James Kaufman, World News Report, today, April 13th, 2025.
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Ladies and gentlemen, we've had nine M-class solar flares
on the Earth-facing side of our solar disk.
Now, that's a busy day.
The largest being, I believe, about an M3.2.
We're going to check on that.
You can see the
Multiple M flares starting out early
and continuing throughout the day.
Let's take a look at those flares individually.
All right, looks like most of the trouble
is coming out of sunspot group AR4055,
which is almost completely around the limb.
I don't think most of these would
be geo-effective unless they caught up in our geo-magnetic
connection to that far side or departing side of our sun.
Let's start off the day with an M1,
another M1.1, another M1.1, an M2.2, an M1, that's
our fifth, an M1.3, sixth, an M1.2, seventh.
An M1.28. An M3.249. It's going to be our largest M flare of the day.
Again, out of sunspot group 4055,
so most of any ejecta or chroma ejection or plasma would
be headed off unless it got caught up in our geomagnetic
connection to that departing side of the sun.
That sunspot is currently located in our 10th, 10th, not 9th,
but 10th M-Flare of the day just occurred here on M1.67.
10 M-Class Solar Flares all Earth-facing today.
We currently have a 15% chance of having an X-Class Solar Flare.
A 80% chance of having the M-class solar flare.
I'd say that ship sails, and we're maintaining a healthy sea flare.
We almost got up to an M baseline.
All right, headed over to HMI Intensigram.
We see AR-4055 departing.
It's probably taken this morning, which means most of the flares
probably are not going to be geo-effective towards Earth.
Our next really worrisome spot here is 4060,
recently named, and we have a total of five
sunspot groups earth-facing on our solar disk.
Head over to GOES Solar Ultraviolet Imager.
This is our next contender right here that we just pointed out.
We don't see any real coronal holes whatsoever.
On the earth-facing side of our solar disk,
we do see some sunspot groups coming around
the limb that look like they could become active,
although they don't appear to be very
active at this time.
Heading over to LASCO C3, we have no missing time.
Looks like we've got some of these M-flares
that turned out to be light halo ejections,
unless they're on the backside of the sun.
And all signs would point to they would be on the back side
of the sun based on the information we have.
So we're going to, at this point, assume that we don't
have any inbound coronal mass ejections or solar winds
as there's no coronal holes that are, well,
visible on the earth-facing side of our solar disk.
Head over to our D-region absorption prediction center
and see all those powerful M-flares.
I guess that was the large one
that happened to hit over the U.S.
and Central America
and, well, a lot of the Pacific as well.
And we shouldn't see much of this happen.
That smaller M-flare
at the end of the day around 2100
and all clear sailing from there.
Just remember, everyone got their dose of radiation today.
This is the radiation hitting our planets
from all these solar flares.
Our D-region absorption prediction center data.
So with that said,
what I thought was nine Earth-facing M-class solar flares
was 10 Earth-facing M-class solar flares.
And we do see them.
We can count them here on our GOES X-ray flux.
And they were named over at Space Weather Live.
God bless each and every one of you guys.
And see how close we are to maintaining that M baseline.
That would be a first time ever.
But it wants to happen.
There's only one way up from there.
X-Flare.
Have a wonderful evening.
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And always remember that anything's possible in Bizarro World.