The Bills are about to BREAK the Jets...

The last time the Bills played the Jets, Josh Allen barely played and the Bills still won 35-8. Allen made his 135th straight start that day and then he dipped and the backups took over from there. Mitchell Trubisky came off the bench and threw four touchdown passes. The Jets finished that day with just 122 total yards compared to... 470 for the Buffalo Bills. That win finished a 12-5 season for the Bills and a 13-4 season for the New York Jets. So on Sunday, the Bills will be traveling to MetLife Stadium for their first matchup against the Jets this year, and this is not the same Jets team that they played last year. They have Geno Smith at quarterback now and a rookie pass rusher in David Bailey who has seven and a half sacks in his first eight games. Then their head coach Aaron Glenn said that he thinks that this team is right on the cusp of breaking through. But then last Sunday, they traveled to Kansas City and the Chiefs ran straight through them, beating the Jets 35-12. Kenneth Walker scored three touchdowns and the Jets played the entire game without their best receiver in Garrett Wilson, who was in concussion protocol. So the question is, are the Jets really different from last year, or are the Bills primed for a blowout win against their division rival. Let's start with the Jets' defense, because that part really did change. Last season, the Jets' defense did not intercept a single pass in 17 entire games. They forced just 4 turnovers all year, the lowest in the league by a mile. They gave up 29.6 points per game, and this defense was just absolutely atrocious all around. But through 9 games this year, they already have 10 takeaways, which is more than double than what they had the entirety of last season. They have 22 sacks after just recording 26 sacks all of last season. Plus, they're giving up 24.8 points per game now, almost five fewer points than they did last year. And that's due in large part to one new Jet that the Bills are going to have to plan their entire game around. The Jets took David Bailey's second overall out of Texas Tech, the highest they've drafted a defensive player since 1967. His seven and a half sacks this season are the same number as TJ Watt, and only three players in the league have more than him. Since 1982, the only Jets rookie with more sacks through nine games is Hugh Douglas. Against Cleveland in October, He had three sacks and nine pressures in one game. And over the last five weeks, he's second in the league with five and a half sacks, and he missed one of those games. He also has five forced fumbles, the most in the entire NFL. He has ten and a half tackles for loss, too, which is third in the league. And in Kansas City, he sacked Patrick Mahomes twice and knocked the ball loose twice as well. And Aaron Glenn's line on him after the game was, yeah, no surprise. That's just who he is. So that is a rookie that the Bills really have to focus on because he is a big, big boost for this Jets defense. But now, let's look at the new, or rather the old face at QB for the New York Jets. Because last year, the Jets had a revolving door at the quarterback position, with three different guys throwing passes, and Justin Fields, Tyrod Taylor, and the rookie Brady Cook. Fields led that team with 1,259 passing yards for the entire season. Their leading receiver had just 395 yards, and that was Garrett Wilson, who played just seven games. It was Brady Cook that got the start for the Jets back in January against the Bills, and he threw for just 60 yards on 22 pass attempts. In his five games, he threw just two touchdowns to seven interceptions. And then the Jets brought back Geno Smith from Las Vegas in March, trading a six-round pick for Geno and a seventh rounder. And he already has 2,078 passing yards in nine games. He has 12 touchdown passes and only three interceptions. At Detroit in September, he went 31 for 37 for 321 yards. And believe it or not, Joe Brady played against Geno in high school, and this week he called Geno an absolute baller. So with a real quarterback in Geno Smith, the Jets have actually been competitive in most of their games. Five of their seven losses came by eight points or fewer. Glenn said it himself, we're not going to hide the fact we're two and seven. We own that. But the offensive line in front of Geno is definitely a problem. He's been sacked 28 times in 9 games. In Kansas City, he threw for just 165 yards and got sacked 5 times. Brees Hall said after the game, he definitely deserves us to play better for him. And a big reason that passing game died in Kansas City was because of one player that is still on the injury report this week. But before we get to that, this video is brought to you by Kalshi. On Kalshi, you can trade on games just like this one. And right now, the market gives the Bills a 79% chance to win on Sunday. And my pick for this Bills game is the Bills winning by more than 14.5 points. I think this is going to be an absolute blowout. Kalshi has that at a 35% chance, and $25 on it pays out to up to $72. So if you are interested in trying out Kalshi, you can use the link in the description or Or in the pinned comment and trade $25 with code DIGESTNFL and get 50% off. Now, let's get back to that Jets injury report. The Jets put out their first report of the week on Wednesday, and two players didn't participate. Defensive lineman Harrison Phillips sat out with an ankle injury, and linebacker Trevin Wallace sat out with a groin injury. Edge rusher Joseph Osai, corner Nashawn Wright, and receiver Omar Cooper Jr. were all limited. Safety Vijay Payne was a full participant, and he's been designated to return from injured reserve. But the name that matters the most is Garrett Wilson, who was limited with a concussion. He took a helmet-to-helmet hit from Jeremy Chin late in the loss to the Raiders at the start of November. He went into the concussion protocol and missed the entire Chiefs game last week. While he was limited on Wednesday, and that is an encouraging sign for Jets fans, he still has yet to clear the concussion protocol to play on Sunday. But if he does play, he is the entire Jets passing game. Wilson has 527 receiving yards in eight games. The next closest Jet is Omar Cooper Jr., who has 306, and Adonai Mitchell at 265 after him. He's been targeted 63 times, the second most of anyone in the entire AFC. He had 10 catches for 107 yards in Detroit and 104 yards and a touchdown against the Cleveland Browns. Against the Raiders, Geno threw his way 12 times, a team high. And now, look at the scoreboard with and without Garrett Wilson. In the eight games Wilson played, the Jets scored 21.3 points a game. And then, last week, the game he missed, they only scored 12. Now, it's only one game, so this is a small sample size, but you could definitely tell that the Jets missed him out there. Geno completed just 56% of his passes in Kansas City, which was his worst in a game since the start of October. His longest completion all day went for just 19 yards. And on the other side of it, Wilson had already cooled off before that hit, from seven catches a game in his first three games to just 4.4 in the five games after that. And all three of his touchdown catches came in his first five games. If Wilson cannot go, it would be Omar Cooper Jr. as the next man up, and he is limited with an ankle injury too, although Aaron Glenn says that he thinks Cooper will be fine. But without their best receiver out there, the Jets are going to have to try and win this game with their defense. But unfortunately for them, Kansas City found a very big hole in this defense. At halftime in Arrowhead, the Jets were only down 14-12. Bailey had both of his sacks in that half, and the Jets actually outgained the Chiefs 171 yards to 134. But then the third quarter happened. The Jets had minus 9 yards of offense in that quarter, and the Kansas City Chiefs scored twice, and next thing you know, it was 28-12. The Chiefs just kept handing it off to their star running back, Kenneth Walker. Walker ran 18 times for 102 yards and a touchdown. And he caught two more touchdowns out of the backfield, so he had three in total that day. So that gave Walker 11 touchdowns on the season, already a career high for him. Patrick Mahomes only had to throw 31 passes because Kansas City just ran for 163 yards as a team that game. This isn't a one-off either for the Jets. They give up 128 rushing yards a game this season. The Chicago Bears ran for 232 yards on them back in October. With Harrison Phillips missing practice, this task does not get any easier for the Jets. Which brings us to James Cook. Cook has 814 rushing yards this year. in the NFL. And Walker, the guy who ran all over the Jets, is second with 872. And on Monday night in Minnesota, Cook carried it 31 times, his most this season, for 107 yards and passed 5,000 career rushing yards. And when Cook gets 21 or more carries this season, the Bills are 6-0. In their In their only loss against New England, he only got 12. But the Jets can't just load up on James Cook either because Josh Allen is a potent runner in his own right with nine rushing touchdowns of his own this season. But Cook has done this to the Jets before. In week two last season, he ran for 132 yards and two touchdowns against them on the way to leading the league in rushing that season. In January, with Cook getting just two carries, Ray Davis ran for 151 yards on them and Buffalo ran for 211 as a team. Walker put up three touchdowns against the Jets last week, and I would not be surprised if James Cook does the same. The game plan for Sunday is feed Cook early and often, and it should result in an easy win. Buffalo has won four straight games, its longest winning streak of the season. Meanwhile, the Jets have lost four games, and they just got blown out by the Kansas City Chiefs. The Bills are projected as 8.5-point favorites on the road, with the total sitting at 50.5. Dimer's model has it 29-21 Buffalo. A win makes the Bills 8-1, with Miami on deck, and then that big matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs on Thanksgiving night. And here's the three numbers that I keep coming back to. Bailey is the one that scares me the most for the Jets. I would watch out for strip sacks that could change the momentum of an entire game. Wilson is limited, and if he does play, he will be the focal point of the Jets' offense. They have Geno, which has given them consistent QB play, but he did throw for just 165 yards and was sacked five times last week. And it all boils down to, they've gotta run the football. Give Cook his carries and the Bills should be on their way to an easy win. And before I give you my score, drop your score prediction down in the comments and let me know who is going to win, the Bills or the Jets. And here's my prediction. I think that the Bills are going to win this one pretty easily, like I said. Give me the Bills 38-13. And if you missed it, the Bills just added Montee Hooker at the trade deadline, so watch this video right here for the full breakdown of that. As always, thanks for watching, and of course, Go Bills!