AFC power rankings:Ranking top Teams by Projected Wins for the 2026 NFL Season

The AFC could look completely different in 2026, with surprise contenders and struggling franchises reshaping the conference. Like, follow, and join us as we break down the latest projections. The road to the 2026 NFL playoffs is already generating plenty of debate, and ESPN's Mike Clay projections offer an early glimpse at how the AFC could unfold. While nothing is guaranteed, these predictions highlight which teams appear ready to compete and which still have major work ahead. Let's start in the AFC West, where one of the biggest surprises is the Denver Broncos. Projected to finish with nearly 11 wins, Denver owns the highest division win probability in the West, according to the model. Strong grades at running back and offensive line have the Broncos emerging as a legitimate contender. The Los Angeles Chargers aren't far behind. With a projected 9.5 win season, Justin Herbert and company remain firmly in the wildcard conversation. If their balanced roster reaches its potential, the Chargers could become one of the AFC's toughest playoff opponents. Meanwhile, the Las Vegas Raiders face a much different outlook. Projected for just over five wins and one of the conference's worst point differentials, they're expected to endure another difficult season while continuing their search for long-term stability at quarterback. Over in the AFC South, the Jacksonville Jaguars and Indianapolis Colts are nearly impossible to separate. Both teams project to finish at 8.5 wins with identical point differentials, making them true bubble teams that could either sneak into the postseason or narrowly miss out. Then there's the Tennessee Titans. Their rebuilding process continues with projections placing them below five wins and among the AFC's lowest rated offenses. Patience may be required before Tennessee becomes competitive again. Of course, projections are only the starting point. Injuries, breakout players, and unexpected performances will ultimately shape the season once the games begin. Do you agree with these AFC projections? Like the video, follow the channel, and let us know in the comments which team is being underrated and which prediction you think will be completely wrong.