Year-End Triple Shock: 5th Plenum Showdown Ahead?

China Insights
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57 Video Views·Dec 20, 2025
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On December 15th, the Chinese Communist
Party CCP military for the first time
publicly called for clues about
irregularities in air force equipment
procurement with no time limit set,
directly targeting the deep waters of
the military equipment system. On
December 17th, Hu Chunhua appeared with
unusually high protocol at the
conference marking the 80th anniversary
of the China Democratic National
Construction Association, CDNCA,
receiving a clear close-up shot on
CCTV's Shinan Leian. 2 days earlier,
People's Daily online had run a lengthy
feature praising the achievements of
Lassa, Naeni, and Shannon in Tibet,
regions where who had previously served
as a top local leader. On December 18th,
Wong Wen Hua, the former secretary
general of theQing Dao Municipal
People's Congress Standing Committee and
a longtime chief aid to Li Rui Huan, was
placed under investigation after 8 years
of retirement, becoming the 61st Tiger
taken down this year. On the surface,
these three developments seem to belong
to separate domains, local
anti-corruption, political personnel
arrangements, and military
rectification.
But if you place them on the same
timeline, you'll find they are not
isolated events at all. They all point
to the same reality. The power struggle
within the CCP's top leadership is
rapidly surfacing and has already
extended from behind-the-scenes
maneuvering into the propaganda
apparatus,
local systems, and even the core of the
military. The climax of this power drama
may be about to arrive. Liu Huan's chief
aid, Wong Wen Hua, investigated 8 years
after retirement. On December 18th, the
CCP's Central Commission for Discipline
Inspection, CCDI, announced that Wong
Wenha, former deputy party secretary of
theQing Dao Municipal Party Committee,
was under investigation, making him the
61st centrally managed official to fall
this year. Wong is 68 years old. He
stepped down in 2017 and has now been
retired for a full 8 years. As soon as
the news came out, many people
immediately sensed that this was
unlikely to be just an ordinary
corruption case.
Let's first look at his resume. In his
early career, Wong mainly worked in the
general office of the CCP central
committee, serving as a party committee
member, youth league secretary, and
office section chief. His most critical
experience was his long tenure as
confidential secretary and party branch
secretary of the office of former polit
bureau standing committee member and
CPPCC chairman Lee Ruan. In other words,
he was one of the closest secretaries in
Li Ru Huan's personal circle. After Liu
Huan retired, he arranged for Wong to
take up a local leadership post. In
April 2005, Wong first served as deputy
party secretary ofQing Dao on a
secondment basis. In November 2007, he
was made permanent, gaining vice
ministerial rank. In March 2012, he
became director and party secretary of
the Chingda Municipal People's Congress
Standing Committee, a role he held until
stepping down in April 2017.
After retirement, he still held several
positions such as director of theQing
Dao Working Committee for the Care of
the Next Generation and specially
invited vice president of the China
International Council for the Promotion
of Multinational Corporations.
As recently as September 21st, 2025, he
even attended a signing ceremony for a
central state-owned enterprise, showing
that he remained quite active after
leaving office. What makes this case
particularly noteworthy is precisely
Wongs close connection to Lie Rui Huan.
Among the still living party elders, Lee
is one of the most influential. He is
seen as a representative of the
reformist and pragmatic wing and
together with Wjabao Jeang Yoshia and
others is regarded by outside observers
as a core member of the current elders
faction. Even more noteworthy is that
another of Liu Huan secretaries, Lie
Jun, resigned from his post as vice
chairman of the Hainan Provincial
People's Congress standing committee on
September 30th this year. Some
commentators have pointed out that Wongs
investigation is likely not just a
standalone anti-corruption move, but a
probing strike aimed at a specific
political faction. And the fuse for this
purge may have already been visible back
at the 20th Party Congress. At the 20th
Congress, beyond the scene of Hujinta
being escorted out, there was another
moment that left a deep impression. When
Xi Jinping walked up to the rostroom to
deliver his speech, all the delegates,
including the retired elders, applauded
enthusiastically as per the usual
script. Only then, 88year-old Lie Rui
Huan sat motionless, hands still,
staring straight at Xi Jinping, showing
no intention of playing along with the
performance. While she spoke, Liu Huan
did not look particularly attentive,
unlike others around him. That moment
seemed to foreshadow that something
might unfold between the two men.
Besides Wong Wen Hua, Liroy Huans
other main secretary, 63-year-old former
Hainan Vice Provincial Legislature Chair
Lee Jun also voluntarily resigned this
September. In just a few months, two of
Lie Ruan's longtime chief aids have run
into serious trouble, suggesting that
this wave of political cleansing
targeting that elder faction is
accelerating.
Against this backdrop, Wong Wenwa's
downfall is likely the opening move in a
series of political signals at the end
of 2025 rather than just another
ordinary anti-corruption headline. Hu
Chuen Hwa's frequent reappearance, state
media hype sends abnormal signals. If
Wong Was fall is a hard news item
carrying an obvious political message,
then almost simultaneously, another
signal, seemingly softer, but just as
unusual, has been appearing intensively
in state media, who Chu Hwa's frequent
and high-profile presence. On December
17th, Shin Wua News Agency and CCTV's
Shinwan Leian were reported on a
conference celebrating the 80th
anniversary of the China Democratic
National Construction Association held
in Beijing. On the surface, this looks
like a routine celebration for a minor
party under CCP leadership. But a closer
look at the details shows the was
clearly unusual. The CDNCA, the third
ranked of China's Democratic parties,
only hold such large-scale commemorative
events on decadal anniversaries.
The last time was the 70th anniversary
conference in 2015 attended by then
Pulit Bureau member and United Front
Chief Sun Schwenlan, who delivered the
congratulatory speech. The CPPCC was
represented by its 14th ranked vice
chairman Lu Jang Gong. This time the
congratulatory speech was still
delivered by a polit bureau member Liea
but the CPPCC representative was Hu
Chunhua who currently ranks second among
vice chairpersons. The protocol level
was significantly higher. More
importantly, Shinuan Leian gave Hu
Chunhu a clear, steady camera shot. In
the CCP's propaganda system, this is
never a random decision. Those who
understand CCP political operations know
full well that who attends, who appears,
and who gets screen time are themselves
political signals. Nor is this whose
only recent appearance. On December
15th, People's Daily Online published a
long feature titled Magnificent Tibet
striding forward, lauding Tibet's recent
achievements in ecological conservation,
poverty alleviation, and infrastructure
building. The article highlighted the
development models of Lassa, Naeni, and
Shannon, praising them for achieving a
win-win between ecology and development.
Though Hu Chunhua was not mentioned by
name, anyone familiar with his record
can see that these three regions line up
exactly with key areas where he served
and governed during his two tours in
Tibet. In CCP media discourse, this no
names mentioned, but every line matches
a resume style is very familiar.
Commentator Tang Jinguan notes that such
articles are essentially a form of
indirect political endorsement. The real
purpose is not to introduce local
development but to carry the sedan chair
for a particular political figure.
Looking back at Hu Chuun Hua's career,
he was once regarded as a key successor
from the Communist Youth League Tuanpike
faction. But at the 20th party congress,
he was unceremoniously kicked out of the
pulit bureau by Xi Jinping and
reassigned as a vice chairman of the
CPPCC,
earning the nickname of discarded crown
prince. For a time, many believed his
political career had been put on pause.
But judging from developments after the
fourth pleum this October, things are
clearly changing. who has not only begun
appearing in public more frequently, but
the venues protocol level and media
treatment he receives all stand in stark
contrast to his earlier cold bench
status. The coordinated push from state
media from People's Daily highlighting
Tibet's achievements to CCTV giving him
prominent shots at the CDNCA event shows
that the propaganda system can no longer
fully suppress this momentum. This
suggests that the anti-shi alliance is
for the first time flexing its muscles
within the propaganda apparatus.
Commentator Jang weeping has bluntly
said that this publicity campaign is
meant to signal to the outside world the
one who is now capable of taking over
power is huchuna. If the rumored fifth
pleum reshuffle actually happens whose
return to the pulit bureau or even a
higher position would mark the first
substantive counterattack by the
remnants of the twai after the 20th
congress and would signal a visible tilt
in the balance of power. For this
reason, many observers believe whose
recent high-profile appearances are not
Xi Jinping throwing a bone but the
result of another force pushing him
forward. That force is widely believed
to be the elders faction we mentioned
earlier. at 62, who is one of the few
remaining Tuanpai figures who still
combines age, resume, capability, and
symbolic value. With Xi Jinpings
authority weakened and his personal
loyalists repeatedly purged, bringing
who back into the spotlight naturally
draws intense attention. At the same
time that figures close to elderly Rui
Huan are being taken down, who is
clearly being elevated in state media.
This one down, one-up contrast has led
many watchers to conclude that the
internal struggle at the top of the CCP
is no longer being fully disguised, but
is gradually coming into the open. And
what has unfolded next within the
military system has made that judgment
even more intriguing? Backtracking Air
Force procurement, upgraded military
anti-corruption, who is the real target?
While Wong Wa was falling and Hu Chunhu
was reappearing in high profile, an
extremely unusual move occurred within
the military. On December 15th, the PLA
issued an announcement on the military
procurement network, publicly soliciting
clues from society about irregularities
in Air Force procurement. The scope of
the investigation covers multiple stages
of material and service procurements,
including needs assessment, procurement
review, contract performance, supplier
penalties, and the selection of tender
agents. It explicitly requires real-name
reports with the acceptance period
running all the way until June 2026.
This approach is quite rare in the CCP's
military system. Past military
anti-corruption campaigns were mostly
internal investigations handled
internally, and even when cases were
publicized, the details were often
vague. This time, not only was the Air
Force named explicitly, but the military
also proactively reached out to society
for clues, showing the seriousness is
far from ordinary. Even more striking is
that the announcement does not set any
time limit on how far back the
investigation can go. Previously, after
the rocket force was hit by a massive
corruption scandal, the PLA conducted a
backdated probe into equipment
procurement, but the timeline was
explicitly limited to post 2017.
Outside observers widely believe that
this time cutoff was a way to
technically avoid scrutinizing the
period when Jeang Yoshia served as head
of the armament's department. Public
records show that from 2012 to 2017,
Jeang Yoshia served as head of the
General Armaments Department and after
restructuring as director of the Central
Military Commission's equipment
development department. He was one of
the core leaders of the military's
equipment and procurement system. He
held the signing authority over all
major procurement contracts across the
armed forces, including those for the
Air Force. This time, however, the Air
Force procurement probe comes with no
stated starting year, effectively
leaving the door open for a full
retroactive audit. This discrepancy from
earlier practice immediately triggered
speculation.
Over the past 2 years, the Air Force has
already been rocked by multiple rounds
of anti-corruption.
Several senior officers have either
fallen or are rumored to have done so.
Former Air Force Commander Ding Lihang
fell 9 months after being transferred
from a nominal NPC post back into a real
role in 2023.
Equipment development department head
General Su Shua Jang has been absent
from key events including the
commissioning of the Fujen aircraft
carrier in November and the central
economic work conference in December and
is reported by commentator Kai Kuan to
have fallen. Current Air Force
commander, 58-year-old General Chong
Dingsho, is rumored to have died of a
heart attack while under detention,
though this has not been officially
confirmed. His Bayu Bike entry has
quietly been deleted. So, is this
retroactive probe into Air Force
procurement aimed directly at Jang
Yoshia, or is it a purge led by Jeang
himself, targeting other factions? For
now, there is no clear answer. What is
certain though is that military
anti-corruption is no longer simply
about cleaning up graft. It has become a
deep expression of elite power struggle.
At the local level, close associates of
elderly Rui Huan are being held to
account. At the political level, Hu
Chunhua is being visibly elevated by
state media. Within the military, the
procurement system is being pried open
with back-checking set to have no upper
limit. Viewed together, these three
threads reveal a highly synchronized
rhythm. From the local to the central,
from propaganda to military power, the
CCP's internal struggle is advancing to
deeper levels and becoming increasingly
public. As for on whom the blade of the
air force procurement probe will
ultimately fall. That answer may not be
far off. If you found this analysis
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