JPL has identified an asteroid, 2024 YR4, with a potential impact probability for Earth in December 2032. While the current estimated chance of impact is 1.2%, the speaker highlights data suggesting a direct hit. The asteroid is estimated to be between 130 and 330 feet in diameter, and authorities are already considering redirection efforts.
James Kaufman, World News Report, today, February 4th, 2025.
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Ladies and gentlemen, JPL has announced that we have
a space rock inbound for 2032 with a probability of hitting Earth.
it's a very large space rock somewhere between 130
and 330 feet meaning they don't know much
about this space rock at all it has flown
by earth this past year in 2024
i do have all the information on it they're only giving it a
1.2% chance of impact of Earth.
I will say that the numbers on the close approach
look like a direct hit over at JPL.
The name of this asteroid, 2024 YR4.
2024 YR4.
And right now, it merits attention.
Merits attention.
And they could possibly try to redirect this asteroid.
Let's take a look at the information associated with this space rock.
All right, I did find 2024 YR4, the JPL database,
and this is its basic diagram here, and currently
it's nowhere near Earth.
It's actually right there.
So Earth is the blue circle, if you will,
quite a bit away from Earth, but they believe
Either during the next pass or after that we're gonna see an impact.
Let's get some details here.
All right taking a look
at some miscellaneous details here.
That arc spent 41 days 294
observations bringing the condition code way down to a 5.
Meaning they seem to know where this is headed
They have put someone in charge of this rock.
I've never seen that occur before.
So this is coming from JPL condition code 5, about as low as I've seen.
And it's somewhere between 130 and 330 feet in diameter.
Let's take a look at the close approach data.
So what we're looking at here
it missed this December 25th here.
And it wasn't too, too close, but definitely,
definitely too close for comfort.
You can see this here, this entry, December 25th,
Christmas, the Christmas Day asteroid that was inbound.
And with that said, the next pass is going to be 2028 here,
not very close to the Earth again, but in 2032.
We see this number here.
First off, below that, look how close it is to the moon.
Point zero, zero, zero, zero, one.
It's the minimum distance right now.
But above it, well, what does that mean?
Well, actually, I had to Google it.
And that's going to be a direct impact way too close for comfort.
Let's take a look at what that means.
All right, so I converted 4.9e-6
to a number, and I got .000000,
as in five zeros and a four nine,
which would be a direct hit of Earth.
And that would be a very sizable rock,
especially if it's towards the upper end of the estimates,
i.e. 330 feet.
Don't know if it would be a planet killer.
I do know that they're talking about already starting
to try to redirect the rock.
That, that is a close one, folks.
Let's get some miles for you guys.
And here you go. Astronomical units, two miles,
455 miles measured from the center of Earth,
not from the surface, the center,
which means this is more than a direct hit,
although they're only giving it
a 1.2% chance of hitting Earth currently.
Again, JPL is talking about trying to redirect this rock.
This looks like it's coming in for a direct hit.
In 2032, looks like we're talking about December
22nd, 2032, and there's the dangerous number
there, 455 miles.
God bless you and yours, folks.
Let's hope they get it redirected or they're incorrect,
although that condition code is
getting very low, and they've got plenty of observations on this thing.
God bless, share, subscribe, always remember,
anything's possible, bizarro world.
