Brad Gilbert warns traders about current market instability caused by a surge of geopolitical events and low liquidity. He advises avoiding trades until Tuesday, citing the risks of \"discombobulation\" in currency pairs and the impact of bank holidays. The focus should remain on upcoming high-impact data, specifically the US CPI numbers, rather than reacting to current volatility.
Hi there, traders. This is Brad Gilbert
with today's Trading Action. All right. Now,
just a quick update on the market
because there's a bit of strange activity going on
and you just need to know what is actually happening, right?
If you have a look across
the board, a lot of brokerage firms are just turning
their pricing on. And you can see here
the dollar block, euro, sterling, Aussie, Kiwi,
all sort of gapping lower, like a bit of dollar
strength as is dollar CAD can't really see much
on um uh the beast dollar yen and dollar swiss at
the moment but what is actually happening well there's
a range of events here now if you look
at the front page you come back well actually there's two things
the front page and the central
bank page there has been attacks
on the Saudi Riyadh airport major damage uh amongst other
things you've got uh Trump coming out over
the weekend saying the energy they're going to have
an energy ceasefire with Russia right totally against what has
been happening over the last
couple of years with Ukraine so they're getting oil
there's like there's there's so many geopolitical
events here uh it's a little bit crazy
and to me it's pretty obvious what's going on right Trump's
got these midterm elections he is in all sorts
on the polls the U.S. consumer sentiment numbers
near record low as frustration over economy mounts.
That is the real news.
All these other things are distractions,
which I've got to say have got to be created by
Trump to really get the ball rolling.
The only news from last Friday
was Canada's employment numbers unexpectedly shrinks in
September.
Jobless rate inches up, right?
So not major news there.
And then so when you're looking at the currencies
and you're looking at what you can be trading,
believe me over the weekend give the markets
a wide berth especially with so many crazy things
going on and i'm like maybe i'm over exaggerating the craziness of it
but there's a lot of weird
things going on around the world just over the weekend
so just give it a break now the other
thing is too it's a bank holiday in Japan uh US
and Canada, right? That means the markets are
basically treat them as though they're not open.
There'll be very little liquidity and it's a hell
of a time to be sort of creating these events
when the markets are basically shut. So that's
where it is. There's going to be confusion
in the markets until at least Tuesday. So do not get
yourself all excited unless you're looking for a...
Understand if you are trading, then you might
well take a decent clip to your account,
it could disable your trading, right? And that's one thing
you don't need to do, right?
Let's just wait over the course of the next day. Just let it see how
things line up. We want to see how the US equity futures are lining up,
see what's going on with
those US treasury yields,
and then see what the impact here is on the major currency pairs.
Because at the moment, it looks like they're all going down, right?
And we know that can't happen.
So this complete discombobulation, take an extra long weekend.
We don't usually trade Mondays anyway, right?
It's the worst day of the week to be trading.
And if you think you've got the edge over
the market on Mondays, think again, right?
Because it's definitely not the way to be looking at it.
This week, there's a whole bunch of different things,
but it's coming to the high impacting
numbers.
I'll cover this tomorrow in the weekly strategy session.
But we do have the US consumer confidence, I mean, consumer confidence,
US CPI numbers, right? This is the main number for the month, right?
It always is, especially in this current environment.
So we've got CPI numbers there out of China.
Like the US CPI numbers are the big number, right?
That's what we're waiting for.
So there's no need to sort of chase the market,
say, Sunday, if you're in North America or
in Europe.
Monday, the Asian market is only just opening up.
It doesn't look good.
Wait for the data.
Wait for the markets to settle down.
And then you can kick everything into gear, right?
Keep an eye on the live signals
and understand we have very poor trading conditions at the
moment, all right?
That's your Monday update.
I'm not really going to talk you into getting into certain trades
because the conditions
don't match it. And as I was just sort
of going through all the news, I'm trying to work out
what's what here, right? It's like everything sort
of kicked off again. And as I said,
in my opinion, I should say,
these weak US consumer sentiment numbers, you're going to
see Trump making a huge range
of irrational decisions along the lines of what he's done
in the past. All right, guys, have a good one. All the best. Cheerio.