Market Correction Risk Rising As Midterm Madness Approaches | Lance Roberts
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While there a no immediate signs of danger, portfolio manager Lance Roberts warns that if the softening semiconductor sector keeps falling from here, trouble will likely start.
He thinks it more likely than not that stocks will experience a ~10% correction as the mid-terms and all their drama and uncertainty approach.
He and I discuss the odds of that, as well as what bonds are up to in today's video.
#semiconductor #marketcorrection #bonds
0:00 - Vacation Announcement (July 27–Aug 2)
4:29 - Tech Sector Cooling: MAG7 & Semiconductors
5:32 - China AI Models & DeepSeek Concerns
6:02 - SpaceX Below IPO Price
6:40 - Market Rotation & Capital Flows (Bathtub Theory)
8:18 - Broadening Market & Rotation Evidence
10:43 - Growth vs Value Model Switch Explained
12:01 - PEG Ratios, Earnings Growth & Classification
16:55 - Current Market Volatility & Options Expiration
19:03 - Technical Analysis (TA) & Market Structure
20:56 - Portfolio Positioning & Buying Puts
24:05 - Money Flow Indicator Explained
30:41 - Gold Miners Analysis & Outlook
40:38 - Energy Stocks, Oil Prices & Iran Tensions
52:21 - Earnings Estimate Revisions (Semiconductor Slowdown)
53:54 - Fred Hickey AI Discussion & Valuation Concerns
56:02 - Depreciation Schedules & True AI Profitability
1:01:18 - Chimath Palihapitiya Token Cost Story
1:09:20 - Cost of Compute, Chinese Models & Future Margins
1:14:21 - Bonds, Credit Spreads & Inflation Outlook
1:19:18 - Adam’s Ruben Report Appearance & Future Plans
1:23:17 - Lance’s Recent Trades & Market Reaction Plan
1:25:54 - Long-Term Investing Psychology & Common Mistakes
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