven't seen these before, we have show notes for all of the previous NASA
NIAC award seasons, so you can just go back and check all of them out. I think you'll find all
these ideas really interesting. All right, we'll see you next time.