金門又現漁船翻覆！ 共軍包圍金門意欲何為？ 美軍最新一招死死掐住中共海軍咽喉！北京的算盤落空 迎來最強反擊！ #臺海風雲

The CCP's counterattack on Kinmen Island in the Taiwan Strait I didn't expect it to come so fast Can Xi Jinping's step-by-step gray zone action work? What kind of scheme is behind the incident in the South China Sea? Why did the U.S. military take the CCP's marines' throat in the latest and most accurate move at this time? Why did Taiwan take the initiative to change the definition of the first stage? What consequences will it bring to the Taiwan Strait situation in the future? Here's the latest news On March 14, at 6 a.m., just a month before the incident in Kinmen on February 14, a Chinese-class fishing boat, Fujian Zhangzhou's Minlong Fishing Boat No. 61222, sank 1.1 miles southwest of Kinmen's Dongding Island. Six Chinese members of the boat sank into the sea. Taiwan and China sent people to rescue them separately. Two people were rescued, two fishermen died, and two people went missing. There are only 130,000 residents in Kinmen. It takes a few minutes to get to Xiamen, China, but it's still a long way to go. Since 1949, Kinmen has long been a place where the Kuomintang and the Communist Party fight fiercely. From the battle of Guningtou in Kinmen to the Battle of Balsan, the two sides have been at each other's throats. They can't even hold a piece of land. The Chinese army not only did not take any advantage, but also lost troops and fell. Until the implementation of the reform and opening up of the mainland in 1979, Kinmen gradually became the forefront of cross-strait economic and trade exchanges. But in recent years, with the gradual tightening of the gray-bottomed team of the Xi regime, Kinmen has once again become the forefront of fierce cross-strait conflicts. Especially on February 14, Valentine's Day, near Kinmen, a three-wheeled ship of China's illegal cross-strait was hit by a Taiwan seaport ship and overturned. It was being used by the CCP to make a big article, to convert it into an attitude of encirclement to China's foreign policy against Taiwan. It seems that this pair of quarrelsome, discordant enemies can only be enemies forever. After the incident of the Kinmen shipwreck, the Chinese Communist Party decided to change again. Zhu Fenglian, the spokesman for the National Taiwan Affairs Office, said that the Taiwan issue was rude to leave the mainland, and caused two fishermen to suffer a terrible accident. He also said that there was no such thing as a so-called ban on restricted waters. Song Tao, director of the National Taiwan Affairs Office, on February 19, met with the vice chairman of the Kuomintang in China, Xia Liyan, and criticized the people's government for being cruel and cold-blooded. It is obvious that the Chinese Communist Party is not letting go of this matter, and wants to take advantage of it. So there was the captain of the Taiwan Maritime Force, Zhou Meiwu, on March 4, said that since the famous incident in February, there have been 6 to 11 Chinese ships every day encircling Kinmen Island, 5 kilometers from mainland China. These are not only maritime ships, but also seabed ships and other ships. The purpose is to encircle Kinmen. But Beijing did not expect the consequences of the collision to come so soon. Taiwan Defense Minister Qiu Guozheng, on March 7, said that the national army has changed its first-level requirements. As long as the communist army's physical aircraft cross the line, it will be regarded as the first-level aircraft, and will immediately counterattack. The CCP's first-level aircraft, which was previously recognized by Taiwan, must be opened by the CCP's first gun or first cannon before counterattacking. This was particularly obvious during the visit to Taiwan by the former U.S. House Speaker Pelosi. At that time, the national army found that there were Chinese drones in Kinmen. The reason why there was no fight was that there was no evidence. Qiu Guozheng pointed out that as long as there are physical objects, including aircraft, seabed, and drones, they must be handled. And the principle of handling is still the same. The CCP's first-level aircraft must be changed. If the CCP does not cooperate with the cross-border, it must have a response. In other words, the national army's policy has changed since then. As long as the CCP crosses the red line, Taiwan has the right to launch first. It can shoot first. If you have the courage, come and try. The truth is also the bottom line. And it hasn't been long since the collision. The CCP's seaboat crashed straight into the Philippines. The CCP's seaboat crashed straight into the Philippines. On March 5, a Chinese seaboard collided with the Philippine Coast Guard at a base in the South China Sea to carry out a military supply mission. The Philippine seaboard was damaged. The air force announced that the CCP's seaboard was damaged and dangerous. The CCP's seaboard crashed. However, the CCP's seaboard countered the illegal invasion of the Philippines and ignited the war again. According to the picture released by the Philippine Coast Guard, the Chinese seaboat kept approaching the Philippine supply ship and did not move until it crashed. It can also be seen that when the two ships were about to crash, the Philippine crew took emergency measures to prevent the collision. But at the moment of the collision, the Chinese seaboard crew was already prepared to stand upright and hold the camera to shoot the whole process. On the same day, March 5, another Philippine ship was sent to the second Thomas Shipyard to carry out a military supply mission. However, the Philippine Coast Guard was harassed and stopped by Chinese naval troops and seaboards. This second Thomas Shipyard is an international common name. In the Philippines, it is called Ayunjin Shipyard. In China, it is called Renai Bridge. Its historical background is that the Philippines once sent an old tank transport ship from the Second World War to the Philippines in 1999. It was the second Thomas Shipyard in the South China Sea where there was a territorial sovereignty dispute between the Philippines and China. And the ships were stationed on the ship to strengthen Marina's claim to this shipyard. For many years, the Beijing authorities have been asking the Philippines to remove the ships from the shipyard, but they were refused by the Philippines. Therefore, China launched a naval ship to block the second Thomas Shipyard near the sea to prevent the Philippines from sending troops to assist in the tank transport ship to provide oxygen, especially to maintain the military ship as well as the necessary building materials. The Chinese naval ship and the Philippine ship in the vicinity of the sea have been in conflict for more than a year. As for the CCP's provocation, the U.S. will not sit idly by. The Philippines is the longest-standing treaty in U.S. history in Asia. Soon, U.S. State Department Spokesperson Matthew Miller said in a statement, The U.S. reaffirms the 1951 United States-Philippines Joint Defense Treaty, Article 4, which covers any place in the South China Sea for the Philippine Armed Forces, public ships or aircraft, including its coast guard armed attacks on ships and aircraft. And the U.S. doesn't just sit idly by. The Japan Times reported on the 9th that the Philippine island province of Badan, Kaikou, is going to build a military port in the Yami Island in the northernmost island of the Philippines, which is expected to become one of the places where the U.S. and the Philippines will conduct their annual military exercises in April and May. Philippine Navy Commander Adachi said on the 9th that the Philippines needs to further improve its ability and enhance its protection to deal with potential conquest or invasion threats. The island province of Badan, Kaikou, is planned to accommodate Philippine workers who flee Taiwan once the Taiwan Strait crisis breaks out. Taiwan has more than 150,000 Philippine workers. Although Badan, the northernmost island province of the Philippines, is only the smallest province in Africa, its geographical location is extremely important. Badan is less than 200 kilometers from Taiwan. These islands are the Bashi Strait, which is made up of the southernmost island of Taiwan, and is a coastal road between the West Pacific and the South China Sea. Bashi Strait is a key waterway for the Chinese Communist Party to invade Taiwan. If the Chinese Communist Party wants to encircle the east of Taiwan and blockade Taiwan, it can only take the Bashi Strait and the Gonggu Strait, which are one south and one north, as two necessary waterways. In fact, if we look at the map carefully, we will find that there is another island called Babyan Island in the south of Badan Island. Further south is Lusong Island. Between Badan Island and Babyan Island is the Balintan Strait. Between Babyan Island and Lusong Island is the Babyan Strait. These three straits are combined to form the Lusong Strait. The purpose of establishing a military base on this island is extremely obvious. It is equivalent to the throat of the communist navy. If the communist army wants to create the first island chain, it must break through this waterway. But it's easy to impeach. Philippine University maritime expert Jay Baton-Bakar said, the port in the mud can be the worst. Why? He said, if I were a Communist strategist, I would at least want to take Badan Island to ensure the control of the Lusong Strait and use the island to prevent the enemy's navy from approaching. Because it's too important. Last year, the number of military bases that the US military could enter in the Philippines almost doubled. And at any given time, thousands of US troops were stationed in the country, taking turns to enter and exit to conduct joint training exercises. The CCP has now found that the shackles on its neck are getting tighter and tighter by the US military step by step. Okay, before we enter the second half of the show, please like, comment and share this show to encourage us to make better shows. New friends, please subscribe and turn on the little bell. Let's watch a short video first. Is Taiwan Chinese? In fact, every time I talk about this topic, I am very confused. I think there is no doubt that Taiwan province is indeed Chinese. This argument is meaningless. If Taiwan really wants to be independent, I will be the first to stand up against it. We must respect history. Whether it's Macau province, Hong Kong province, Taiwan province, Japan province, Korea province, even I think the earth belongs to China. There is no such thing as a wall. Because no matter which country we are in, sorry, it's a province. We see the words made in China everywhere. This made in China, that made in China. Even the iPhone you use was invented by the Chinese. There are dragon descendants everywhere. When I traveled to New York, China last year, I found that there were more people who could speak Chinese than I imagined. Even the Chinese speaking in the southwest was more fluent than me. At that moment, I was moved to tears. I have never been so proud. China's 5,000-year-old culture can be spread all over the world. Dang. It's indescribable. Once there was a compatriot. He told me to go back to China. At that moment, I heard it was very bad. Didn't I already live in my motherland, Malaysia? Whether it's Chinese, foreigners, Africans, Jews, or even aliens, we are all Chinese. This is an unchanging fact. I won't tell you these things. Life is the people of the world. Death is the soul of Wuhan. The accident in Wuhan, I think the purpose is to unite us, the family of the world. I really thank you. Next, I will share with my friends an article published by the U.S. Asian News website by the geopolitical scholar Hondara. The article says, China is closely monitoring the war in Ukraine. To learn lessons from the long-lasting war in Taiwan. At the beginning of the war in Ukraine, Russia tried to take over Kiev through a flash war. But it was not easy. Not enough preparation, plus Ukraine's resistance, and failure. Later, the war became the first world war-like war. It paid a terrible price for material and manpower. The research report from the West points out, Beijing passed the Recruiting Regulations in 2023, authorizing Chinese leaders to adjust the recruitment during the war, and recall the terms and conditions for the withdrawal of military service. China's new recruitment measures may show that Beijing is considering the possibility of a heavy, slow war in the Indo-Pacific region. Because it may not be able to achieve the speed of attack predicted by some analysts in the attack on Taiwan. The analysis report of the U.S. state-owned Land Company in June 2023 points out, Taiwan is the most likely to be defeated in the first 90 days of the invasion of China. Because Taiwan is in a military disadvantage, long-term resistance to the enemy, it is necessary for the United States to intervene in order to push China's invasion in this period of time. It is different from the analysis I gave you before. The analysis said that the Chinese Communist Party should at least mobilize 100,000 troops. According to the report of Land Company, the Communist Army may need at least 300,000 to 400,000 troops to land in Taiwan, in order to carry out rapid air strikes and missile strikes to eliminate Taiwan's civil and military leadership and quickly take over Taiwan. But if the attack fails, the People's Liberation Army may have to send more than 2 million troops to Taiwan, including police and military personnel, in order to ensure a 3-to-5-to-1 advantage over the garrison. However, the CCP's annual decrease in the number of people and aging human resources may make the formation of such an army extremely challenging in terms of recruiting high-skilled, physically and mentally healthy soldiers. Because with the modernization of the Communist army's equipment, it requires highly educated and skilled operators. Chinese culture does not look up to the military career. In addition, the long-term impact of military corruption, the single-child policy, and the relatively difficult military life compared to a better literary career, all lead to a shortage of Chinese military personnel. The Communist army needs to find a way to make the military career attractive to Chinese young people, provide skills and opportunities that can be used outside the army, and ensure competitive pay. China has lost a lot of Russian tanks in the Ukrainian war. This is a lesson that is hard to remember. It is noteworthy that the U.S. military may face a major military loss in Taiwan. A report from the Western Intelligence Agency's Strategic and International Research Center says that if Beijing invades Taiwan in 2026, it will lose 138 warships, 155 aircraft, and 52,000 ground troops. Of course, although the losses are huge, China has a huge advantage in terms of its military career. It seems that it is ready to use up the war. Last year, more than half of the world's commercial ships came from China. Europe accounted for only 5% of the world's production. The U.S. has almost no contribution. China's shipbuilding industry benefits from a huge amount of commercial work, which allows it to quickly build new ships and repair war-damaged ships when the scale reaches the production rate of war. Analysts say that since 2014, the number of warships, amphibious and auxiliary warships built by China has exceeded the total number of warships built by the U.S. Navy. China will increase the number of warships built by the U.S. Navy equivalent to the number of warships built by the British Royal Navy every four years. China has 13 naval shipbuilding plants. Each shipbuilding plant has a total of more than seven naval shipbuilding plants in the U.S. U.S. budget cuts have caused technical workers to be fired. Their skills cannot be replaced. Lack of new shipbuilding facilities also makes U.S. warships repair longer in shipbuilding plants. Shipbuilding plants lack the power to increase production, resulting in the loss of skilled workers, technical knowledge and distributors. Although the U.S. Navy is part of a larger ecosystem, with platforms across multiple fields, network space and natural resources, it is an effective joint force with technical advantages. But the number is often better than the short-term technical advantage. From the Battle of Borobudnitsa to the 28 battles of the Cold War, 25 battles were won by number of warships, and only three battles were won by technical advantages. However, I think this report is a little too exaggerated for the CCP's naval and shipbuilding forces. Western scholars often exaggerate the strength of their opponents. If the U.S. really wants to fight the CCP, it will definitely enter a war system. The strong back-up industrial ability that has been triggered by the military and the people is beyond imagination. Just like during the World War II, after the Pearl Harbor incident in 1941, the U.S. warfare to 1942, the U.S. can produce 470,000 aircraft a year, 30,000 tanks, and an average of 128 aircraft and 82 tanks a day. This is equivalent to the number of aircraft and tanks that can be equipped with three U.S. Air Force teams and one U.S. Armored Troop on the production line every day. In 1942, more than 500 tanks were lost in the British-Arab war. It doesn't matter. The U.S. temporarily replenished 600 new tanks, and Germany lost more than 400 tanks. After the war, there was no ability to replenish them. In the famous Romandy landing operation, the Allied forces launched tens of thousands of aircraft, just like the war horse that covered the sky. Germany only had more than 400 aircraft. How do you fight this war? Before World War II, Japan independently developed and built the world's most advanced aircraft carrier and warship. Before World War II, Japan built 29 aircraft carriers and warships. However, in front of the U.S. aircraft carrier and warship, these are all crap. From the outbreak of the Pacific War on December 7, 1941 to August 15, 1945, the U.S. built a total of 147 aircraft carriers, of which 113 were light escort aircraft carriers. Let's calculate. The U.S. produced 36 aircraft carriers every year. Second, no matter how powerful the Chinese Communist Party's shipbuilding industry is, it can't withstand the U.S. military's targeted bombing. If we really want to fight, with the strength of the U.S. military, we can destroy the Chinese Communist Party's years of accumulated shipbuilding skills in a few days. At that time, what can be supplemented? It's impossible for you to fly the plane to the opposite side of the Pacific and bomb Newport Harbor, right? Then how do you fight this long-term war and the war of consumption? Aren't these questions enough for Xi Jinping to drink a pot? Okay, that's it for today's show. If you have any comments about me, please leave a message to discuss. I'm Liu Yanshan. See you next time.