This is THE week... NFL Game Picks for Week 5 of the 2026 NFL Season | Records Predictions

Today we are choosing our game picks for week number 5 of the 2026 NFL season. If you guys are new, feel free to like, comment, and subscribe. Let's get right into this. Currently we are sitting at a very dead even 24-24 record. I started out red hot with an 11-5 week, then I ended up only getting 6 wins the next. This past week I was only minus 2 compared to the average, but ended up almost getting a nice upset victory there with Las Vegas didn't end up getting that one but that would have turned the tide I feel like that would have been a really good victory but let's get into this starting out with the Dallas Cowboys hosting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to me this is a quick and simple and easy one that means the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will probably win but the Dallas Cowboys are going to take home the W there they're a much better team I'm glad to see them win a really strong bout against the Texans the Texans just as a whole are very underperforming and that's kind of sucky to see as a team that I thought might actually make a strong push this year but Dallas being able to make a strong impression there and you know they're pretty much a one field goal away from being four and one at this point which is quite a good place to be next game we have Philadelphia and Jacksonville this game I believe is in Jacksonville like if I end up pulling it up and seeing if it's going to be the london game it is a london game which is still home for jacksonville but you don't have to worry about the the muggy weather and all that uh jacksonville still kind of at home they're red hot right now philadelphia somehow fleeced a second round pick from the baltimore ravens but you know honestly it it makes a lot of sense i'm going to go after the jacksonville jaguars here again it's like a home game to them like that's the whole entire point they're so used to london at this point philadelphia there's a lot of things that are dysfunctional in the organization right now in my opinion I don't personally think Jalen hurts the future I've kind of had that opinion for a while based on my way too early mock drafts always having QBs for him but I still think that the Jaguars have just proven me dead wrong I've had some other picks that have been pretty damn good so I'm happy being wrong about the Jags because I have enough people who I like who are Jags fans so you know if there's a team to be wrong about it's actually one that's more of an underdog and I like that quite a bit rather than one that's kind of overrated given my stellar track record with upsets I'm still looking for my marquee upset victory and this week I'm calling the New York Giants to beat the Washington Commanders given all of Washington's quarterback injuries I do think this is a prime opportunity for a team that has scrapped out quite a few close but quality wins to end up doing so again if we check it out over on CallSheet, the New York Giants only have a 38% chance to win. If you were to choose for them to win, which is nice on CallSheet because you just click yes on the New York Giants winning and you put $25 down, when you use the code HMS or you click that link in the description to make it easy, you will get $55 added to your account instantly. So worst case scenario, the Washington Commanders end up beating the Giants. You still net 30 positive. But if the Giants pull off the upset, which I'm praying they do, you end up getting almost a hundred and ten dollars just for putting twenty five down. So make sure to go and use that code when you do sign up, when you trade twenty five. I do really like Koshy because this is peer to peer trading. So these numbers are not designed and set by a sports book. This is peer to peer because it's based on what people's opinions are. And I think people's opinions are going to change as there are certain things like Stefan Diggs not showing up to practice that can end up shifting what their opinion is so take advantage of the odds while they are good like this go use that code HMS when signing up and using that $25 to get 55 add to your account instantly all right the bout of the 0 and 4 underwhelming teams the Houston Texans and the Tennessee Titans the Titans have been pretty close they're back back-to-back games both I believe were about one score I think it was 18 to 24 versus the Ravens. And then of course they had that bad interception to have them lose versus the Giants. I don't think they're as bad as the record really suggests, but neither are the Houston Texans. And in my opinion, it's put up or shut up time for the Texans. It's very intriguing to see if they do lose, how this would end up panning out. I'm going to have the Texans get their first win of the year. I just think that they're a better team, even though they just haven't been able to put it all together the Cincinnati Bengals the only time I end up rooting against my Steelers they always Steelers always end up putting some belt to ass and of course it's AFC North so I probably should have expected it Miami you are in Miami that that is upset potential but I don't think after losing two in a row the Bengals are going to be in that mood to lose their third in a row to Miami Dolphins of all so we're going to go after the Cincinnati Bengals here it's just The Dolphins aren't put together enough, but I still really like the pieces I've seen. Chris Bell was a toe out of bounds from being, you know, able to have a really strong, big performance with an extended play for a touchdown. So there's a lot of things to like about Miami right now. Blake Wills looks really good. I feel very comfortable with where they're at, but it doesn't mean that it's going to equate to wins. Vegas goes to New England. New England ends up pulling off a really strong comeback. And I believe in my last video, I ended up saying this is come, this is a, you know, upset potential in division, but this is going to be a very interesting game. The Vegas Raiders have been able to produce a lot with very little. The Patriots do have some pretty crucial injuries that could be affecting whether they're going to perform at maximum potential. I do think that, you know, usually when you have a really high, high, like a big upset, you usually end up seeing them take a dip rather than maintain that momentum. I'm going to call an upset and I'm still going to believe in the Raiders here. They're going to pull off the upset versus the New England Patriots. And the coach of the year last year in Vrabel is going to be beaten by, in my opinion, the coach of the year this year in Kubiak. That was my selection. Some of my other ones have not come to fruition, but some I had a good feel on. And luckily, I feel like the Raiders and I always have a good vibe. Like maybe maybe one day we can end up talking about like doing something with Las Vegas Raiders. That'd be a cool dream because I got enough people who are around that I end up listening to that are big Raiders fans. They've taught me a lot and it's an organization I've like continually crept in terms of my interest in my life and love for, so to speak. All right, Minnesota, New Orleans, New Orleans just took a belt and there's like, I think it was Pauly Market putting up the video of Pennix giving belt to Tyler Shuck. You can't stand on that. and a hurricane's coming in, like, to the Gulf, I think it's put-up-or-shut-up time for them, too, because they're a team that came out red-hot, and they haven't been able to do much since. They need to get that momentum. Minnesota's been winning games, but it's pretty clear, Kyler Murray, everybody's like, this is not our franchise quarterback. In my opinion, there's going to be a chance that they don't necessarily end up, you know, maintaining this momentum. And so we're going to call an upset with the New Orleans Saints beating the Minnesota Vikings this week. then we have the cleveland browns playing the new york jets the browns are on a heater the jets tyson bay like all of a sudden ben johnson pulls everything out of the bag to keep the the bears in line and just you know continue kicking ass love that right i mean again i'm like over two on like these are my picks of the week granted i did say it was a game where i didn't think the jets were going to win but you know gave that floor for the call sheet being like you know you're still got net positive 30 at the very minimum but still still sad you know it still sucks to see that uh but yeah the Jets are still a very good team I think they could pull off an upset here undoubtedly but I do think that the Cleveland Browns are just they're a little bit too consistent you look at their edge rushers the top 10 edge rushers the NFL right now for pressure rate to the top 10 are from the Browns and neither are Jared Burse so shout out to Isaiah McGuire is as many times you can get on me for Braden Swinson you can always I can always counter with Isaiah McGuire there will always be that aspect but um jokes aside I think the Cleveland Browns are just a very they're they're a team with momentum and a floor to where Deshaun doesn't necessarily need to elevate but it looks like Todd Munkin's system really has worked for him and I'd be excited to see what an actually better quarterback would do in this system all right next game we have Indianapolis going to Pittsburgh I just don't believe in Indy never have I've always wanted I had my hot take was the Jets would have a better selection than the Colts would which means the highest pick of the Jets would be the Colts and I'm gonna stick to it Pittsburgh they end up having a really scrappy battle for an AFC North bout but at the end of the game we started seeing the offense open up and allow the players to play the way that they should play I feel like it was a very sluggish first half and we finally got to see what this team could do it was finally like the light flickered so we're gonna have the Pittsburgh Steelers win at home versus Indianapolis Washington Commanders playing the New York Giants of course Washington had all their injuries so I'm gonna have that be a minute reason as to why I was wrong about them but I think the New York Giants they're a they're a scrappy team and again this is an in-division game we'll see how everything plays out jayden's don't throw in some balls but i mean honestly i think the new york giants are going to continue to be able to scrap out some quality victories here even if they're not beautiful i think they still end up taking the w number or excuse me the next game we have denver in los angeles denver loses a pretty close one to the chart or excuse me to the niners they're staying in california i think this could be the chargers bounce back game but with joe alt having his injury run this team is just too good so we're gonna have denver go and beat the chargers there at home again my prediction of the chargers being the lowest and or the worst team in the division is coming to fruition it's funny because i did the records predictions and i still wasn't able to make that happen but my hot takes end up working out so some things work some things don't chicago green bay um i mean chicago's in such a heater but granted green bay it's lambeau field we could see the resurgence of green bay i will end up going with chicago here though they just provide a floor like again you lose the minnesota when everything you don't get the game plan you don't get to have the reps in there with your backups there's definitely that element of where they got caught off guard that i can give them a little slack for and flores going up against an unprepared offense can be a nightmare but outside of that they've really shown up and in my opinion Green Bay has just been extraordinarily sluggish so I'm going to end up going with Chicago there Detroit at Arizona um upset alert for Arizona they could end up pulling off the dub here gonna be completely honest I think the Detroit Lions are an absolute ---- show but they do have a reputation of hold whereas Arizona in my opinion doesn't we're gonna have detroit pulling the w there but again watch out for this one being an upset territory then we have san francisco playing the seattle seahawks and san fran has just been really consistent seattle um they've been up and down i think off the top of my head i think they end up being beaten by the washington commanders of all teams but they're at home not necessarily a team that's as dominant at home as they are on the road we're going to have the san francisco 49ers go to town and claim their fifth win in a row I do think this is a very uncomfortable game for me to choose a victor Seattle easily can end up pulling this one off I think they have the better roster but I don't think that the San Francisco 49ers with the condition that they're in the way that they're playing through injuries and the way that they're just I think Shanahan's the best offensive strategist in the NFL like it's one of the best that we've ever seen in terms of consistency we're going to have San Fran continue that trend Baltimore trades a future two for one of the worst offensive linemen in the NFL granted he can finally move to center again and we'll see if that ends up making a big difference Atlanta is red hot right now and they're going home there is upset alert up in the air but I do think that with this quality defensive interior presence from the Atlanta Falcons currently which is such a weird thing to say because it's been an issue for so long. I think it's going to be still a mismatch. Ioane, in my opinion, is not fully polished to where he's starting the way that we kind of hoped he would. Not saying that he's bad in any way, shape, or form, but I would say I don't think of him as a pro bowl level player off the bat, which is what a lot of people were considering. So I do think there are some opportunities for some big mismatches in the trenches. We're going to go with the Atlanta Falcons pulling off a supposed upset over the Ravens. And last but not least, Buffalo coming off an embarrassing loss to New England who was kind of limping on one leg the Rams barely beating the Philadelphia Eagles that didn't have Lane Johnson of all things it's kind of like a battle of mid from two teams that we expected to be juggernauts and the question is who's going to bounce back more I think Buffalo has a little bit more of a reason to bounce back the Rams it doesn't seem like there's more I don't sense the type of redemptive energy that the Buffalo Bills need to have for this so I'm going to call an upset here so to speak with the Buffalo Bills beating the Rams in a very close game once again a game I don't feel very confident in at all but we'll see how that ends up panning out for us that has all the games for the week let me know what games you would have chose differently love you see you later peace