Bass, Raman tied in LA mayor's race, new poll shows

Fox - LA
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Oct 28, 2026
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Video Summary
AI GeneratedA new UC Berkeley poll reveals a dead heat in the Los Angeles mayoral race, with incumbent Karen Bass and challenger Nithya Raman both tied at 40% among likely voters. Bass has closed a previous double-digit gap, largely by gaining support from previously undecided conservative voters, while 19% of voters remain undecided heading into the election.
The polling just dropped, showing the race
for L.A. mayor is getting tighter.
You'll remember Democratic challenger Councilwoman Nithya Raman has
been riding high on a double-digit lead over Mayor Bass for weeks now.
Okay, so where are we this morning? Sandra's here with the results.
Hi there. Yes, an exciting time, right?
Because, you know, in the closing days of any election,
every day something can shift, even hour by hour.
So now we've got ourselves a tie. Both Karen Bass and Nithya Raman
are pulling in support from 40 percent of likely voters,
19% of likely voters do remain undecided here.
The UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll
shows Bass closed the gap from the November survey,
which showed Rahman with an 11% lead over the incumbent.
Now, political analysts say the difference here
is more conservative Spencer Pratt voters.
Remember them? They were largely undecided.
Well, they're now leaning towards Bass,
putting the race for mayor in a neck-and-neck dead heat.
the Bass campaign is reacting this morning
to this news saying the momentum in the race is now
belonging to Karen Bass and they believe
the poll shows voters trust her on public safety and other
key issues as for Rawlins campaign they say they're
not surprised the numbers changed after
a month of negative campaigning from Bass
but they say the incumbent has not yet been able to lead in
any poll since August and we should mention
the survey that led to these results was conducted
online in English
and Spanish with a sample of 2197 likely city voters between October
19th and October 25th.
So did the poll directly ask what issues
that the people were mostly concerned about?
Yeah, a lot of people are concerned about homeless encampments.
We see them everywhere.
So that's the top issue concerning voters.
Second, it's kind of tied between public safety
and also issues surrounding quality of life
issues.
So that's always something that drives people to the polls,
drives people to vote.
And that'll be key, voter turnout.
So how many people in the last poll were undecided, 33%?
Was it?
And now this time around it's 18%.
So yeah, you are seeing
those undecided voters now leaning one way or the other.
That's right.
I always question the undecided.
Maybe you're just doing the poll and you just don't want to say.
Maybe you just see how thick that booklet
is and you're delaying the process.
Between candidates, there's so much out there that's still by now.
You haven't really decided.
Yeah, just a snapshot in time, right?
It could be totally different come election day.
So the results, we'll see, you know, Tuesday.
Of course.
All right, Sandra, thank you.
And if you are a part of that 19% that's still undecided,
well, maybe this will help.
Join us Sunday night and Monday morning to hear Mayor Karen Bass
and challenger Nithya Raman answer tough questions
in one-on-one interviews.
Again, that's happening Sunday night at 10 p.m. and Monday
at 11 a.m. right here on Fox 11 and streaming on Fox Local.
We'll be right back.
