Powder keg, open rebellions, and the rise of a new leader

Hello. Uh, hi. Welcome to Lay's Real Talk. Well, I just I was just reading uh the comments here. Someone said that they must have had uh must have been experiencing difficulty, technical difficulties again. Yes, I did. Uh I was trying to be a little bit ambitious and did the slides myself and guess what? The file exceeded 50 meg. And um I guess I um next time I'll have Chris do it for them. I mean for me. Anyways, um well, thank you for your patience. Uh thank you for waiting for me. All right. Let's see. We have videos, we have slides. Okay. All good to go. All right. Wow. We have so much to cover tonight. We will talk about um who Xi Jinping's replacement is. And this time we're not going to base it on rumors. So as you know, China today is a pressure cooker ready to blow at any moment. Xiinping has become public enemy number one and the regime is under intense pressure to replace him. Yet because of brutal internal power struggles, choosing his successor has seems seemed like mission impossible. But this week, something changed. Not just rumor, but People's Daily, the CCP's own mouthpiece, dropped some subtle hints about who might be next in line. And this time, even the rumor mills agree. And I will share that with you. But before I get into that, before I tell you who that person is, let's look at the status quo inside China's pressure cooker. Uh, one, Beijing is spiraling into semilockdown as the military parade approaches. Two, inside someone dared to cry out the unthinkable. Three, and in one man staged a stunning digital protest, projecting anti-CCCP slogans across the skyline, sending shock waves throughout the leadership. All right. So, first things first, let's talk about what's happening in Beijing because it's totally unbearable. We're what only a few days away from the September 3rd parade and Beijing has turned into a a fortress, both a fortress and a pressure cooker. Around Tanaman Square, there are guards literally every few steps. On the subway, every single door of every car is covered and it's called one cop, one police dog. Now, think about it. One train car has four doors. That means there are four cops and four dogs. Actually, let me show you a picture. Yes. Um so yeah, every subway car has four four cops and four dogs because their the their um plan is one door. Every door is covered by a dog and a police. Now multiply that across the entire system, across the entire city, the manpower, the resources, it's absolutely staggering. And that's only the beginning. Subways, buses, street corners, overpasses, everywhere you look, it's armed um it's armed police uh presence. Uh patrol cars are on the move and checkpoints springing up everywhere. Beijing now is effectively a military fortress. And it doesn't stop there. The authorities have recruited an army of temporary security staff. College students are being offered 150 yen a day with mills and lodging just to hunt down so-called troublemakers. Others are hired to snap photos, watch power poles, or simply stand guard. Um, and they will work 15 straight days from August 22nd until the parade finishes. Now, local residents describe the atmosphere as suffocating because it's a nightmare. Along Chan Avenue, the very route of the parade, gas supplies to apartments have been cut off. Apparently, to prevent sabotage, residents cannot cook. They're forced to eat governmentissued boxed meals or at communal cantens. Uh, street facing windows must stay shut and neighbors are ordered to spy on each other. Every car, every kitchen knife, every hammer, every sharp object must be registered. And believe me, they do have the resources to come to every household and check every room to get them registered. And in office buildings, sharp objects like scissors must be locked away. They cannot be left, you know, in the drawers or or on the desk. They ha they have to be locked away. Cars parked nearby must have their gas tanks drained. No birds are allowed to fly. Overnight guests are banned. And in certain apartment blocks along the parade route, residents are ordered out of their homes and into governmentrun hotels. No other country on this planet could stage this level of security lockdown except communist China. And this is how the CCP spends money because it fears its own people. And some say Beijing feels like a battlefield waiting for something to erupt. In fact, it already has. Um, a so-called toilet revolution has broken out in the capital. I told you about them. Uh people have uh people are scrolling anti-CCCP and anti-Chin graffiti in public restrooms and in neighbor in neighboring her province anti-CCCP slogans are appearing on street. Well, they're actually not anti-CCCP. I mean, if you really look at it, it just says the CCP does not equal to China or CCP does not equate equate equate uh to China. And here are more polls. It says the CCP does not represent the Chinese people or the CCP doesn't represent the interest of Chinese people, right? Um, and then on August, remember on August the 7th, remember I told you about this man who uh showed up in front of the museum of like the anti-Japanese war in Quiming Yan with a banner that says Xiinping steps down. That was August the 7th. Now, three weeks later, the same voice has echoed in the very heart of the party's leadership compound. According to uh uh Hi Jun, a former uh a Chinese official now living in the west on August the 30th around 300 p.m. That's today. Um inside the state council office building at Jon Nanghai, a midlevel official suddenly shouted Xiinping step down. Wait a minute. Um I think the date I think the time I think the time may be uh when Mr. Who actually made it um ma made the revelation. I'm not sure about when this shouting took place. I think it may be the time that he made it known on the internet. So there was a a a mid-level official working um at the state council who suddenly shouted Xiinping step down not once but several times. His voice thundered through the building loud enough for everyone to hear. Security rushed in. The man about 40 years old uh with six years of service in the state council in the state council secretariat was seized and taken away. His name hasn't been disclosed, but the leak reportedly came from a ministerial level insider who deliberately passed the information to Mr. who. And that's the key. This wasn't just an ordinary citizen. This was an insider, an official. His cry of Xiinping step down struck at the regime's most vulnerable nerve. Because for a dictatorship, the greatest threat isn't enemies outside the borders, but protest in the streets and um and descent among the elite. Once someone inside the system dares to openly challenge the leader, the regime's legitimacy takes a direct hit. And that's why this uh John Nanghai's, you know, incident is exactly what the CCP fears the most. And um and it's not just in Beijing. Remember when I told you about the Jango protest in Suchan about a month ago, sparked by a school bullying case? I said then that such often leads the rest of China during dynastic change. Its people are fiery and not just because of the food. And on the night of August the 29th, something extraordinary happened in Chongqing. You probably have already uh this is by the way that's a picture of Chong Nanghai. So this is what happened in Chongqing on Friday night. Um, from the top of a high-rise in University Town, a massive anti-CCCP slogan lit up the night sky for over 50 minutes. Under the glow, the words were clear, sharp, and impossible to ignore. And four slogans cycled, each one more shocking than the last. So, what do they say? Well, they say the f the first one says, "Only without the Communist Party can there be a new China. Freedom isn't a gift. You must take it back." And then it says, "Rise up, you who refuse to be slaves. Reclaim your rights." And then it says, "Down with red fascism. Overthrow the communist dictatorship." And then it says, "We don't want lies. We want truth. We don't want slavery or we don't want to be slaves. We want freedom. Step down tyrannical communist party." Wow. That's so much stronger than you know Xiinping step down. I mean this directly targets you know the the regime uh not any individual not Xiinping. So, and also this wasn't some back alley protest. This was the beating heart of Chongqing. Shopping centers, pedestrian streets. There are 14 universities in the area. There are parks that even there there's even a art museum in the area. So, tens of thousands of young people live and walk through this area every day. um and and people and the the the location and if you could this is this is a view from afar. Um people can see this uh projection from afar and it took place Friday night when the streets uh are crowded with people and the planner was meticulous. He rented a nearby um I I think it's a hotel or Airbnb or an apartment for a week. Um but he didn't live there. He set up two sets of projectors and think three surveillance cameras and quietly left China. So here here's a video. Let me play you the video. uh I think captured by one of by his surveillance camera and you can see how it rotates and then you're going to see um the police the second surveillance camera will capture the moment when the police entered the room. That's it's upcoming. So that's when the police enter the room trying to trying to it's captured by his surveillance camera. They weren't aware that they're they're being captured on the surveillance camera, but um this person um uh did an excellent job. So he um he rented this room for a week. He set up the equipment. Um he his original plan was to do the projection on the day of the military parade uh which is uh which is the the 3rd of March. I mean it's 3rd of September. Uh but then he feared um he he he feared that it's not going to be safe. The surveillance or security would be too high on the day of the parade. So he did it early. Um and then the he already he left with his family and arrived safely in the UK and after arriving there he remotely triggered the projection. Um and then the projection went on for 50 minutes. Um, so for 50 minutes the slogans blazed until the police finally arrived as you saw on in that video and his surveillance footage captured it all. Right. Um, now on August the 30th, that's today, the man revealed himself. His name is Chihong, who had been outspoken online against the CCP. and he said he knew that sooner or later he would be in trouble. Um, and this wasn't the first time he did something like this. He had done it um, a few years ago. I think it was in 2018. U, but he was lucky he wasn't caught. Um, and he he's 43 years old. He's a Buddhist. Um, and um, and he left a letter on the table in my room. Where is that letter? his his letter. He left a letter for for the police and he wrote he said my friend I don't know who you are so I'll call you friend maybe right now you see me as your enemy first of all I don't belong to any organization I've come I've come this far because I had no choice who would willing give up a good life and choose exile and hardship please don't harm the innocent don't become accompllices of evil. The CCP's crimes on this land are beyond words and beyond redemption. The party rules by lies, silences justice, and crushes anyone brave enough to stand up. In the end, the only answer is this. People must wake up and seek the truth. When everyone sacrifices a little to resist or to fight back, those bad people will no longer be able to do as they please. So, um that's pretty much his story. Um I deeply admire his courage. Unlike the other man who asked Xiinping to step down, this man saw clearly what so many miss. The CCP itself is the source of China's misery. The official inside Jonah Hai only dared call for Xiinping's removal, but Mr. Chi in Suchuan named the real culprit, the the party and the regime itself. His words were brief but straight to the point. Um although he escaped safely with his direct family, the authorities are now interrogating his mother and siblings in the countryside. Uh and then the schools in the area where this projection took place uh are are very are tense today according to the students interviewed. A large number of undercover security personnel are on site and people are not allowed to discuss this. All right. So, I thought that these dramatic cases are worthy of our attention because they broke out today within the last 24 hours and they're dramatic and they, you know, they took place right before the the military parade. So, I'm sure it's um it's on it's getting um it's making um some individuals in in Jonah nervous. Okay, now let's talk about who the next CCP leader might be. So, who is replace replacing she? Well, the answer is who is replacing she? Okay, I'm just playing with uh the name the word who, right? Who is replacing him and who is? Not long ago, um I'll give you the I'll give you the hint. I already gave you the hint. His last name is who. All right. So, Shiin traveled to Lassa to attend the 60th anniversary of the founding of the Tibet Autonomous Region or the establishment, whatever you call that. Yeah. The 60th anniversary of the founding of the the Autonomous Region of Tibet. He stayed there uh less than 24 hours uh before rushing back to Beijing, leaving other officials behind. And the most eye-catching among them, the re-emergence of the discarded crown prince Hua. Do I have a picture of him? There he is. Yeah. So, who's replacing shei? Who is replacing she? Okay. So, whose activities in Tibet suggest he may be on the verge of a comeback? Here's why. Now, instead of Xiinping himself, it was Hua who inspected the infamous Yaun or the Yalun Zampo River hydro power station. The most symbolic politically weighty project in Tibet. I should say the most geopolitically controversial project in Tibet. This massive dam was Xiinping's personal pet project. Under normal circumstances, Shuini would have toured it to showcase his own achievements or willpower. Even if his health prevented him from doing so, he should have sent a trusted loyalist, somebody like Wan Huning. Um, oh, here's the here's a picture of the river. It's beautiful. sad that they're going to ravage it uh ravage it with a a gigantic dam. So yeah, in normal situation, Xiinping would have if he can't go because he's not feeling too well, he should have sent his deputy or vice chairman, I mean vice premier, I'm sorry what I'm saying, vice premier Jang or another vice premier just to make it clear that he was still in control, right? And all the all three men uh Jang and Hurong went with him to Tibet on the trip, but none of them were chosen. Instead, instead, Huha was put front and center. And that matters in the CCP. Whoever a leader, I shouldn't say whoever, whenever a leader visits a flagship national project, it signals direct political ownership. but whose official standing didn't qualify him to inspect this project. Yet he was dispatched um overstepping his boss Wong Huning um and shadowing uh shadowing the vice premier Jang Guing who is the official in charge of this project. Um so so now think about it. Huna, the man Xiinping once suppressed so hard most fiercely. Uh the the same who whose removal from the poli bureau triggered Huin Tao's dramatic removal or ejection from the party congress in front of the world's media two years ago was suddenly given the spotlight. That alone speaks volumes about Huchuna's rising status. adding to the intrigue now's trip to uh Ningu which is the region where the dam uh is located. So his trip to this region almost exactly copied Xiinping's 2021 itinerary. Uh he toured the hydropower project. He met villagers. He inspected the Sutran Tibet railway and walked through uh a park called Gumbu Park that was like a identical itinerary um from the trip that Xiinping took three years ago or four years ago. So was that accidental or was it a deliberate symbolism? Even more telling, that very same day, People's Daily ran an editorial on the second page. Uh, where's the Here's the editorial. Let me make this bigger for you. Uh, sorry. Okay, this is Okay, here's the editorial. Um this editorial has a very interesting line. What does it say? It says um the first line, the o opening line says this. 60 years of spring blossoms and autumn fruits in Chinese spring blossoms and autumn fruits is okay. So, spring blossoms is Chunua. That's exactly Hu Chun Hua's name. So, um, yeah. So, spring blossoms directly points to Hu Chun Hua. That's his name literally means spring blossoms and autumn fruits. Was the state media hinting Huna will harvest political fruit this autumn at the fourth plenum? Nobody knows for sure. But the fact that the PLA Daily, the the military's newspaper, official newspaper also ran the same piece now on its front page, well that's no accident, you know. Well, see, Chinese editors don't slip um leaders names into party editorials without direct instruction from the propaganda department. This was deliberate. Um, an analogy would be it's like when you use the expression the trump card when discussing American politics, when discussing a trip that President Trump made recently, it's hard for people not to make reference to President Trump, right? When you use the expression the Trump card. So that's exactly what that is in Chinese. Um, and it doesn't stop there. After Tibet, Hujun Ha traveled to Chuning where he opened the Northeast Asia Expo and delivered the keynote speech. Again, he broke precedent. Since 2014, every opening has been presided over by vice level leaders with real power. Now, Huawa holds only an honorary role. Um because he's not a party leader. He's only he's not even the top CPPC vice chairman. CPPCC stands for Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference. It's a mouthful to say, but it's supposedly um an advisory board to the party. So, he's not even the first vice chairman. He's just the second vice chairman. Uh yet, he got the spotlight. Uh this was his second record-breaking appearance in less than a month after Tibet. Then came the strangest line in the official report and it says before the opening ceremony accompanied by tooured the expo pavilion and met with exhibitors. Now let me break down break that down. There are three names you heard Chinese names. Hang is the Jilling Jiling province provincial party secretary. the number one guy in the province. Uh he's also the chairman of the provincial people's congress. So he holds two titles. Huing is governor is the governor and deputy party secretary number two. And Drew Guian is chairman of the provincial CPPCC number three guy. In other words, all the top provincial leaders, the heads of party, government, legislature, and CBPCC were on hand to accompany Huchun Hua. That kind of treatment, I I actually have a picture. Yeah, there's a picture. Um, that kind of a treatment is only reserved for one person, for Xiinping, the top party leader. Now remember, Huin Hua was Xiinping's sworn rival. Um, it was widely believed that the only reason Xiinping didn't lock him up, didn't lock up Hua was purely due to Huin Tao's protection. It was said that Huin did everything he could to protect the junior who um and now suddenly he's gone from political exile to VIP treatment. The contrast is shocking in China's political world. The local leaders are hyper sensitive to who's rising and who's falling because their own future depend depends on picking up picking the right side. So if Xiinp is in power, there's no way the top three provincial leaders would all come out to keep Huna a company. I mean, first of all, Huin Hua wouldn't be given this chance um in the first place. And now we get to the leaks. Um there's a political commentator, his name is Tanging and he said that according to his sources, not just one, two, um two sources close to the top and they've confirmed that Xiinping has already been stripped of power and Hua together with Wang Yang will take the reigns in the post Xi era. There, there they are. because there have been so much speculations about who's going to um uh who's going to step in to fill to fill the vacancies because right now I think there's a power vacuum. Nobody is in charge right now. This is the scary part. People say nobody's in charge of the CCP right now and they're just giving random orders and depending on who you give the orders to and who and whether or not they carry them out, you know, random things are happening. So anyways, according to um Mr. Tom, one source, someone with very close ties to a vice state level leader in Chinese, that's fi vice state level. That's just one level under Xiinping, right? So the they told him that Xiinping has already been stripped of power. He holds no authority. They're only waiting for the right moment to announce it. Whether Xiinping will be pushed into semi-retirement or completely ousted wasn't specified. But one thing was certain. Uh she is sidelined. right now he's just an actor keeping up the facade of stability. A second insider back it up and according to that source the succession has been basically settled. Okay, here's here's the here's the twist. Huh and Wang will take over. um within their circles the consensus is that who will become the party secretary the secretary general of the party while Wong Yang takes the premiership. Now this is different from what we believed previously. It was believed that Wang would lead the party and Hujun Ha will be the premier because Hujun Hua lacks the experience to take the top job. um because he's not even currently in the police bureau. But remember I told you one has a condition. If he takes the top party role, he wants to control he wants control of the military as well. And that complicates things because it's hard to imagine Jang Yuan not staying at the top of the military. So maybe this H Wong pairing is the compromise. Wang is more willing to focus on resuscitating the economy, agrees to take the premiership. Hua, weaker and without military command, becomes the party leader. So, it balances everything. Um, the league said that this personnel change has already been communicated to the provincial leaders level. So that explains why these the top three provincial leaders of Jiling all came out uh to keep Huen Hua company. Now with all that said, the CCP's political future is riddled with uncontrollable variables. We still don't know what will happen. Um and one of the biggest variables is Xiinping's health. No one knows what could happen next. Even if Hu Chun Hua and Wyang take over, they'll be feeling their way forward step by step, but their greatest challenge, in my opinion, isn't policy tweaks or uh token reforms. It's the regime itself. This antihumanity rotten system has already entered garbage time. Anyone with independent thought can see the writing on the war. Um the real test to them is whether they have the courage to end it. To cling to the party and try to save it is selfdestructive and doomed to fail. The best example is Xiinping himself. He is the perfect example to illustrate that point. When Xiinping came to power initially, he held a winning hand. a booming economy, broad public support, and a favorable international environment. Yet, in his in his obsession with saving the party, he squandered every advantage until he ended up where he is today. Um, so it all depends on what the who one duel would do. Giving up the CCP may look like the hardest choice. In truth, it's the simplest solution to everything. I think it's the the the best solution. It's the easiest. Um because it's what people want. Anyways, um so that's my talk for tonight. I know there not everyone is convinced that Xiinping has lost power. There's still a lot many people who believe that he's still very much in control. Um but here's my argument. Um even if Huna is not the successor or the appointed successor but all these strange uh the highprofile publicity or high-profile events that Hujun Hua attended even even if it they don't mean that Huna is the next leader the the the sheer fact that he is so active taking these high-profile visits um and being given all these attention is not something that Xiinping would want to see. I mean there's no way I mean if there's one person that Xiinping really wants to suppress that is Huha. Um even remember month ago when when they asked for his opinion about uh Hujun Hua versus Wong Yang you know he even Xiinping preferred Wang as the leader he just didn't like Hua at all. So even if Huha is not the successor, it still indicates all these events, the me the publicity I just showed you still indicates that Xiinping no longer has full control because there's no way if he had any choice, if he had any say, he wouldn't allowed so much ex uh so much limelight to be given to Hua. So still, it still means that Xiinping is on his way out. Um yeah, I know that not everyone agrees with me. It's okay. Um everyone has their logic and and uh their own reasoning. I think that's that's good. It's a it's it's a healthy dialogue. It's a healthy debate. But from my perspective on all these strange very unusual uh publicity around Huna could only could only mean one thing in in in the in the in such a highly controlled regime. It could only mean one thing. I I can't come up with a second explanation. Um so with that said I wrap up my talk. All right. Let me see. All right. Well, let me take a sip of water. Let's see. All right. If you have questions for me, put my name in front so I know it's addressed to me. Otherwise, I'll quickly go through the super stickers. Um, all right. I think I I saw some flying by. Always always late. Always late. Okay. All right. Wes Downer. Wes Downer. Oh, okay. Well, thank you. I hope I'm pronouncing your name correctly. All right. Let's see questions. I'm going to pick up um some random questions. Uh there are Let's see. Someone say, "You're repeating the same fake news again and again, but you but you you enjoy listening to it again and again. Okay. All right. Okay. Wow. The lot of um lively discussions. Okay. Here's a question. I hope it's a question. Okay. Here's a no question. Okay. Excellent. Well, we have some wumalo here tonight, aren't we? Do we have some wum here? Okay. Okay. Wow. There's uh no no questions today. Okay. Here you here we go. Lei, are you familiar with the Great Wall of China conspiracy of the reverse arrow? They seem to indicate at some point the Great Wall was used to keep the people in. What I'm not familiar with, well, the Great Wall was built to prevent uh invaders from coming in. So, it is used to keep people in. So, I'm not quite sure what you mean by the conspiracy. Uh, it is it is used to prevent invaders. Yeah, it's a natural it's a fortress built. Okay. All right. Let's see. Okay. Someone says, "Tell it like it like it is. Let your truth be known. I did. That's what I did tonight. All right. Somebody is is is very motivated tonight. All right. Someone said, "Lay, you've made a sound argument." Good. Lei, what do you think will happen in Venezuela? Uh, I don't know. I haven't followed the development there, but I know that the US send um uh a a military uh uh a navy vessel near there. I haven't really tried to keep up with it, but I I know that. But one thing that's good is the the head of uh the Venezuelan um president is not coming to Beijing to attend the military parade. He did 10 years ago. um he did 10 years ago in 2015 and for the 70th anniversary, but not this time. Maybe he's busy dealing with his own crisis. Um at least he's not going. Someone asked me what happens after the transition is who more liberal? Uh people have mixed opinions about him. uh some people do not like him because he has caved in in the past to his his superior. Um but I think you can't judge people by what they have done in the past. Although most people do that, I think you have to because in the communist system, I mean officials like they they don't have any background. They come from ordinary families. So they have to follow the official narratives to to get a to get ahead. So now the question is when he does become the top guy, what is he going to do? uh is he I'm sure the vision that the Huton Hua hadif 50 years I shouldn't say 50 30 years ago uh for his country is is not the China we see today so the question is will he you know fulfill his dream will he follow his you know aspiration to really um lead China the way he has envisioned and dreamed of in his youth or after all these years of political struggle he has been brainwashed uh just like one of them and he cannot think outside the box. So so it you know the question is is that spark still alive in his heart to do the right thing for his people that's the question. Um I mean it doesn't matter how many wrong things you've done in your life. It sometimes it all matters is the one right thing that you do uh at a very late late stage in your life. That's what matters and that's where you'll be remembered. Um so I don't look at I don't judge people by what they have done in the past because if you look at people's track records you kind of assume that they are certain ways and then you uh you have predicted their proje their uh trajectory of of of the future. So, but I don't think we to be fair, we shouldn't look at people that way, especially for politicians in politicians coming out of the CCP system because their hands are tied. They can do what they really wanted to do. So now the question is, do they have the courage to finally do what they are here to do? Is that spark still alive in their chest? That's what matters and I hope they do. Um, so I always think positively. Um, the fact that he's not a princling makes me feel better. Um, yeah, the fact that this duel, none of them, they're they're just from ordinary people's family. I think they make me feel better. People have a more favorable view of Wang Yang because he's more open. He's done some great things in the past. I mean such as he made the official statement that people's desire people should not attribute their good life to uh to the to the government right so people should not attribute their good life or improved living conditions to to the to their government you know and that's a very bold statement he made so um So, we'll see. We'll see what happens. Matthew Morgan. Well, thank you, Matthew. Thank you. All right. Um, William Thompson, if she has no power, why are the trade talks stalling out? And and why won't the CCP cave in? Because they hold no leverage because there's a power vacuum. The old um the old school master is is out or on his way out. He's not doing anything. And the new school master isn't isn't fully hasn't settled down yet. So, um, yeah, I mean, they just came out, they just came back from the summer retreat, uh, at the Bah and now they're dealing with this military parade. Um, so I I don't think we're going to hear anything. That's why Trump Trump knows this. That's why he postponed the trade talk for another 90 days until they hold the fourth plenum. It's going to be until October. And that's exactly when the CCP holds the next uh platinum. I think not until the platinum we're not going to see um we're not going to see any anyone you know assuming taking on any responsibility to deal with international trade. Yeah. Okay. Um, what do you think of Modi? She cheat sheet talks in Beijing today. Um, well the 50 Trump's 50% tax is on India. I don't think I don't think it's going to accomplish much because first of all Xiinping is just going to read the script. I think these are just symbolic gesture to keep the talks going to make the public oh I need to tell you this despite the fact that Xiinping has lost power and the new leadership has pretty much been formed. Um, I heard that Huin Tao firmly believes that they should not show any signs of division within the party because he believes that if if that division is shown to the outside world and also to to their own people, if this division within the top leadership is known um to the public, then the regime could collapse. And so because of that, they're all doing their share to act such as um Janga, you know, publicly acknowledging that Xiinping, you know, mentioning Xiinping in his speech. So they're all doing their share to to act to put on the show um to put on a show of unity um because they're right. I mean, Huin is right. If they let the Chinese people know that there's a severe division um at the top, then people can rise up. Yeah. Um so going back to your question, so I do not think the Modi Xi talks in Beijing uh will accomplish anything. I don't think the CCP will accomplish anything before the fourth platinum. I think there it's it's everything is in suspension mode right now. That's my feeling. Okay, here's a question forwarded from Chris from four Morris family le what happens after the transition is who more liberal? I already answered that question. Uh here's a question from forget forget it 4900 lei. Is the flooding in China due to poor planning or is it just the abnormal wet year? It's both. Um it's both, but I think it has to do more it has more to do with poor planning. U yeah that's the short answer. All right. Um, you said someone seek the truth. You said last time that Wuni has flipped sides. Can you expound please? He's evil to the core. He is. This man looks looks evil. I mean, he was called the mo most dangerous man in the world. Uh, I'm not surprised that he jumped shipped. Look, the fact that he had served three uh CCP leaders from Jenzaming to Huin Tao to Shiin Ping and they kept him um they kept him as as their advisor or chief chief strategist. That's that means that this this man has no principle. He's um what we Chinese say to he just um flip-flop, you know. He's um, you know, he does whatever his boss asks him to do. So, I'm not surprised that he flips. He's not going to um he's not going to be loyal to Xiinping when he realizes that he is on his way out. So, I'm not surprised that he's he has flipped, but that doesn't mean that he still has a future. And anyone who has any moral sense could tell that this man is not to be trusted. Um, okay. Any more update of for the third? Oh, any more update for the third the military parade? Oh my goodness. There's just so much rumors going on about what's happening in the PLA. Um, I need to do a separate program on that. the I think the internal resentment towards Xiinping being the one to inspect the troops is so high that I think John is finally worrying about what's going to happen because there's a strong push back um from the PLA that they don't want Xiinping to to be the one inspecting the troops but he is the one take a look at all the leaders coming I mean Kim Jong-un is going to be there Putin is going to be there. The the um the the what the the prime minister or the president of Iran will be there and not the supreme leader, not the spiritual leader, but the what the the president. So, they're all going to be there. And if you are Huna, if you're Wang or or if you're Jua, do you want to be the one inspecting the troops? Of course not. Right. So they it's it's it's a terrible job to do to to be um oh actually I heard that Xiinping will be standing uh on his right will be Putin on his left will be King Jong- uh because Huin will not be there. If you look at the parade in 2015, so he has the foreign dignitaries on one side and then the CCP party elders to his left on the other side like Jenzaming was next to him and next to Jenzaming was Huin Tao. So Jenzamin died. So Huin will be the next uh the highest ranking CCP leader. Um but who is not going to be there? And not only that, I think like Wing Jabo, other party elders wouldn't want to be there either because they're trying to avoid I think Kim Jong-un and and Putin as well if they label themselves as the reformists who try to rebuild relationship with the West. So they're probably not going to be there or they want to be standing in the back row. So what I heard is Xiinping will be uh so they're going to rearrange the the the the seating chart. So Shiin will be in the center, Putin will be on his right and King Jam will be on his left and yeah they will probably go like that. They'll put the foreign dignitaries around Xiinping. They're going to put the CCP leaders somewhere in the back. I think all the CCP leaders if they still want to have a role in the next administration or in the post Xiinping era, they don't want to be in that role. They want to be in the back row. So um so I think John has the mission impossible. On the one hand, he does not want to be the one inspecting the troops for this kind of lineup. On the other hand, his troops are saying that we don't want Xiinping to be inspecting us. So that's why he came out to give a speech uh to say oh we need to study Xiinping you know we need to follow chairman X shei blah blah blah I think sort of as a appeasement you know trying to calm his troops to say look if I could follow Xiinping I'm sure you can do a I'm sure you can do a parade you know for my sake let's just let's just do this so it's it's it's getting very interesting you know the all If you look at the guest list, you know, if John is smart, he doesn't want to inspect the troops. So, it's awful, awful setup for Xiinping. Think about it. Anyways, I mean, that's why CCP politics is so interesting because it's full of twists and turns and you you can't even predict what's going to come out. What's good could be bad, what's bad could be good. you know, it's very elusive. Um, yeah. All right, that's I've talked a lot tonight and uh I should end it early. Uh, Michael and C. Well, thank you, Michael, for the super stickers and uh I will end it here. How's that? Enjoy the rest of your weekend and I'll see you next week. All right. Bye.